# of Frequency of Travel Time Transfers Daily Service to Manhattan Required Riders/ Weekday/ Weekday/ Weekday/ Parking Type of Transit Weekend (1) Weekend Weekend Other Spaces Ferry to Fire Island 5/ n/a 0 n/a n/a (summers only) 4 Glen Cove 17/ 60 minutes/ 1/ 120/ Long Island Railroad n/a 10 62 minutes 1 125 8 72 min. 0/ Express Bus (Long 0 Midtown 0 n/a n/a Island Transit) 87 min. Downtown Inter-town Bus To 32/ Hempstead (NICE n/a 0 52 min. n/a 16 n27) Inter-county Bus To 11/ Flushing (NICE n20, n/a 1 62 min. n/a 0 n21) 1 commuter n/a n/a loop n/a n/a Weekdays/ Local Transit n/a 1 downtown 7 days loop Sources: LIRR.com, MTA.com Notes: (1) NYC-bound departures Transit Comparison Conclusions Like Glen Cove, LIRR trains from Patchogue require a transfer in order to get to the main NYC terminal at Pennsylvania Station. However, Patchogue Station does not feature an express bus to NYC and has travel times to Manhattan that are 20 to 30 minutes longer than from Glen Street Station. Nevertheless, Patchogue Station represents a more robust overall intermodal transit location than Glen Street Station for the following reasons: 1. LIRR service between Patchogue and New York is more frequent. 2. The nearest stations to Patchogue are approximately 4 miles in each direction, compared to approximately ½ mile at Glen Street Station. There are five stations within a 4-mile radius of Glen Street Station, compared to two stations in the same radius of Patchogue. 3. Patchogue rail ridership is nearly four times the number from Glen Cove. 4. Patchogue has eight inter-town bus routes to nine different Long Island terminals compared to three routes to three terminals for Glen Cove. 5. Patchogue has ferry service to Fire Island within the TOD area during summer months. 6. The station is located approximately ¼ mile from the downtown, and is also approximately one mile south of a major highway (Sunrise Highway – State Route 27) that extends east along the south shore of Suffolk County to Montauk Point. 7. The station has ample parking to accommodate daily passengers. \\nywpdata\projects\28538.00 Glen Cove BOA\reports\Step 2 Nomination Report\Step 2 50 BO A St ep 2 N o m i n at i o n St u d y Nomination Report 9-25-12.docx 8. As a result of Patchogue's more frequent service compared with some other local stations, its highway proximity and ample parking, residents from south shore communities such as Bellport, Mastic, Shirley, Mastic Beach and Center Moriches will sometimes drive to Patchogue and then take the train to points west when traveling during off-peak periods. 9. Conversely, the Ronkonkoma Branch (approximately 6 miles northwest) has even more frequent service than Patchogue and some passengers from the Patchogue area will travel there for even better service. Since the core driver of TOD is a robust transit system, finding ways to increase the amount of transit available should be a priority of the Glen Street Station area. In order to justify increased rail and bus service, greater density of development within walking distance of the Glen Street station will be necessary to increase ridership demand. General Trends in Households and Income Population and Households The table below indicates that the ½-mile and 2-mile populations in Patchogue and Glen Cove are somewhat similar, although the population in Glen Cove is larger and is increasing, while Patchogue’s population has been decreasing. But the residential projects known to be underway in Patchogue may reverse this trend. Estimated Population 1990 2000 CAGR 2011 CAGR 2016 CAGR Patchogue 1/2 Mile 3,909 4,205 0.7% 4,159 -0.1% 4,115 -0.2% 2 Miles 31,451 34,213 0.8% 35,412 0.3% 34,499 -0.5% Glen Cove 1/2 Mile 5,236 5,921 1.2% 6,165 0.4% 6,424 0.8% 2 Miles 37,042 39,793 0.7% 40,244 0.1% 40,666 0.2% Similarly, the number of households in the 1/2-mile and 2-mile radii of each transit station is fairly similar, as indicated in the following table. However, when considering that there are two other transit stations within approximately ½ mile of the Glen Street Station in Glen Cove, the similar population/households are divided into demand for three separate transit stations. This reduces the density of population impacting the Glen Street Station. \\nywpdata\projects\28538.00 Glen Cove BOA\reports\Step 2 Nomination Report\Step 2 51 BO A St ep 2 N o m i n at i o n St u d y Nomination Report 9-25-12.docx Estimated Households 1990 2000 CAGR 2011 CAGR 2016 CAGR Patchogue 1/2 Mile 1,421 1,450 0.2% 1,531 0.5% 1,672 1.8% 2 Miles 11,414 12,733 1.1% 13,654 0.6% 14,712 1.5% Glen Cove 1/2 Mile 2,016 2,316 1.4% 2,440 0.5% 2,686 1.9% 2 Miles 13,299 14,419 0.8% 14,955 0.3% 16,014 1.4% Median Age The median age in Glen Cove and Patchogue are similar, as indicted in the following table. But the median age in both station areas is well above the national average. Like Glen Cove, Patchogue appears to be experiencing the same difficulty in providing adequately priced housing for young people as many other Long Island communities. It is not clear how well the demographic data captures the trends regarding the recent and ongoing development in Patchogue, but it appears that this TOD has, if anything, had an upward impact on median ages. This may be due to few young families with children living nearby the transit locations or possibly older couples downsizing to smaller housing units. Median Age Estimated in Years 1990 2000 CAGR 2011 CAGR 2016 CAGR Patchogue 1/2 Mile 31.9 33.7 0.6% 43.0 2.2% 44.7 0.8% 2 Miles 33.6 36.4 0.8% 41.0 1.1% 42.3 0.6% Glen Cove 1/2 Mile 36.1 38.0 0.5% 43.7 1.3% 45.2 0.7% 2 Miles 37.2 39.3 0.6% 41.9 0.6% 43.4 0.7% United States 32.9 35.3 0.7% 36.9 0.4% 37.8 0.5% Median Household Income The table below indicates that the median household income within ½ mile of each transit station is very similar. However, the median household income beyond the ½-mile radius of Glen Cove is substantially higher than in Patchogue, where it is only somewhat higher than that found within the ½-mile radius. While median incomes in the ½-mile radius of both stations do not indicate widespread poverty and are likely to be sufficient to support market-rate housing, other anecdotal evidence regarding income and poverty levels in the Orchard neighborhood immediately to the south may indicate that some affordable housing set aside would be prudent at any TOD associated with the Glen Street Station. The comparison of median household incomes to the national median provides insight into the comparative difference in wealth to the rest of the nation, indicating that both Glen Cove and Patchogue compare fairly well on a national scale. \\nywpdata\projects\28538.00 Glen Cove BOA\reports\Step 2 Nomination Report\Step 2 52 BO A St ep 2 N o m i n at i o n St u d y Nomination Report 9-25-12.docx Median Household Estimated Income 1990 2000 CAGR 2011 CAGR 2016 CAGR Patchogue 1/2 Mile 32,051 44,074 3.2% 60,345 2.9% 65,634 1.7% 2 Miles 40,162 56,156 3.4% 69,430 1.9% 77,062 2.1% Glen Cove 1/2 Mile 42,255 48,897 1.5% 60,012 1.9% 66,033 1.9% 2 Miles 45,445 61,514 3.1% 80,897 2.5% 89,858 2.1% United States 30,099 42,253 3.5% 53,616 2.2% 58,708 1.8% Percentage of Owner Occupied Housing While there was a higher percentage of home ownership ratios in the Glen Street Station TOD area than the Patchogue Station area in 1990, by 2016 these figures are projected to be nearly identical. The recent and projected increase in homeownership in the Patchogue area reflects recent and projected development activity within a half mile of the station area. Home ownership ratios inside and outside the Glen Street TOD areas have been stable. Estimated % Owner Occupied 1990 2000 CAGR 2011 CAGR 2016 CAGR Patchogue 1/2 Mile 40.7% 40.2% -0.1% 48.0% 1.6% 48.1% 0.0% 2 Miles 60.9% 59.3% -0.3% 61.0% 0.3% 60.9% 0.0% Glen Cove 1/2 Mile 51.5% 48.8% -0.5% 49.7% 0.2% 48.8% -0.4% 2 Miles 64.5% 63.2% -0.2% 65.7% 0.4% 65.0% -0.2% Development Trends Prior to Public Involvement The Patchogue Station area had been declining economically since the 1960s. The area immediately surrounding the station was dominated by industrial properties that (other than the Clare Rose beer distributor) were shrinking in productivity and most eventually closed, leaving blighted, vacant industrial buildings that were physically and functionally obsolete. A nearby apartment building was also falling into disrepair and failing to meet the safety and comfort needs of its tenants.