STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT OF CRIME, ANTI-SOCIAL BEHAVIOUR, SUBSTANCE MISUSE AND RE-OFFENDING 2016/17 Compiled and written by: Sam Graves (Community Safety Researchers, SPP) [email protected] Thanks to: Alan Knobel for updating the substance misuse section, Adam Holland for updating the young people at risk section, Samara Heppenstall for writing the re-offending section and all those who have contributed information and comments 1 RESTRICTED: Safer Portsmouth Partnership Strategic Assessment 2016/17 - Not for public dissemination, please contact [email protected] for a redacted version if required Contents 1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 Data sources and time periods ............................................................................................................................... 4 1.2 Demographic Picture of Portsmouth ...................................................................................................................... 5 2. OVERVIEW OF COMMUNITY SAFETY .......................................................................................................................... 8 2.1 Overall crime and anti-social behaviour trends ...................................................................................................... 8 2.2 SPP Performance .................................................................................................................................................... 9 2.3 Resident perceptions .............................................................................................................................................. 9 2.4 Crime priorities for the Safer Portsmouth Partnership ......................................................................................... 11 3. LOCALITIES ............................................................................................................................................................... 11 3.1 The Central Locality: Baffins, Charles Dickens, Fratton & Nelson ......................................................................... 13 3.2 The Northern Locality: Copnor, Cosham, Drayton & Farlington, Hilsea and Paulsgrove ...................................... 17 3.3 The Southern Locality ........................................................................................................................................... 17 4. WHAT ARE THE MAIN FACTORS INFLUENCING CRIME AND HOW PARTNERSHIPS RESPOND? .................................. 18 4.1 Cyber crime ........................................................................................................................................................... 20 5. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN COMPLEX NEEDS AND CRIME AND ANTI-SOCIAL BEHAVIOUR. .................................. 21 5.1 Going missing ....................................................................................................................................................... 22 5.2 Homelessness ....................................................................................................................................................... 23 5.3 Mental Health ....................................................................................................................................................... 25 5.4 Alcohol misuse ...................................................................................................................................................... 26 5.5 Alcohol treatment services ................................................................................................................................... 29 5.6 Alcohol related crime (see also 9.4 Night time economy violence) ...................................................................... 31 5.7 Drug misuse .......................................................................................................................................................... 32 5.8 Drug Treatment services....................................................................................................................................... 34 5.9 Drug Treatment outcomes ................................................................................................................................... 36 6. YOUNG PEOPLE AT RISK ........................................................................................................................................... 37 6.1 Youth Offending ................................................................................................................................................... 37 6.2 Risk and Protective Factors................................................................................................................................... 41 6.3 Young victims........................................................................................................................................................ 45 6.4 Substance misuse amongst young people ............................................................................................................ 48 7. ADULT RE-OFFENDING ............................................................................................................................................. 50 8. COERCION AND EXPLOITATION ................................................................................................................................ 52 8.1 Modern slavery and human trafficking ................................................................................................................ 52 8.2 Cyber-enabled blackmail ...................................................................................................................................... 53 9. VIOLENT CRIME ........................................................................................................................................................ 54 9.1 Drivers of violent crime ......................................................................................................................................... 54 9.2 Domestic abuse .................................................................................................................................................... 56 9.3 Sexual offences ..................................................................................................................................................... 60 9.4 Night time economy violence ............................................................................................................................... 61 9.5 Drug-related violence ........................................................................................................................................... 61 9.6 Youth related violence .......................................................................................................................................... 62 10. HATE CRIME ........................................................................................................................................................... 63 11. RADICALISATION & VIOLENT EXTREMISM .............................................................................................................. 64 12. ACQUISITIVE CRIME ............................................................................................................................................... 65 12.1 Serious Acquisitive Crime .................................................................................................................................... 65 2 RESTRICTED: Safer Portsmouth Partnership Strategic Assessment 2016/17 - Not for public dissemination, please contact [email protected] for a redacted version if required 12.2 Other acquisitive crime ....................................................................................................................................... 66 13. ANTI-SOCIAL BEHAVIOUR ....................................................................................................................................... 67 13.1 National and local perceptions and experience of ASB ...................................................................................... 68 13.2 Noise complaints ................................................................................................................................................ 69 13.3 Litter and dog fouling ......................................................................................................................................... 70 13.4 Drug and alcohol related ASB ............................................................................................................................. 70 13.5 Arson & Criminal damage .................................................................................................................................. 71 13.6 Complex ASB cases ............................................................................................................................................. 72 14. SUMMARY & CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................................................. 73 14.1 Crime and Anti-social behaviour............................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined.