Study on Economic Partnership Projects in Developing Countries in FY2016 Pre-feasibility Study for New Terminal Development Project at Jomo Kenyatta International Airport in the Republic of Kenya Final Report February 2017 The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry PREFACE This Study Report was prepared by JGC Corporation in response to a request by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) for Pre-feasibility Study for New Terminal Development Project in Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (hereinafter, JKIA) in the Republic of Kenya as a study on Economic Partnership Projects in Developing Countries in FY2016. The re-based Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the Republic of Kenya (hereinafter, Kenya) figures of USD 58.1 Billion in 2014 elevated Kenya to a Lower Middle Income Country, one of the largest economies in Sub-Saharan Africa and amongst the fastest growing in the world. Additionally, Kenya is located in the center of East Africa, and is expected the more economic growth as the economic, commercial and logistical hub in East and Central Africa. JKIA is a sole international airport at the capital city of Kenya as well as the gateway to East and Central Africa. The number of passenger using JKIA decreased in 2008 and 2013 following respective elections, however in later years it was increased smoothly, with the number of annual international passengers reaching 3.9 million, domestic passengers 1.4 million and cargo volume 240 thousand tons in 2015. Kenya aims at being a middle income providing high quality life for all citizens by the year 2030 Dec. in “Kenya Vision 2030", launched July, 2008. The modernization and expansion of JKIA is considered as one of the most important projects that are central to economic development of Kenya. Under the above circumstances, the Study Team conducted a Pre-feasibility study for the Project in an effort to build world class airport, addressing technical, financial, economic, social and environmental aspects. The Study Team sincerely hopes that this report will be of help in realizing the Project and be useful as well for the concerned parties of both countries. February, 2017 JGC CORPORATION MAP Source: National online project Abbreviation 2011M/P : National Airports System Plan 2011、2011 年マスタープラン ACN : Aircraft Classification Number、航空機等級別番号 ADS : Automatic Dependent Surveillance、自動従属監視 ADP : Aéroports de Paris、パリ空港公団 AFD : Agence Française de Developpement、フランス開発庁 AfDB : African Development Bank、アフリカ開発銀行 AIP : Aeronutical Information Publication、航空路誌 ASDA : Accelerate Stop Distance Available、有効加速停止距離 ASECNA : Agence pour la Securite de la Navigation Aerienne en Afrique et a Madagascar、航 空保安会社 ATC : Air Traffic Control、航空交通管制 AU : African Union、アフリカ連合 CCTV : Closed Circuit Television、監視・防犯テレビ CIP : Commercial Important Person、商業的重要人物 CNS/ATM : Communication, Navigation, Surveillance/Air Traffic Management、通信、航法、 監視および航空交通管理 CUTE : Common Used Terminal Equipment、供用ターミナル機器 EIE/EIA : Etude d’Impact Environnemental/Environmental Impact Assesment、環境影響評 価 FIR : Flight Information Region、航空情報区 GDP : Gross Domestic Product、国内総生産 GSE : Ground Services Equipment 、空港支援装備 IATA : International Air Transport Association、国際航空運送協会 ICAO : International Civil Aviation Organization、国際航空民間機関 ILS : Instrument Landing System 、計器着陸施設 JBIC : Japan Bank for International Cooperation、国際協力銀行 JETRO : Japan External Trade Organization、日本貿易振興機構 JICA : Japanese International Cooperation Agency、国際協力機構 JKIA : Jomo Kenyatta International Airport、ジョモ・ケニヤッタ国際空港 KAA : Kenya Airports Authority、ケニア空港会社 KCAA : Kenya Civil Aviation Authority、ケニア民間航空局 KES : Kenyan Shilling、ケニアシリング KQ : Kenya Airways、ケニア航空 LDA : Landing Distance Available、有効着陸距離 LED : Light Emitting Diode、光放射ダイオード MECIE : La Mise En Compatibilité des Investissements Avec L’Environnemen (Environmental Compatibility and Investment) 、環境影響評価法 MOTI&HUD : Ministry of Transport, Infrastructure, Housing & Urban Development、ケニア運輸 インフラ省 MSL : Mean Sea Level、平均海面上 NACO : Netherlands Airport Consultant、オランダ空港コンサルタント NDB : Non Directional Beacon、無指向性無線標識施設 NEMA : Natural Environmental Management Authority、ケニア環境省 O&M : Operation and Maintenance、運営維持管理 PAPI : Precision Approch Path Indicator、精密進入角表示灯 PAX : Passenger、旅客 PBX : Private Branch Exchange、個人用回線交換台 PCN : Pavement Classification Number、舗装等級番号 PHP : Peak Hour Passenger、ピーク時間旅客 PMU : Project Management Unit PREE : Programme d’Engagement Environnemental (Environmental Management Program) 、環境管理プログラム R/W : Runway、滑走路 STD : Standard Time for Departure、標準出発時間 TODA : Take Off Distance Available、有効離陸距離 TORA : Take Off Run Available、有効離陸滑走距離 T/W : Taxyway、誘導路 UPS : Uninterrruptible Power System、無停電電源装置 VIP : Very Important Person、要人 VOR/DME : VHF omni Direction Ranging/Distance Measuring