Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - Somalia Monthly Rainfall and NDVI, January, 2012 Highlights Map 1: January 2012 Monthly Rain Gauge data (mm) Map 2: January 2012 Monthly Rainfall Estimates Sunny and dry weather conditions, DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden AWDAL characterized by higher than BARI SANAG average daytime temperatures W. GALBEED and strong winds manifested the TOGDHEER SOOL presence of the Jilaal dry season. NUGAL Observed rainfall data from ETHIOPIA SWALIM monitored weather ETHIOPIA stations have recorded zero MUDUG Indian Ocean rainfall in all the stations during GALGADUD the month of January. BAKOOL HIRAN Millimeters Satellite derived Rainfall Estimates GEDO (RFE) confirmed the prevailing M.SHABELLE dry weather conditions in most BAY of the country in January (Map L.SHABELLE M. JUBA 2-5). FSNAU field reports indicate 40 hotter and drier than normal L.JUBA conditions in most parts of the country as expected during the season. The exception is the Source: SWALIM Source: NOAA Golis-Guban livelihood zone, which received small amounts of January 2012: Dekadal Rainfall Estimates (RFE) localized Hays rains. Map 3: 1st Dekad (1-10) Map 4: 2nd Dekad (11-20) Map 5: 3rd Dekad (21-30) DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden Bari The Normalized Difference Awdal Awdal Sanag Bari Awdal Sanag Sanag Bari W. Galbeed W. Galbeed Vegetation Index (NDVI) W. Galbeed Nugal Togdheer indicates generally above average Togdheer Sool Togdheer Sool Sool Nugal Nugal Mudug vegetation in the South, with no ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA change from the previous month Mudug Mudug Galgadud Galgadud Galgadud Indian in most areas of the country (Map Ocean Indian Indian Bakool Hiran Bakool Hiran Bakool Hiran 10). However, a small decrease Ocean Ocean Gedo Gedo M. Shabelle of vegetation is visible in Middle M. Shabelle M. Shabelle Gedo Bay Bay Bay L. Shabelle Shabelle (South), small pockets M. Juba L. Shabelle M. Juba L. Shabelle of Galgadud region and parts of M. Juba L. Juba L. Juba East-Golis and Alula district in the L. Juba North. Following the favourable Deyr January 2012: Dekadal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) rains, pasture and water availability Map 6: 1st Dekad (1-10) Map 7: 2nd Dekad (11-20) Map 8: 3rd Dekad (21-30) is normal in many parts of the DJIBOUTI DJIBOUTI Bari DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden Gulf of Aden Gulf of Aden country, however expected to Awdal Awdal Bari Awdal Sanag Sanag Sanag deteriorate before the onset of Bari W. Galbeed W. Galbeed W. Galbeed Nugal Togdheer the Gu rainfall season (April- Togdheer Sool Sool Togdheer Sool Nugal June). Livestock body conditions Nugal ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA Mudug ETHIOPIA are generally good with normal Mudug Mudug livestock migration reported across Galgadud Galgadud Galgadud Bakool Hiran the country. Bakool Hiran Indian Indian Indian Hiran Ocean Ocean Bakool Ocean Gedo M. Shabelle Gedo Bay Bay M. Shabelle Gedo L. Shabelle Bay M. Shabelle M. Juba This report is a compilation of climate data M. Juba L. Shabelle L. Shabelle and field reports on Somalia that FSNAU and L. Juba M. Juba FEWSNET regularly review for analysis. For L. Juba L. Juba more information on data sources, please refer to page 2. Monthly rainfall and NDVI perfomance Map 9: January 2012 Rainfall as % of long Map 10: January 2012 NDVI absolute difference term mean from long term mean Gulf of Aden DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden DJIBOUTI Awdal Bari Sanag Awdal W. albeed Sanag Togdheer Sool Bari W. Galbeed Togdheer Nugal Sool Nugal Mudug ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA Mudug Galgadud Galgadud Bakool Hiran Indian Ocean Bakool Hiran Indian Ocean Gedo Bay M. Shabelle Gedo M. Shabelle Bay M. Juba L. Shabelle M. Juba L. Shabelle L. Juba L. Juba Source: NOAA Source: SPOT Table 1: January 2012: Observed rain gauge data compared to long term monthly averages Northern Somalia stations Southern Somalia stations Region Station Name dek 1 dek 2 dek 3 Jan-12 LTM Region Station Name dek 1 dek 2 dek 3 Jan-12 LTM Nugaal Eyl 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 Bay Baidoa 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 Nugaal Burtnile 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Bay