Los Alamos Public Schools Five-Year Facilities Master Plan Update 2015-2020 FINAL REPORT December 2014 Architectural Research Consultants, Incorporated Albuquerque, New Mexico 505-842-1254 505-766-9269 www.arcplanning.com Acknowledgements Eugene Schmidt, Superintendent Gerry Washburn, Assistant Superintendent School Board President Judy Bjarke-McKenzie Vice President Kevin Honnell Board Secretary Matt Williams Board Member Nancy N. Holmes Board Member Jim Hall FMP Steering Committee Eugene Schmidt, Superintendent Gerry Washburn, Assistant Superintendent Joan M. Ahlers Ted Galvez Herbert E. McLean Lisa Montoya Jeff Sargent PSFA William Sprick, Facilities Master Planner Natalie Diaz, Regional Manager Planning Consultant Architectural Research Consultants, Incorporated ContentS Introduction .................................................................................. ix 1 Goals / Process ...................................................................... 1-1 1.1 Vision, Mission, and Goals .............................................. 1-1 1.2 Process ............................................................................. 1-2 1.2.1 Capital Planning and Decision Making ................. 1-2 1.3 Acronyms, Abbreviations and Definitions ..................... 1-5 2 Existing and Projected Conditions ..................................... 2-1 2.1 Programs .......................................................................... 2-1 2.1.1 Number of Schools, Types and Grade Configuration ......................................................... 2-1 2.1.2 Assumptions / Anticipated Changes in Programs .. 2-1 2.1.3 Shared / Joint Use Facilities .................................. 2-2 2.2 Sites / Facilities ................................................................ 2-3 2.2.1 Location ................................................................. 2-3 2.2.2 Existing Facilities .................................................. 2-5 2.2.3 Facility Evaluation ................................................. 2-5 2.3 District Population / Economic Growth Trends ............. 2-13 2.3.1 Introduction ......................................................... 2-13 2.3.2 Los Alamos Area Population Growth Trends ...... 2-13 2.3.3 Age Distribution .................................................. 2-15 2.3.4 Birth Rates ........................................................... 2-16 2.3.5 Average Household Size ...................................... 2-17 2.3.6 Projected Population ........................................... 2-17 2.3.7 Economic Development Trends ........................... 2-18 2.3.8 Key Economic Development Issues .................... 2-27 2.4 Enrollment with Influencing Factors ............................. 2-28 2.4.1 District Enrollment History ................................. 2-28 2.4.2 Drivers for Future Enrollment ............................. 2-43 2.5 Utilization and Capacity ................................................ 2-55 2.5.1 School Utilization and Classroom Needs ............ 2-56 2.5.2 Special Factors Influencing Classroom Use ........ 2-58 2.5.3 School Site Capacity ............................................ 2-58 2.5.4 Strategies Considered to Meet Needs ................. 2-62 2.6 Technology ..................................................................... 2-63 Los Alamos Public Schools iii Facilities Master Plan 2015-2020 12/14 ARC 21408.000 2.7 Energy Management Program ....................................... 2-65 2.8 Capital Funding ............................................................. 2-65 2.8.1 History of Prior Capital Funding ......................... 2-65 2.8.2 Summary of Current and Anticipated Financial Resources ............................................................. 2-68 3 Capital Improvement Plan .................................................. 3-1 3.1 Total Capital Needs .......................................................... 3-1 3.1.1 Capital Needs and Enrollment ............................... 3-3 3.1.2 Capital Needs By School ....................................... 3-4 3.1.3 Leased Facilities .................................................. 3-16 3.1.4 Technology Requirements ................................... 3-20 3.1.5 Educational and Programmatic Requirements .... 3-20 3.2 Prioritization Process ..................................................... 3-21 3.2.1 Process and Criteria Used by the District to Prioritize Capital Needs ....................................... 3-21 3.2.2 Financial Strategies and Alternatives Considered ........................................................... 3-23 3.3 Capital Plan .................................................................... 3-25 3.3.1 Summary Table of Priority Capital Projects ........ 