Equipment、VHF 全方位無線 標識 WB : World Bank、世界銀行 Pre-feasibility Study for New Terminal Development Project at JKIA in the Republic of Kenya Pre-feasibility Study for New Terminal Development Project in JKIA in the Republic of Kenya Draft Final Report Table of Contents Chapter 0 Summary Chapter 1 Overview of Kenya and Kenyan Aviation Sector 1.1 Economical and Financial Condition in Kenya ...............................................................1-1 1.2 Overview of Aviation Sector in Kenya ............................................................................1-5 1.3 Condition of Project Area ................................................................................................1-9 Chapter 2 Survey Method 2.1 Objectives of Survey ........................................................................................................2-1 2.2 Survey Area ......................................................................................................................2-1 2.3 Scope of Survey ...............................................................................................................2-2 2.4 Survey Schedule and Organization ..................................................................................2-4 Chapter 3 Outline of the Project and Technical Feasibility 3.1 Current Situation and Problems at the Airport .................................................................3-1 3.2 Basic Policy Related Project Component ...................................................................... 3-14 3.3 Necessary Technologies to be Considered for the Project ............................................. 3-24 3.4 Outline of the Project ..................................................................................................... 3-28 3.5 Effect of the Project on Stable Supply of Energy Sources to Japan ............................... 3-33 Chapter 4 Environmental and Social Considerations 4.1 Analysis of Present Condition for Environmental and Social Considerations .................4-1 4.2 Outlines of Laws, Rules, and Regulations related to Environmental and Social Considerations in Kenya, and Necessity Action for the Requirements ...........................4-3 4.3 Matters to be completed by Related Authorities including the Implementing Agency to Realize the Projects ..........................................................................................................4-6 4.4 Requests Related to Environmental and Social Considerations from the Implementing Agency to the Japan Side .................................................................................................4-7 - i - Pre-feasibility Study for New Terminal Development Project at JKIA in the Republic of Kenya Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Analysis 5.1 Project Cost Estimate .......................................................................................................5-1 5.2 Result of the preliminary financial and economic analysis ..............................................5-3 Chapter 6 Project Implementation Schedule 6.1 On-going Projects at JKIA ...............................................................................................6-1 6.2 Necessity of Detailed Master Plan (Revision of the Airport Master Plan) ......................6-4 6.3 Preconditions for Project Implementation Schedule ........................................................6-6 6.4 Project Implementation Schedule .................................................................................. 6-11 6.5 Future Action for the New PTB Construction ................................................................ 6-13 - ii - Summary Table of Contents Chapter 0 Summary........................................................................................................... 0-1 0.1 Overview of Kenya and Kenyan Aviation Sector ....................................................... 0-1 0.2 Overview of Aviation Sector in Kenya and the Project Site ..................................... 0-1 0.2 Survey Method ................................................................................................................ 0-3 0.2.1 Objectives of Survey and Survey Area ....................................................................... 0-3 0.2.2 Survey Schedule and Organization ............................................................................. 0-3 0.3 Outline of the Project and Technical Feasibility ......................................................... 0-3 0.3.1 Background and Necessity of the Project................................................................... 0-3 0.3.2 Basic Policy Related Project Component ................................................................... 0-5 0.3.3 Necessary Technologies to be considered