Diinsor 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 Sanaag Eeerigavo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 Gedo Bardheere 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 Sanaag Elafweyn 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Gedo Luuq 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 Sool Caynabo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Hiraan Belet weyne 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Sool Las Aanod 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 Hiraan Bulo burti 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 Sool xudun 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Middle Shabelle Jowhar 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Sool Taleex 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Mudug Galkayo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Togdheer Odweyne 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Lower Juba Afmadow 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 Togdheer Wajaale 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Middle Juba Bualle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Togdheer Buadodle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Wogooyi Galbeed Hargeisa 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 Wogooyi Galbeed Dilla 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Monthly rainfall and NDVI perfomance maps Wogooyi Galbeed Gebilley 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 Wogooyi Galbeed Aburin 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * The Mapped NDVI and RFE above represent the differences from the Long Term Mean. SPOT-NDVI is Wogooyi Galbeed Berbera 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 presented as the absolute difference from Long Term Mean for the same period (current - long term mean), *indicates missing data while NOAA-RFE is presented as the relative difference from the Long Term Mean (Current*100)/LTM. Seasonal trend graphs Primary data sources are NOAA/USGS, MARS-JRC, FSNAU and SWALIM. Maps and graphs on this bulletin are produced from four sources. The maps and graphs on the following pages (3 & 4) are produced in collaboration with the FOODSEC Action of • Current Rainfall Estimates and NDVI data are derived from NOAA/ the Joint Research Centre of the European Commision. CPC and DEVCOCAST (www.devcocast.eu) respectively, while the rain gauge data is collected by FAO-SWALIM and FEWSNET. The graphs present seasonal trends of crop specific NDVI (Normalised Difference Vegetation Index) as lines and • The seasonal profiles on page 3 and 4 are produced in collaboration rainfall values (RFE) as bars for each of the delineated with JRC-MARS. For more information visit http://mars.jrc.europa.eu/ mars/About-us/FOODSEC land cover and administrative units (regions and districts). For more information on NDVI, visit http://earlywarning.usgs.gov/adds For more information or request on available data, please and http://fsausomali.org/fileadmin/uploads/1308.pdf send an email to [email protected]. For information on FOODSEC Action of JRC, please refer to http://mars.jrc.ec.europa.eu/mars/About-us/FOODSEC 2 Seasonal rainfall and NDVI trends by region Togdheer Pastoral (Savannah) Map 11: Agricultural Areas Map 12: Pastoral Areas DJIBOUTI AWDAL SANAG BARI W. GALBEED TOGDHEER SOOL NUGAL MUDUG GALGADUD Saanag Pastoral (Savannah) BAKOOL HIIRAN M. SHABELLE GEDO BAY "/ BANADIR MOGADISHU M. JUBA L. SHABELLE Hagar L. JUBA Source: FAO-AFRICOVER Source: SWALIM Gedo Pastoral (Open Shrubs) Galgadud Pastoral (Herbaceous) Nugal Pastoral (Savannah) Hiran Agropastoral (Rainfed) Middle Shabelle Agropastoral (Rainfed) Lower Shabelle Riverine (Irrigated) Lower Shabelle Agropastoral (Rainfed) Bay Agropastoral (Rainfed) Bakool Agropastoral (Rainfed) 3 Seasonal rainfall and NDVI trends for selected districts Hargeisa Agropastoral (Rainfed) Map 13: Agricultural Areas Map 14: Pastoral Areas Beletweyn (Irrigated) Source: SWALIM Source: FAO-Africover Jamame Agropastoral (Irrigated) Sakow Agropastoral (Rainfed) Adale Agropastoral (Rainfed) Eyl Open Shrubs Afmadow Pastoral (Herbaceous) Abudwak Pastoral (Herbaceous) Galkayo Open Shrubs Alula Pastoral (Open Shrubs) Lasanod Pastoral (Herbaceous) Technical and Managerial Support Funding Agencies Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC 4.