Validation of Surrogate Endpoints for Clinical Trials

Validation of Surrogate Endpoints for Clinical Trials

Journal of Pharmacology & Clinical Research ISSN: 2473-5574 Review Article J of Pharmacol & Clin Res Volume 5 Issue 2 - March 2018 Copyright © All rights are reserved by Gilles Plourde DOI: 10.19080/JPCR.2018.05.555657 Validation of Surrogate Endpoints for Clinical Trials Gilles Plourde* Department of Pharmacology and Physiology, University of Montreal, USA Submission: February 01, 2018; Published: March 13, 2018 *Corresponding author: Gilles Plourde, Department of Pharmacology and Physiology, University of Montreal, USA, Email: Keywords: Surrogate endpoints; Biomarkers; Composite endpoints; Off-targets disease process; Clinically meaning full outcome; Benefit/risk TTP: Time To Progression; TR: Tumour Response Rate; PFS: Progression-Free Survival; FDA: Food and Drug Administration; ratio;Abbreviations: Substitute that correlate with clinical efficacy measure; Affected in parallel with the disease EMA: European Medical Agency; MACE: Major Cardiovascular Event; ESAs: Erythropoiesis Stimulating Agents Introduction the response to treatment in patients suffering from advanced intended to substitute for a clinical endpoint’, the latter being use of biomarker for the screening, diagnostic and for measuring A surrogate endpoint has been defined as ‘a biomarker functions, or survives’ in response to a treatment [1-5]. A prostate cancer [7]. Because surrogate endpoints followed a ‘a characteristic or variable that reflects how a patient feels, comparable principle of validation than biomarkers, in this mini objectively measure and evaluate the normal biologic processes, review I will rather discuss the validation of surrogate endpoints. surrogate endpoint could also be defined as ‘a characteristic that the pathogenic processes, or the pharmacologic responses to a trials, one of the main concerns is the choice of the primary However, before a surrogate endpoint can be used in clinical therapeutic intervention [1-5]. Again, the surrogate endpoint outcome measures, therefore this surrogate endpoint should be a strong substitute for this primary outcome measures [1- for diagnosis, staging, or for monitoring of disease progression 6]. This selection has considerable impact on the reliability and could be further subdivided according to whether it is being used [1-5]. Finally in clinical trials a surrogate endpoint is a measure interpretability of clinical trials designed to evaluate the benefit/ not necessarily have a proved relationship [1-6]. For instance, of effect that may correlate with a real clinical endpoint but does risk ratio of a new health product for a specific indication (see in cancer, surrogate endpoints such as: progression-free survival below). These surrogate endpoint scan also include physical [PFS]; time to progression [TTP]; tumour response rate [TR] and signs of an illness, laboratory measures biochemical biomarkers, others could also be used to substitute for a clinical endpoint othersare often considered as replacement endpoints or radiological tests such as MRI, PET, shrinking tumour and main characteristics for the validation of surrogate endpoints, when the primary endpoint is less desirable (overall survival; “surrogates” [1-6]. In this mini review, I will discuss some of the death), or when the number of patients is very small, thus RCTs to better illustrate the concept discussed in the paragraph. making it impractical to conduct a phase III RCT to gather a and where necessary, I will provide examples from well-known statistically significant number of endpoints [1-6]. As you know, in some occasions Health Canada, the Food and Regulatory agencies will often accept evidence from endpoints. They may be used instead of stronger indicators, Drug Administration (FDA), the European Medical Agency clinical trials that show a direct clinical benefit from surrogate such as overall survival or improved quality of life, because the (EMA) and other regulatory agencies may approve new products products are approved on this basis they may not have a true results of the trial can be measured sooner [1-6]. The use of for marketing based on surrogate endpoint data. However, when appreciationBecause RCTsof the using benefit/risk this type ratio. of outcome typically report surrogate endpoints in clinical trials may allow earlier approval threatening diseases, such as cancer [1-6]. Drs. Archambault by regulatory agencies of new drugs to treat serious or life- and Plourde have recently published an article discussing the larger treatment effects than trials reporting final patient outcomes this can increase the benefit part of the benefit/risk J of Pharmacol & Clin Res 5(2): JPCR.MS.ID. 555657 (2018) 001 Journal of Pharmacology & Clinical Research Well Defined and be A Reliable Measure