The Marches & Mid Wales Freight Strategy Technical Annex CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Scope ...................................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Approach ................................................................................................................................................................ 2 2 DATA ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................................................................... 3 2.1 Methodology .......................................................................................................................................................... 3 2.2 Freight generators & attractors .............................................................................................................................. 3 2.3 Transport geography ............................................................................................................................................ 13 2.4 Road freight .......................................................................................................................................................... 15 2.5 Rail freight ............................................................................................................................................................ 34 2.6 Warehousing ........................................................................................................................................................ 36 2.7 Summary of key conclusions ................................................................................................................................ 39 3 BEST PRACTICE, POLICY AND FUNDING REVIEW ..................................................................................................... 40 3.1 Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 40 3.2 Best practice review ............................................................................................................................................. 40 3.3 Policy review: UK documents ............................................................................................................................... 45 3.4 Policy review: Wales ............................................................................................................................................. 50 3.5 Policy review: local & regional policy documents for the Marches ...................................................................... 53 3.6 Policy review: Mid Wales ..................................................................................................................................... 59 3.7 Funding review ..................................................................................................................................................... 65 3.8 Summary of key conclusions ................................................................................................................................ 68 4 IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGY & SOCIAL TRENDS.......................................................................................................... 69 4.1 Driverless/Autonomous HGVs .............................................................................................................................. 69 4.2 Alternative Powered HGVs ................................................................................................................................... 71 4.3 Trends in the Retail Sector – Impact on the Supply Chain .................................................................................... 73 4.4 3D Printing ............................................................................................................................................................ 76 4.5 Summary of key conclusions ................................................................................................................................ 76 5 STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION: ONLINE SURVEYS ................................................................................................ 77 5.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 77 5.2 On-line survey of businesses in the Marches ....................................................................................................... 77 5.3 On-line survey of businesses in Mid Wales .......................................................................................................... 84 5.4 Online survey of Parish & Town Councils in the Marches .................................................................................... 91 5.5 Summary of key conclusions ................................................................................................................................ 98 6 STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION: STAKEHOLDER WORKSHOP IN THE MARCHES ................................................... 100 6.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................ 100 6.2 Background to strategy ...................................................................................................................................... 100 6.3 Facilitated discussion: Is the overall aim OK? ..................................................................................................... 101 6.4 Facilitated discussion: Is the draft strategy addressing the relevant existing issues? ........................................ 101 6.5 The Marches Freight Strategy – potential interventions .................................................................................... 103 7 STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION: STAKEHOLDER WORKSHOP IN THE MID WALES ................................................ 105 7.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................ 105 7.2 Priorities for the strategy ................................................................................................................................... 105 7.3 Key issues for the strategy .................................................................................................................................. 105 7.4 Potential interventions .......................................................................................................................................... 106 8 SUMMARY OF CONSULTATION INTERVIEWS ........................................................................................................ 108 8.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................ 108 8.2 Summary of results of public sector consultation .............................................................................................. 108 8.3 Summary of results of private sector consultation ............................................................................................ 109 9 APPRAISAL OF INTERVENTIONS & MODELLING OF IMPACTS ................................................................................ 111 9.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................ 111 9.2 Appraisal of interventions .................................................................................................................................. 111 9.3 Modelling of impacts of the measures ............................................................................................................... 120 © MDS Transmodal Limited 2017 The contents of this document must not be copied or reproduced in whole or in part without the written consent of MDS Transmodal. The Marches & Mid Wales Freight Strategy: Technical Annex Page 1 1 INTRODUCTION The Marches Local Economic Partnership, the Growing Mid Wales Partnership, the Welsh Government, and Ceredigion, Gwynedd, Herefordshire, Powys, Shropshire and Telford and Wrekin Councils jointly commissioned this freight strategy to provide an evidence base to determine the interventions in the freight sector that will support the economic development of the Marches and Mid Wales, while also seeking to enhance the quality of life of the areas’ residents and reduce environmental impacts from freight transport activity. The Marches and Mid Wales have highly dispersed patterns of freight activity, are both relatively peripheral to the economic core of the UK - focused on the major conurbations of London, Birmingham, Manchester and Leeds - and both rely very largely on a single carriageway road network. Given the common economic and geographic context and shared transport issues, this strategy has therefore been developed as a cross-border strategic initiative for both areas. The commissioning and development of this strategy has been managed by a steering group of officers