3-25 3.3.2 Current FAD Ranked List of All District Schools................................................................. 3-25 3.3.3 Capital Implementation Plan 2015-2020 ............. 3-26 3.3.4 Board and/or Staff Action .................................... 3-26 3.3.5 The Yearly Reprioritization Process .................... 3-26 3.3.6 Board Adoption.................................................... 3-26 4 Master Plan Support Material ............................................ 4-1 4.1 Site / School and District Detail ...................................... 4-1 4.1.1 Facility Assessment Documentation ...................... 4-1 4.1.2 Supporting Data ..................................................... 4-1 Los Alamos Public Schools iv Facilities Master Plan 2015-2020 12/14 ARC 21408.000 List of exhibits Exhibit 1-1 Facilities Master Planning Process ..........................1-3 Exhibit 2-1 District Location........................................................2-4 Exhibit 2-2 PSFA Facility Inventory Chart .....................................2-7 Exhibit 2-3 Facility Evaluation Scoring .......................................2-9 Exhibit 2-4 Comparative Facility Scores ...................................2-10 Exhibit 2-5 Site Scores ............................................................... 2-11 Exhibit 2-6 Plant Scores ............................................................. 2-11 Exhibit 2-7 Adequacy Scores ...................................................... 2-11 Exhibit 2-8 PSCOC NMCI Weighted Ranking ...........................2-12 Exhibit 2-9 Los Alamos Area Population Trends .......................2-14 Exhibit 2-10 Historic County Population ..................................2-14 Exhibit 2-11 Historic CDP Populations .....................................2-15 Exhibit 2-12 Historic County Population by Age Group ..........2-15 Exhibit 2-13 Birth Rates in Los Alamos County, NM and U.S. .2-16 Exhibit 2-14 Births in Los Alamos County .................................2-17 Exhibit 2-15 District and CDP Housing ....................................2-17 Exhibit 2-16 Projected County Population ...............................2-18 Exhibit 2-17 Los Alamos County Employment by Sector ...........2-19 Exhibit 2-18 LANL Employment by County and by Type ...........2-20 Exhibit 2-19 Historic and Projected LANL Employee Chart .....2-21 Exhibit 2-20 Historic and Projected LANL Employee Table .....2-21 Exhibit 2-21 County-Owned Land Available for Development..2-22 Exhibit 2-22 Unemployment in the County, NM and U.S. ..........2-23 Exhibit 2-23 Historic Residential Permits in the County ...........2-24 Exhibit 2-24 Comparative Residential Permit Values in Northern Counties ..............................................................2-25 Exhibit 2-25 Potential Residential Growth Areas in the County ................................................................................2-26 Exhibit 2-26 County Water Resources ........................................2-27 Exhibit 2-27 LAPS Historic Enrollment Chart ...........................2-28 Exhibit 2-28 LAPS Historic Enrollment Table ...........................2-29 Exhibit 2-29 LAPS Historic Enrollment by Level ......................2-29 Exhibit 2-30 LAPS Cohort Survival ...........................................2-30 Los Alamos Public Schools v Facilities Master Plan 2015-2020 12/14 ARC 21408.000 Exhibit 2-31 Elementary Schools Historic Enrollment Chart ....2-31 Exhibit 2-32 Elementary School Historic Enrollment Table ......2-31 Exhibit 2-33 Elementary School Historic Enrollment Tables by Individual School ..........................................................2-32 Exhibit 2-34 Elementary School Assignment Area .....................2-33 Exhibit 2-35 Middle School Historic Enrollment Chart ............2-34 Exhibit 2-36 Middle School Historic Enrollment Table .............2-34 Exhibit 2-37 High School Enrollment Chart ..............................2-35 Exhibit 2-38 High School Enrollment Table ..............................2-35 Exhibit 2-39 Homebound or Hospitalized Enrollment Table .....2-36 Exhibit 2-40 Comparative 4-Year Graduation Rates in the Area ..............................................................................2-37 Exhibit 2-41 Comparative Large District Enrollment ................2-37 Exhibit 2-42 Comparative Small District Enrollment ................2-38 Exhibit 2-43 Comparative Change in School-Age Populations .2-39 Exhibit 2-44 LAPS Student Locations ........................................2-40 Exhibit 2-45 Elementary School Student Locations ...................2-40 Exhibit 2-46 LAPS Transfer Matrix ...........................................2-41 Exhibit 2-47 LAPS Transfers by Grade and Zip Code ...............2-42 Exhibit 2-48 Elementary School