Offshore Wind Transmission Study Comparison of Options

Offshore Wind Transmission Study Comparison of Options

Offshore Wind Transmission Study Comparison of Options prepared for New Jersey Board of Public Utilities December 29, 2020 Page 1 Table of Contents I. Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................1 Recommendation ................................................................................................................................. 4 II. Background ................................................................................................................................5 Radial Export Cables ............................................................................................................................. 5 Ocean Grid ............................................................................................................................................ 6 Hybrid System ....................................................................................................................................... 8 Power Corridor ..................................................................................................................................... 8 III. Information Gathering Process ................................................................................................. 10 July-August 2020 OSW Transmission Stakeholder Meetings ............................................................. 12 IV. European Lessons Learned ........................................................................................................ 16 Study 1: Offshore Wind - A European Perspective, New York Power Authority ................................ 18 Study 2: Market Design for an Efficient Transmission of Offshore Wind Energy, DIW ECON ............ 21 Study 3: Connecting Offshore Wind Farms – A Comparison of Offshore Electricity Grid Development Models in Northwest Europe, Navigant Netherlands B.V. ................................................................. 24 Study 4: Transmission Policy Lessons from Europe’s Offshore Wind Experience, Dr. Deniz Ozkan .. 28 Lessons Learned Findings ................................................................................................................... 29 V. Offshore Transmission for New Jersey ...................................................................................... 33 Early OSW Development ..................................................................................................................... 33 Current OSW Development ................................................................................................................ 34 New Jersey OSW Potential ................................................................................................................. 35 VI. Capital Costs of Offshore Transmission Designs ......................................................................... 38 Stakeholder Positions on Capital Cost ................................................................................................ 38 Competitive Pressures to Minimize Capital Costs .............................................................................. 40 PJM Studies for New Jersey’s State Agreement Approach................................................................. 42 Onshore Capital Costs ......................................................................................................................... 43 VII. Project-on-Project Coordination and Risk .................................................................................. 44 Coordination Challenges ..................................................................................................................... 44 Regulatory Risks .................................................................................................................................. 46 OSW Project Delays ............................................................................................................................ 47 German Project-on-Project Risk Example ........................................................................................... 49 U.S. Examples ...................................................................................................................................... 51 Project-on-Project Risk Impacts on Ratepayers ................................................................................. 52 VIII. Environmental Impacts ............................................................................................................. 53 NY/NJ Ocean Grid ............................................................................................................................... 54 Construction Method.......................................................................................................................... 54 BOEM Environmental Studies ............................................................................................................. 56 Environmental Impacts During Construction ..................................................................................... 57 Environmental Impacts During Operation .......................................................................................... 58 Future Proofing ................................................................................................................................... 61 - i - IX. Technology, Redundancy, Reliability, and Losses ....................................................................... 63 Overview ............................................................................................................................................. 63 HVAC and HVDC Technology .............................................................................................................. 64 HVAC and HVDC Common and Differentiating Factors ...................................................................... 65 Cable and Converter Reliability .......................................................................................................... 66 Redundancy ........................................................................................................................................ 67 Performance ....................................................................................................................................... 67 Engineering, Procurement, and Construction .................................................................................... 68 Losses .................................................................................................................................................. 69 Operating and Maintenance Costs ..................................................................................................... 69 Ocean Grid Energy Transfers .............................................................................................................. 70 HVAC and HVDC Applications to Date ................................................................................................ 71 X. Long-Term Planning versus Flexibility ........................................................................................ 74 Long-Term Planning Considerations ................................................................................................... 74 Headroom at Points of Interconnection ............................................................................................. 75 Extrinsic Benefits................................................................................................................................. 76 XI. Business Structure, Financing, and Ratepayer Risk ..................................................................... 77 Offshore Transmission Business Structures........................................................................................ 77 Onshore Transmission Examples ........................................................................................................ 79 Financing ............................................................................................................................................. 79 Cost Recovery and Ratepayer Risk ..................................................................................................... 81 XII. State Benefits and Procurement Process ................................................................................... 83 State Benefits ...................................................................................................................................... 83 Procurement Process .......................................................................................................................... 84 State Agreement Approach ................................................................................................................ 86 Common Concerns.............................................................................................................................. 86 Appendix 1 – Radial Export Cable, Ocean Grid, and Power Corridor Comparison Table ................... A1-1 - ii - I. Executive Summary Levitan & Associates, Inc. (LAI) prepared this Transmission Study for the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities (Board) to evaluate the range of commercial, technical, environmental, and operational advantages / disadvantages of offshore wind (OSW) transmission options. LAI’s scope of work was centered on the evaluation of radial export cable and ocean

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