Wellington Transportation Modelling Steering Group SUMMARY OF INVESTIGATIONS WELLINGTON TRANSPORTATION MODELLING STEERING GROUP SUMMARY OF INVESTIGATIONS Wellington Transportation Modelling Steering Group SUMMARY OF INVESTIGATIONS Document Control File name = North Wellington Transportation Modelling Steering Group Report – Final 1 st March 2016 Primary Author: Andrew Ford, Greater Wellington Regional Council …………………………………………………………………………… Secondary Author: Thanura Rabel, Opus International Consultants …………………………………………………………………………… Reviewers: Tony Brennand, New Zealand Transport Agency …………………………………………………………………………… Tim Kelly, Tim Kelly Transportation Planning Ltd …………………………………………………………………………… Tim Wright, QTP Ltd …………………………………………………………………………… Authorisers: Jo Draper, New Zealand Transport Agency …………………………………………………………………………… Eliza Sutton, Opus International Consultants …………………………………………………………………………… Nick Sargent, Greater Wellington Regional Council …………………………………………………………………………… Wellington Transportation Modelling Steering Group SUMMARY OF INVESTIGATIONS Table of Contents Table of Contents ................................................................................................................................................................. 3 1 Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Outline ................................................................................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Objectives .......................................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.3 Process ................................................................................................................................................................................ 1 1.4 General conclusions and recommendations for future best practice ........................................................ 2 1.5 Conclusions and recommendations relating to P2G ........................................................................................ 3 1.6 Detailed P2G investigations, conclusions and recommendations .............................................................. 4 1.6.1 Model purpose and use ............................................................................................................................................... 4 1.6.2 Assumptions and Information ................................................................................................................................... 5 1.6.3 Land use ............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 1.6.4 Comparison of WTSM and NWSM .......................................................................................................................... 7 1.6.5 Comparison of NWSM and Bluetooth data ......................................................................................................... 7 1.6.6 Demand response to P2G ........................................................................................................................................... 8 1.6.7 P2G and effects on wider network ........................................................................................................................... 9 1.6.8 Sensitivity tests .............................................................................................................................................................. 12 2 Steering group purpose and report structure ............................................................................................. 14 2.1 Context .............................................................................................................................................................................. 14 2.2 Ethos .................................................................................................................................................................................. 14 2.3 Workshop and steering group formation ........................................................................................................... 14 2.3.1 P2G specific questions to address ......................................................................................................................... 15 2.3.2 Other questions to address ...................................................................................................................................... 16 2.4 Report structure ............................................................................................................................................................ 17 2.5 Glossary ............................................................................................................................................................................ 18 3 Model Purpose and Use ....................................................................................................................................... 20 3.1 WTSM ................................................................................................................................................................................ 21 3.1.1 Model history ................................................................................................................................................................. 21 3.1.2 WTSM 2011 review for P2G ...................................................................................................................................... 21 3.1.3 2013 WTSM update ..................................................................................................................................................... 22 3.2 NWSM ............................................................................................................................................................................... 24 3.3 S-Paramics ....................................................................................................................................................................... 25 4 Assumptions and information ........................................................................................................................... 26 4.1 Reporting of results ..................................................................................................................................................... 26 4.1.1 Scope of analysis ........................................................................................................................................................... 26 4.1.2 Usage of WTSM and NWSM .................................................................................................................................... 26 4.1.3 Peak periods ................................................................................................................................................................... 26 4.1.4 Inter-peak ........................................................................................................................................................................ 27 4.1.5 Confidence range ......................................................................................................................................................... 27 Wellington Transportation Modelling Steering Group SUMMARY OF INVESTIGATIONS 4.2 Levels of service and capacity assumptions ....................................................................................................... 28 4.2.1 Levels of service ............................................................................................................................................................. 28 4.2.2 Capacities ......................................................................................................................................................................... 28 4.2.3 Volume / Capacity ratios ........................................................................................................................................... 30 5 Land Use ..................................................................................................................................................................... 32 5.1 Land use scenarios ....................................................................................................................................................... 32 5.2 Lincolnshire Farms assumptions ............................................................................................................................. 33 5.3 Results of land use sensitivity tests ....................................................................................................................... 35 6 Comparison of WTSM and NWSM .................................................................................................................. 37 6.1 Base year comparisons ............................................................................................................................................... 37 6.1.1 Base year traffic volumes ..........................................................................................................................................