I-495 Express Lanes Northern Extension Socioeconomic and Land Use Technical Report ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT Socioeconomic and Land Use Technical Report February 2020 Environmental Assessment February 2020 1 I-495 Express Lanes Northern Extension Socioeconomic and Land Use Technical Report TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.0 Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Project Termini ........................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Study Area .................................................................................................................................. 1 1.3 Limit of Disturbance ................................................................................................................... 2 1.4 Purpose and Need ....................................................................................................................... 2 2.0 Alternatives ...................................................................................................................................... 4 2.1 No Build Alternative................................................................................................................... 4 2.2 Build Alternative ........................................................................................................................ 4 3.0 Land Use, Property, and Right-of-way ............................................................................................ 4 3.1 Methodology ............................................................................................................................... 4 3.2 Existing Conditions .................................................................................................................... 1 3.2.1 Existing Land Use ................................................................................................................. 1 3.2.2 Land Use and Transportation Plans ...................................................................................... 3 3.2.3 Future Land Use and Transportation Plans ........................................................................... 3 3.3 Environmental Consequences ..................................................................................................... 4 4.0 Communities and Community Facilities ......................................................................................... 2 4.1 Communities ............................................................................................................................... 2 4.1.1 Methodology ......................................................................................................................... 2 4.1.2 Existing Conditions ............................................................................................................... 2 4.1.3 Environmental Consequences ............................................................................................... 1 4.2 Community Facilities.................................................................................................................. 1 4.2.1 Methodology ......................................................................................................................... 1 4.2.2 Existing Conditions ............................................................................................................... 1 4.2.3 Environmental Consequences ............................................................................................... 7 5.0 Demographics and Environmental Justice ....................................................................................... 8 5.1 Population and Housing Characteristics ..................................................................................... 8 5.1.1 Methodology ......................................................................................................................... 8 5.1.2 Existing Conditions ............................................................................................................. 10 5.1.3 Environmental Consequences ............................................................................................. 12 5.2 Environmental Justice ............................................................................................................... 13 5.2.1 Methodology ....................................................................................................................... 13 5.2.2 Existing Conditions ............................................................................................................. 16 5.2.3 Environmental Consequences ............................................................................................. 19 6.0 Economics ...................................................................................................................................... 20 6.1 Methodology ............................................................................................................................. 20 6.2 Existing Conditions .................................................................................................................. 20 6.3 Environmental Consequences ................................................................................................... 26 7.0 References ...................................................................................................................................... 27 Environmental Assessment February 2020 i I-495 Express Lanes Northern Extension Socioeconomic and Land Use Technical Report LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1-1. I-495 Express Lanes Northern Extension Project Limits ........................................................... 3 Figure 3-1. Existing Land Use Within the Study Area ................................................................................. 2 Figure 3-2. 2017 McLean Planning District Map ......................................................................................... 3 Figure 4-1. Community Facilities within the Study Area ............................................................................. 3 Figure 4-2. Recreational Trails and Bicycle Facilities within the Study Area .............................................. 6 Figure 5-1. Census Block Groups within the Demographic Study Area ...................................................... 9 Figure 5-2. Projected Residential Growth by Traffic Analysis Zone (2010 – 2045) .................................. 11 Figure 5-3. Minority Populations Above Fairfax County Average ............................................................ 18 Figure 6-1. Daily Origins for Weekday I-495 Northbound Traffic ............................................................ 24 Figure 6-2. Daily Origins for Weekday I-495 Southbound Traffic ............................................................ 25 Figure 6-3. Daily Destinations for Weekday I-495 Northbound Traffic .................................................... 25 Figure 6-4. Daily Destinations for Weekday I-495 Southbound Traffic .................................................... 26 LIST OF TABLES Table 3-1. Study Area Land Use ................................................................................................................... 1 Table 3-2. Land Use Conversion Under the Build Alternative ..................................................................... 5 Table 4-1. Community Facilities .................................................................................................................. 2 Table 4-2. Existing Recreational Trails and Bicycle Facilities in the Study Area ........................................ 4 Table 4-3. Proposed Recreational Trails and Bicycle Facilities in the Study Area ...................................... 5 Table 5-1. Total Population Within the Demographic Study Area ............................................................. 10 Table 5-2. Housing Characteristics Within the Demographic Study Area ................................................. 12 Table 5-3. 2018 Health and Human Services Poverty Guidelines .............................................................. 15 Table 5-4. Minority Population Summary Within the Demographic Study Area ...................................... 16 Table 5-5. Minority Population Detail Within the Demographic Study Area ............................................ 17 Table 5-6. Median Household Income Within the Demographic Study Area ............................................ 19 Table 6-1. Unemployment Characteristics Within the Demographic Study Area ...................................... 21 Table 6-2. Employees Within the Demographic Study Area by Industry .................................................. 22 Table 6-3. Means of Transportation to Work Within the Demographic Study Area .................................. 23 Environmental Assessment February 2020 ii I-495 Express Lanes Northern Extension Socioeconomic and Land Use Technical Report 1.0 INTRODUCTION The Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT), in coordination with the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) as the lead federal agency, is evaluating an extension of the Interstate 495 (I-495) Express Lanes along approximately three miles of I-495, also referred to as the Capital Beltway, from their current northern terminus in the vicinity of the Old Dominion Drive overpass