Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova September-October 2017 Detailed Methodology • The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research . The field work was carried out by Magenta Consulting . • Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 23 and October 17, 2017 through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,514 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is representative of the general population by age, gender, education, region and settlement size. • A multistage probability sampling method was used, with random route and next birthday respondent selection procedures. • Stage One: All districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria) were surveyed. • Stage Two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages). o Settlements were selected at random. o The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the particular type of the settlement in each region. • Stage Three: Primary sampling units were described. • Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural, and gender. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent. • The response rate was 65 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development . 2 Mood of the Country Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer 90% 83% 82% 79% 78% 80% 73% 74% 70% 66% 61% 58% 57% 58% 55% 62% 60% 54% 54% 53% 51% 51% 47% 47% 50% 45% 42% 38% 41% 40% 40% 38% 42% 41% 32% 37% 30% 34% 33% 32% 33% 30% 31% 27% 20% 19% 22% 21% 13% 11% 17% 10% 16% 10% 14% 15% 14% 15% 14% 12% 13% 12% 10% 11% 11% 8% 9% 9% 8% 8% 6% 0% 5% 5% 5% 6% Apr-06 Apr-08 Jan-12 Oct-15 Oct-17 Jun-09 Jun-14 Sep-10 Sep-14 Sep-16 Feb-10 Feb-11 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-04 Mar-07 Aug-11 Dec-11 Nov-08 Nov-09 Nov-04 May-10 *In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. **In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular election of the president since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second round contest on November 13, 2016. 4 Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today? I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast No change is taking place Don’t know/No answer October 2017 4% 48% 7% 39% 2% March 2017 10% 45% 9% 33% 3% September 2016 3% 38% 7% 49% 3% March 2016 4% 31% 15% 46% 4% October 2015 1% 30% 15% 50% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 5 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer October 2017 15% 45% 21% 16% 3% March 2017 1% 16% 35% 29% 15% 3% September 2016 1% 6% 25% 30% 35% 3% March 2016 1% 6% 23% 32% 36% 2% October 2015 4% 16% 34% 42% 4% September 2014 6% 22% 24% 21% 19% 7% June 2014 4% 20% 33% 23% 14% 6% January 2012 2% 13% 31% 28% 22% 4% December 2011 2% 15% 20% 31% 29% 3% August 2011 5% 23% 34% 17% 18% 3% February 2011 3% 25% 27% 22% 18% 5% September 2010 5% 18% 28% 26% 17% 6% May 2010 2% 14% 30% 30% 19% 5% February 2010 2% 11% 24% 38% 21% 4% November 2009 2% 8% 34% 39% 10% 7% June 2009 1% 9% 22% 42% 20% 5% November 2008 2% 20% 30% 28% 15% 5% April 2008 2% 13% 30% 29% 20% 6% March 2007 4% 24% 32% 27% 10% 4% April 2006 3% 24% 36% 27% 5% 5% November 2004 5% 26% 37% 22% 6% 4% March 2004 3% 23% 37% 25% 9% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 6 Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer October 2017 12% 56% 19% 12% 1% March 2017 1% 11% 53% 23% 10% 2% September 2016 1% 7% 42% 24% 23% 2% March 2016 1% 5% 32% 33% 27% 2% October 2015 4% 24% 33% 35% 4% September 2014 4% 21% 38% 19% 15% 3% June 2014 2% 18% 45% 24% 9% 2% January 2012 2% 10% 41% 29% 15% 3% December 2011 1% 13% 39% 28% 17% 2% August 2011 4% 18% 43% 18% 14% 3% February 2011 1% 16% 34% 31% 15% 3% September 2010 4% 14% 36% 29% 14% 4% May 2010 1% 11% 42% 29% 15% 2% February 2010 1% 8% 36% 36% 16% 4% November 2009 1% 7% 46% 34% 9% 3% June 2009 1% 9% 32% 36% 17% 5% November 2008 1% 15% 39% 27% 14% 4% April 2008 2% 11% 37% 25% 16% 9% March 2007 3% 19% 41% 23% 9% 5% April 2006 2% 25% 44% 22% 5% 1% November 2004 4% 23% 47% 20% 5% 1% March 2004 2% 16% 48% 22% 10% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 7 In your opinion, how will the economic situation of Moldova change in the next 12 months? Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer October 2017 1% 20% 42% 14% 8% 15% March 2017 4% 27% 32% 19% 7% 11% September 2016 1% 13% 35% 20% 17% 14% March 2016 2% 14% 34% 21% 19% 10% October 2015 1% 6% 21% 30% 32% 10% September 2014 11% 27% 24% 11% 12% 15% June 2014 6% 24% 29% 17% 7% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 8 What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) Low income/Pensions 42% Unemployment 36% Corruption 28% Emigration 15% Poverty 14% High prices/Inflation 12% Bad government 11% Economic crisis 9% Roads 7% Government indifference 5% Healthcare 4% Expensive utilities/Housing 4% Citizen indifference 3% Conflicts between politicians 3% Political crisis 3% Low standard of living 3% Expensive medicine 3% Education 2% Social assistance 2% Crime 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 9 What are the most important problems facing your village/town at the moment? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) Roads 43% Unemployment 18% Cleanliness 12% Water supply 10% Insufficient street lighting 9% Lack of public transport 8% Low income/Pensions 7% Emigration 7% Bad mayor 6% Lack of sanitation or sewerage 5% Corruption 5% Gas supply 5% Expensive utilities/Housing 4% High prices/Inflation 4% School closing 3% Traffic 3% Lack of parks 3% Bad infrastructure 3% Healthcare system 3% Poverty 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 10 What are the most important problems facing you and your household? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) Low income/Financial problems 50% Unemployment 16% Health problems 12% Emigration 8% Expensive utilities/Housing 7% High prices/Inflation 6% No firewood 4% Expensive medicine/Poor medical services 4% Loneliness 3% Poverty 3% Poor social assistance 3% Water supply 3% Poor housing and utilities 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 11 How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer October 2017 1% 17% 33% 44% 5% March 2017 2% 24% 34% 37% 3% September 2016 2% 12% 26% 54% 6% March 2016 3% 11% 22% 58% 6% October 2015 1% 7% 23% 66% 3% September 2014 9% 31% 26% 26% 7% June 2014 4% 41% 30% 16% 9% January 2012 1% 18% 43% 27% 11% December 2011 3% 23% 36% 29% 9% August 2011 5% 25% 39% 22% 9% February 2011 3% 29% 36% 21% 10% September 2010 5% 23% 41% 24% 8% May 2010 2% 27% 40% 21% 10% February 2010 4% 22% 37% 27% 10% November 2009 3% 27% 37% 20% 14% June 2009 1% 16% 41% 25% 17% November 2008 2% 21% 42% 20% 15% April 2008 2% 17% 41% 24% 16% March 2007 5% 21% 41% 18% 15% April 2006 1% 25% 43% 14% 17% November 2004 2% 26% 44% 14% 14% March 2004 2% 24% 44% 17% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 12 Which of these statements is closest to your point of view? Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change) Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order Don't know/No answer October 2017 61% 17% 17% 5% March 2017 60% 17% 13% 10% September 2016 78% 9% 7% 6% March 2016 74% 12% 6% 8% October 2015 71% 14% 9% 6% September 2014 58% 21% 11% 10% June 2014 57% 24% 8% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 13 If you could choose only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of governance or a prosperous economy? Democracy is definitely more important to me Democracy is somewhat more important to me Economic prosperity is somewhat more important to me Economic prosperity is definitely more important to me Don’t know/No answer October 2017 12% 7% 21% 54% 6% March 2017 17% 9% 20% 50% 4% September 2016 17% 6% 24% 43% 10% March 2016 22% 13% 17% 40% 8% October 2015 18% 7% 15% 53% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 14 Views on Corruption Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the majority of people or the interest of some groups? Majority of people Some groups Don't know/No answer October 2017 5% 91% 4% March 2017 7% 89% 4% September 2016 5% 90% 5% March 2016 17% 78% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 16 How big of a problem is corruption in Moldova today? It is a very big problem It is a big problem It is not a big problem It is not an problem at all Don't know/No answer October 2017 85% 11% 2% 2% March 2017 75% 19% 3% 1% 2% September 2016 89% 7% 1% 1% 2% March 2016 87% 8% 1% 1% 3% October 2015