View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by AFTI Scholar (Air Force Institute of Technology) Air Force Institute of Technology AFIT Scholar Theses and Dissertations Student Graduate Works 3-2004 Improving the Estimation of Military Worth of the Advanced Tactical Laser through Simulation Aggregation Michael T. Cook Follow this and additional works at: https://scholar.afit.edu/etd Part of the Risk Analysis Commons Recommended Citation Cook, Michael T., "Improving the Estimation of Military Worth of the Advanced Tactical Laser through Simulation Aggregation" (2004). Theses and Dissertations. 4021. https://scholar.afit.edu/etd/4021 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Student Graduate Works at AFIT Scholar. It has been accepted for inclusion in Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of AFIT Scholar. For more information, please contact [email protected]. IMPROVING THE ESTIMATION OF THE MILITARY WORTH OF THE ADVANCED TACTICAL LASER THROUGH SIMULATION AGGREGATION THESIS Michael T. Cook, Captain, USAF AFIT/GOR/ENS/04-04 DEPARTMENT OF THE AIR FORCE AIR UNIVERSITY AIR FORCE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE; DISTRIBUTION UNLIMITED The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the United States Air Force, Department of Defense, or the United States Government. AFIT/GOR/ENS/04-04 IMPROVING THE ESTIMATION OF THE MILITARY WORTH OF THE ADVANCED TACTICAL LASER THROUGH SIMULATION AGGREGATION THESIS Presented to the Faculty Department of Mathematics and Statistics Graduate School of Operational Sciences Air Force Institute of Technology Air University Air Education and Training Command In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Information Resource Management Michael T. Cook, B.S. Captain, USAF March 2004 APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE; DISTRIBUTION UNLIMITED. AFIT/GOR/ENS/04-04 IMPROVING THE ESTIMATION OF THE MILITARY WORTH OF THE ADVANCED TACTICAL LASER THROUGH SIMULATION AGGREGATION Michael T Cook, B.S. Captain, USAF Approved: _____________________________________ ______________ Dr. John O. Miller date _____________________________________ ______________ Lt Col Robert T. Brigantic date AFIT/GOR/ENS/04-04 Abstract Fielding High Energy Laser (HEL) weapon systems presents technological challenges as well as employment and financial challenges. The risk associated with the challenges mandates the development process include computer simulation models capable of predicting weapon system performance from the engineering level to assessing the military worth of employing HEL systems in combat scenarios. This research effort focuses on developing laser performance data at a higher fidelity engagement model and integrating the performance data into a mission level model. The propagation of the laser from the transmitting aperture to the target is modeled at the engagement level through the employment of the High Energy Laser End-to-End Operational Simulation (HELEEOS), developed by the AFIT Center for Directed Energy (CDE). The output from HELEEOS directly transfers into data lookup tables for the Extended Air Defense Simulation Model (EADSIM). The EADSIM simulations asses the combat performance of a proposed new HEL weapon, the Advanced Tactical Laser (ATL), in a well-defined mission level scenario based on HEL Joint Technology Office (JTO) requirements for future HEL systems. EADSIM is a mission level simulation model included in the Air Force Analytical Tool Kit. Specifically the research explores the development of the necessary information requirements for HELEEOS and EADSIM to accurately model ATL effects and evaluates challenges related to modeling HEL engagements in EADSIM. Results include discussion on EADSIM HEL weapons modeling capabilities, recommendations on general mission level characteristics that should be modeled, and appropriate measures of performance for campaign-level modeling. iv Acknowledgements This thesis was not a single-handed effort. Many people contributed to helping me get out of this hole I seem to have dug. I’d like to thank everyone regardless of whether they considered it their duty or not. I’d like to first thank my advisor, J.O.-dawg, for his dedication and using a great deal of wisdom to guide me to the more important and interesting parts of the project and for making sure I didn’t get too far off track. I’d like to thank Mr. Richard Bartell for his time and effort in explaining the physics of the laser and the capabilities of HELEEOS. I’d like to thank Dr. Phil Amburn for the many hours and after hours spent on script development. It was desperately needed. Without the guidance of Dr. Miller and the expertise of Rick and Phil, the thesis may never have made it off the runway or landed safely. I’d like to thank my committee, LtCol. Brigantic, for investing valuable time to improve the quality of my thesis. I’d also like to thank those who took me in for the last two quarters. I would like to thank Lt. Chow and Capt. Pawling for their occasional suggestions and ideas. I would like to thank the GOR- 04 class for being a rowdy bunch of all out fun punks. Finally, I would like to thank God for sustaining my every breath and the contributions He has made to keep my heart on task. Michael T. Cook v Table of Contents Page Abstract.............................................................................................................................. iv Acknowledgements............................................................................................................. v List of Figures.................................................................................................................... ix List of Tables ..................................................................................................................... xi I. Introduction .................................................................................................................... 1 Background .................................................................................................................... 1 Problem Statement ......................................................................................................... 4 Research Objectives....................................................................................................... 4 Scope.............................................................................................................................. 6 General Scenario..................................................................................................... 6 Measures of Effectiveness ...................................................................................... 7 Summary ........................................................................................................................ 9 II. Literature Review......................................................................................................... 10 Transition Though the Hierarchy................................................................................. 10 Unique Challenges of Laser Modeling ........................................................................ 11 Energy Loss .......................................................................................................... 14 Research of Captain Maurice C. Azar.......................................................................... 16 General Description .............................................................................................. 16 Input from Brightness Equation............................................................................ 18 Unaddressed Issues ............................................................................................... 24 HELEEOS.................................................................................................................... 25 Background........................................................................................................... 25 HELEEOS Assumptions....................................................................................... 27 HELEEOS Output................................................................................................. 28 EADSIM Input............................................................................................................. 29 Overview............................................................................................................... 29 EADSIM Laser Basics.......................................................................................... 33 Lethality Determination........................................................................................ 34 Required Input: Propagation Table, Vulnerability Table ..................................... 37 Correlating the Input and Output ................................................................................. 39 Analysis Techniques .................................................................................................... 41 Summary ...................................................................................................................... 42 vi Page III. Methodology............................................................................................................... 43 General Methodology .................................................................................................