Page | 1 SCOPE OF WORK FOR A PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR THE ESTABLISHMENT OF SEVERAL MINI-GRIDS IN NORTH KIVU PROVINCE IN THE DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO (DRC) FINAL REPORT PEREZ, APC 2525 Burgundy Street New Orleans, LA 70117 Project AID-OAA-I-15-0051 / AID-OAA-TO-16-00028 USAID/ Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) Economic Growth Office June 30, 2018 This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by Perez, APC. USAID DRC Mini Grids in North Kivu June 30, 2018 USAID Contract #AID-OAA-I-15-00051 / AID-OAA-TO-16-00028 – ESS WA #6 Scope of Work Page | 2 FINAL REPORT SCOPE OF WORK FOR A PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR THE ESTABLISHMENT OF SEVERAL MINI-GRIDS IN NORTH KIVU PROVINCE IN THE DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO (DRC) This document was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by Perez, APC under the Engineering Surge Support Work Assignment #6 for USAID/DRC. Prepared by: PEREZ, APC 2525 Burgundy Street New Orleans, LA 70117 CONTACT: Joseph M. Crowley Chief of Party 504.584.5100 [email protected] DISCLAIMER The author’s views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government. USAID DRC Mini Grids in North Kivu June 30, 2018 USAID Contract #AID-OAA-I-15-00051 / AID-OAA-TO-16-00028 – ESS WA #6 Scope of Work Page | 3 Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary .......................................................................................................... 5 2. Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 6 3. Overview of the electricity market in population centres in Kivu .......................................... 7 3.1 North Kivu ........................................................................................................................... 7 3.2 South Kivu .......................................................................................................................... 9 3.3 Overview of regulatory structure ......................................................................................... 9 3.4 Electricity demand projections in North and South Kivu .....................................................11 3.4.1 North Kivu ...................................................................................................................12 3.4.2 South Kivu ..................................................................................................................13 3.5 Overview of solar-pv in North and South Kivu ....................................................................13 4 Economic activities in North Kivu (Ndjingala, Walikale Centre and Mubi) ...........................17 5 Demand projection methodology ........................................................................................20 5.1 Mubi population centres analysis .......................................................................................20 5.2 Ndjingala population centres analysis ................................................................................21 5.3 Walikale centre population centre analysis .........................................................................21 5.4 Development prospects .....................................................................................................22 5.5 Justification for using baseline growth scenario as a basis for demand projections ............29 6 Population centre analysis results ......................................................................................29 6.1 Population and customer growth assumptions ...................................................................29 6.2 Financial analysis assumptions ..........................................................................................30 6.3 Mubi ...................................................................................................................................31 6.3.1 Demand projections ....................................................................................................31 6.3.2 Mubi financial analysis ................................................................................................32 6.4 Ndjingala ............................................................................................................................33 6.4.1 Demand projections ....................................................................................................33 6.4.2 Ndjingala Financial analysis ........................................................................................35 6.5 Walikale centre ..................................................................................................................36 6.5.1 Demand projections ....................................................................................................36 6.5.2 Walikale centres financial analysis ..............................................................................38 7 Operators in North and South Kivu.....................................................................................39 8 Technical Considerations ...................................................................................................41 8.1 Photo-voltaic System Considerations .................................................................................41 8.2 Technical Loss Reductions ................................................................................................42 8.3 Distribution System Components .......................................................................................43 USAID DRC Mini Grids in North Kivu June 30, 2018 USAID Contract #AID-OAA-I-15-00051 / AID-OAA-TO-16-00028 – ESS WA #6 Scope of Work Page | 4 8.4 New Generation Platforms .................................................................................................43 8.5 Micro-Grid Automated Controls ..........................................................................................44 8.6 Small Mini-Grid Generation Platforms (</=200kW) .............................................................44 Appendices .............................................................................................................................45 Appendix 1 Population Centres Growth Projections ...........................................................46 Appendix 2 Financial Statement Results ............................................................................49 Appendix 3 Acronyms ........................................................................................................52 Appendix 4 Mubi ................................................................................................................53 Appendix 5 Mubi Power Analysis .......................................................................................56 Appendix 6 Ndjingala Drawings .........................................................................................61 Appendix 7 Ndjingala Power Analysis ................................................................................64 Appendix 8 Walikale Drawings ...........................................................................................69 Appendix 9 Walikale Power Analysis .................................................................................73 Appendix 10 North Kivu Drawings ......................................................................................78 USAID DRC Mini Grids in North Kivu June 30, 2018 USAID Contract #AID-OAA-I-15-00051 / AID-OAA-TO-16-00028 – ESS WA #6 Scope of Work Page | 5 1. Executive Summary Perez was engaged by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) to identify and gain an understanding of the challenges faced by mini-grid developers, investors, and operators in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Perez was tasked to conduct a desk review to prepare a plan similar to the Kinshasa Plan for the Provinces of North and South Kivu. The work involved data gathering for example existing, under-construction, and planned power stations and electrical grids; population centers and estimated electric demand; inventoried hydropower opportunities and interconnection projects, evaluation of existing and potential solar pv electric loads and load centers, basic network design at HV and MV level (drawings). USAID also tasked Perez to produce a sequence of 5-year views (2020, 2025, 2030) of the development of these provinces. We reviewed publicly available reports, press articles, and maps to identify the existing and proposed load resources, supply resources, and potential transmission solutions that could improve energy access to the four focus cities/population centers. We also provide a list of potential private-sector investors and an inventory of the private companies currently involved in small-scale energy projects in the DRC. A Perez team visited DRC’s capital Kinshasa (February 10 - 24, 2017) and met with several stakeholders, including Ministry of Electricity and Hydraulics Resources (MEHR), UCM, SNEL, SOCODEE, Alphamin Bisie Mining, Trust Merchant Bank, Virunga, Helios Towers Africa. These meetings provided additional and updated information on current and future projects and plans for DRC’s power sector. The Perez team carried out the demand assessment for Mubi, Ndjingala and Walikale centre under three distinct scenarios