Buckinghamshire County Council Aylesbury Transport Strategy Aylesbury Transport Strategy AECOM 1 Aylesbury Transport Strategy Buckinghamshire County Council October 2016 2 AECOM Buckinghamshire County Council Aylesbury Transport Strategy Aylesbury Transport Strategy AECOM 3 Aylesbury Transport Strategy Buckinghamshire County Council Quality information Reviewed Document name Ref Prepared for Prepared by Date Approved by by MM Aylesbury Buckinghamshire RT January Transport 60489995 SK IB County Council CW 2017 Strategy AT Revision history Revision Date Prepared by Reviewed by 1: Internal Review 29/09/2016 MM, RT, CW, AT SK 2: Draft Final for Client comment 07/10/2016 MM, RT, CW, AT IB 3: Final Draft for Community 14/11/2016 RT, CW, AT SK Consultation 4. Final 11/01/2017 RT, CW, AT SK This document has been prepared by AECOM Limited for the sole use of our client (the “Client”) and in accordance with generally accepted consultancy principles, the budget for fees and the terms of reference agreed between AECOM Limited and the Client. Any information provided by third parties and referred to herein has not been checked or verified by AECOM Limited, unless otherwise expressly stated in the document. No third party may rely upon this document without the prior and express written agreement of AECOM Limited. 4 AECOM Buckinghamshire County Council Aylesbury Transport Strategy Table of Contents 1. Introduction ..........................................................................................................................................................9 1.1 Background and Purpose ............................................................................................................................9 1.2 Report Structure ........................................................................................................................................ 10 2. Strategy Context ................................................................................................................................................. 12 2.1 Wider Policy Context ................................................................................................................................. 12 2.2 Strategy Objectives ................................................................................................................................... 13 3. Existing and Future Conditions on the Transport Network ............................................................................... 18 3.1 Local Context ............................................................................................................................................ 18 3.2 Highway Network ...................................................................................................................................... 25 3.3 Public Transport Network .......................................................................................................................... 37 3.4 Walking and Cycling .................................................................................................................................. 39 3.5 Car Parking............................................................................................................................................... 41 3.6 Future Scenario ........................................................................................................................................ 44 3.7 Summary .................................................................................................................................................. 48 4. Issues and Opportunities ................................................................................................................................... 51 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 51 4.2 Summary .................................................................................................................................................. 52 5. Local Plan Growth .............................................................................................................................................. 55 5.1 Potential Development .............................................................................................................................. 55 5.2 Indicative Timing ....................................................................................................................................... 56 6. Transport Improvements .................................................................................................................................... 60 6.1 Transport Improvement Options................................................................................................................. 60 6.2 Transport Improvement Assessment .......................................................................................................... 63 6.3 Countywide Mitigation Modelling ................................................................................................................ 68 6.4 Transport Improvement Sectors & Implementation ..................................................................................... 83 6.5 Summary ................................................................................................................................................ 114 7. Monitoring and Review of the Strategy ............................................................................................................ 118 7.1 Monitoring Plan ....................................................................................................................................... 118 7.2 Review.................................................................................................................................................... 121 7.3 Risk Register .......................................................................................................................................... 122 8. Discussion and Summary ................................................................................................................................ 127 8.1 Discussion and Summary ........................................................................................................................ 127 9. Glossary ........................................................................................................................................................... 130 10. Appendices....................................................................................................................................................... 132 Appendix A: Workshop Summaries ..................................................................................................................... 133 Appendix B: SWOT Analysis ............................................................................................................................... 146 Appendix C: Logic Maps ..................................................................................................................................... 152 Appendix D: Transport Improvement Pro-formas ................................................................................................. 156 Appendix E: Countywide Modelling Additional Information ................................................................................... 182 AECOM 5 Aylesbury Transport Strategy Buckinghamshire County Council List of tables Table 2.1 – Aylesbury Transport Strategy Objectives ..................................................................................................... 14 Table 3.1 – Car Ownership ........................................................................................................................................... 21 Table 3.2 – Indices of Multiple Deprivation..................................................................................................................... 23 Table 3.3 – Summary of Collision History Types from 2013-2015 ................................................................................... 36 Table 3.4 – Public Off-Street Car Parking Capacities ..................................................................................................... 43 Table 3.5 – Summary of Modelling Scenarios tested in the Countywide Model................................................................ 45 Table 3.6 – Explanation of Criteria used in Countywide Model Congestion Plots17 .......................................................... 46 Table 4.1 – SWOT Analysis Definitions ......................................................................................................................... 51 Table 6.1 – Long list of Transport Improvements............................................................................................................ 62 Table 6.2 – Transport improvements ranked by scores .................................................................................................. 66 Table 6.3 – Scenarios Modelled using the Countywide Model ........................................................................................ 68 Table 6.4 – 2033 DS1 Scenario Growth......................................................................................................................... 69 Table 6.5 – Aylesbury Network Changes included in the 2033 Scenarios (Jacobs).........................................................