See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/330842954 FLORIDA KEYS TERRESTRIAL ADAPTATION PROJECT: Florida Keys Case Study on Incorporating Climate Change Considerations into Conservation Planning and Actions for Threatened and Endang... Technical Report · January 2018 CITATION READS 1 438 6 authors, including: Logan Benedict Jason M. Evans Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission Stetson University 2 PUBLICATIONS 1 CITATION 87 PUBLICATIONS 983 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE SEE PROFILE Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects: Conservation Clinic View project Vinson Institute Policy Papers View project All content following this page was uploaded by Jason M. Evans on 27 April 2020. The user has requested enhancement of the downloaded file. USFWS Cooperative Agreement F16AC01213 Florida Keys Case Study on Incorporating Climate Change Considerations into Conservation Planning and Actions for Threatened and Endangered Species Project Coordinator: Logan Benedict, Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission Project Team: Bob Glazer, Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission Chris Bergh, The Nature Conservancy Steve Traxler, US Fish and Wildlife Service Beth Stys, Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission Jason Evans, Stetson University Project Report Photo by Logan Benedict Cover Photo by Ricardo Zambrano 1 | Page USFWS Cooperative Agreement F16AC01213 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................................................................ 5 2. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ......................................................................................................................................... 5 3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................................... 6 4. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................................... 9 5. PROJECT PHASE I: CLIMATE ADAPTATION CONSIDERATIONS .................................................................... 13 5.1 PROJECT OBJECTIVES .................................................................................................................................. 13 5.2 METHODS ........................................................................................................................................................ 13 5.2.1 INITIAL PLANNING PERIOD ......................................................................................................................... 13 5.2.2 THE SCENARIOS – SEA LEVEL RISE THRESHOLDS ....................................................................................... 16 5.2.3 WORKSHOP 1 – IMPACTS TO SPECIES UNDER SEA LEVEL RISE .................................................................. 19 5.2.4 WORKSHOP 2 – PRIORITIZING ADAPTATION OPTIONS .............................................................................. 20 5.3 RESULTS ......................................................................................................................................................... 21 5.3.1 BIG PINE PARTRIDGE PEA (CHAMAECRISTA LINEATA VAR. KEYENSIS) ...................................................... 22 5.3.2 FLORIDA KEYS TREE CACTUS (PILOSOCEREUS ROBINII) ............................................................................. 23 5.3.3 SCHAUS SWALLOWTAIL BUTTERFLY (HERICLIDES ARISTODEMUS PONCEANUS) ...................................... 24 5.3.4 AMERICAN CROCODILE (CROCODYLUS ACUTUS) ....................................................................................... 25 5.3.5 KEY DEER (ODOCOILEUS VIRGINIANUS CLAVIUM)..................................................................................... 25 5.3.6 KEY LARGO WOODRAT (NEOTOMA FLORIDANA SMALLI).......................................................................... 26 5.3.7 THE LOWER KEYS MARSH RABBIT (SYLVILAGUS PALUSTRIS HEFNERI) ...................................................... 27 5.3.8 SPECIFIC RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH ADAPTATION ACTIONS ....................................................................... 27 5.3.9 EX-SITU ADAPTATION OPTIONS ................................................................................................................. 31 5.3.10 SPECIES TRANSLOCATIONS .............................................................................................................. 31 5.3.11 AGENCY POLICY AND PLANNING ............................................................................................................. 32 5.3.12 ADAPTIVE CAPACITY ................................................................................................................................ 33 5.4 DISCUSSION ................................................................................................................................................... 33 5.5 CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................................................................... 37 6. PROJECT PHASE II: MANAGING FOR CHANGE................................................................................................ 39 6.1 OBJECTIVES .................................................................................................................................................... 39 6.2 METHODS ........................................................................................................................................................ 39 6.2.1 WORKSHOP EXECUTION ............................................................................................................................ 41 6.3 RESULTS ......................................................................................................................................................... 44 6.3.1 THE LOWER KEYS MARSH RABBIT (SYLVILAGUS PALUSTRIS HEFNERI) ................................... 44 2 | Page USFWS Cooperative Agreement F16AC01213 6.4 DISCUSSION ................................................................................................................................................... 47 6.5 CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................................................................... 48 6.5.1 PLANNING CYCLE UPDATE ......................................................................................................................... 49 6.5.2 NEXT STEPS ................................................................................................................................................ 50 7. PROJECT TEAM ..................................................................................................................................................... 51 8. LITERATURE CITED ............................................................................................................................................... 54 9. APPENDICES ............................................................................................................................................................. APPENDIX 1. PROJECT PARTICIPANTS ................................................................................ Appendix 1 - i APPENDIX 2. SEA LEVEL RISE AFFECTING MARSH MODEL RESULTS .................... Appendix 2 - i 2.1 LOWER KEYS SLAMM .................................................................................................... Appendix 2 - i 2.2 MIDDLE KEYS SLAMM ................................................................................................... Appendix 2 - v 2.3 UPPER KEYS SLAMM ...................................................................................................... Appendix 2 - x APPENDIX 3. WORKSHOP AGENDAS ..................................................................................... Appendix 3 - i 3.1 WORKSHOP 1 AGENDA ................................................................................................... Appendix 3 - i 3.2 WORKSHOP 2 AGENDA ................................................................................................. Appendix 3 - vi 3.3 WORKSHOP 3 AGENDA .................................................................................................. Appendix 3 - x APPENDIX 4. WORKSHOP FEEDBACK ................................................................................... Appendix 4 - i APPENDIX 5. PRE WORKSHOP 2 WORKSHEET ................................................................. Appendix 5 - i APPENDIX 6. SPECIES-SPECIFIC RESULTS ........................................................................ Appendix 6 - i 6.1 BIG PINE PARTRIDGE PEA ............................................................................................ Appendix 6 - i 6.2 BLODGETT’S SILVERBUSH .......................................................................................... Appendix 6 - v 6.3 CAPE SABLE THOROUGHWORT .............................................................................. Appendix 6 - viii 6.4 GARBER’S SPURGE .......................................................................................................... Appendix 6 - x 6.5 KEY TREE-CACTUS ......................................................................................................