depend of the safety concerns [1-6]. For instance, there are a ratio assessment of a new health product in development in To enhance the information obtained from RCTs regarding number of examples where drugs were approved on the basis the benefit/risk ratio of a new treatment, the surrogate of surrogate endpoints that were later removed from the market monographs because of safety concerns. For instance, cerivastatin endpoints should be well defined and be a reliable measures or have their prescribing significantly restricted in their product that assess the response to that treatment [1-6]. For example, suppose an oncologic drug (Zytiga) that is being evaluated for (Baycol) used for the treatment of hyper lipidemia can caused advanced prostate cancer. Measuring bone pain relief or the the management of bone pains known to be associated with fatal cases of rhabdomyolysis; rosiglitazone (Avandia) used for time to initiate or increase analgesic use as demonstrated in the the treatment of type II diabetes mellitus can increase the risk for the treatment of cardiac arrhythmias can increased cardiac of myocardial infarction and; finally, flecainide (Tambocor) used LATITUDE Trial (2017) [11] would be sensitive but probably less sensitive and specific than measuring the number and format of mortality [8]. These examples demonstrate that selecting in these patients. Therefore this characteristic of sensitivity, patients. There are many potential roles for surrogate endpoint bone metastasis which are the main indicators of bone pains surrogate endpoints is not always for the best interests of the in clinical research [1-6]. For instance, the surrogate endpoint selection of appropriate surrogate endpoints. can be used to effectively achieve the suited objective even if it specificity and reliability usually plays a dominant role in the Easily Measurable and Interpretable induces morbidity or mortality [1-6]. Surrogate endpoints is not on a pathway through which the disease process causally Another consideration in the validation of surrogate endpoints for clinical trials should be that it is easily measurable might also be useful in providing information about whether a [1-6]. Therefore, they might serve as endpoints in a proof-of- treatment has a detectable effect on a specific biological pathway prostate biopsies is used to assess the effects on histological and interpretable [1-6]. If an invasive procedure such as measurements from a treatment for prostate cancer, then even concept trial or as supportive measures in a Phase III RCT [1]. to the fact that they are often cheaper and easier to measure Other advantages of using surrogate endpoints are related if this procedure is highly sensitive and specific, the challenges data because this procedure is highly invasive and dependent on in measuring these outcomes may induce a high risk for missing measure a patient’s blood pressure than to use echocardiography patient motivation. These missing data could cause substantial than ‘true’ clinical endpoints [1-6]. For example, it is easier to to measure left ventricular function, and it is much easier to do bias and an important reduction in interpretability of the study echocardiography than to measure morbidity and mortality from hypertension in the long term as reported by Reboldi composite surrogate endpoints are used [1-6]. Composites results [1-6]. Interpretability also might be reduced when surrogate endpoints are often considered to increase the trial’s G [9]. In clinical trials the use of surrogate endpoints leads to smaller sample sizes [1-6]. For example, to determine the effect sensitivity or the statistical power by increasing the number of of a new drug on blood pressure a relatively small sample size patients experiencing the primary endpoint [1-6]. However, the of approximately 100–200 patients would be needed and the interpretability of such surrogate endpoints is greatly influenced clinical relevance to the other components [1-6]. For instance, trial would be relatively quick (1–2 years). On the other hand, by whether each component of the composite has similar in the study by Kip Ke [12] for the Major Cardiovascular Event to study the prevention of deaths from strokes, a much larger years [1-6]. There may also be ethical problems associated study group would be needed and the trial would take many (MACE) study contained composite endpoint, i.e., the composite is a second-line hormone therapy in the treatment of advanced with measuring the true clinical endpoints. For example Zytiga of “cardiovascular death, stroke or myocardial infarction” [12]. coronary syndrome because each component of the composite is This is interpretable in clinical trials in patients with acute prostate cancer but this drug is known to be hepatotoxic [10]. It the

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