2013-2018 Commissioning School Places in Essex Tables Commissioning School Places in Essex 2013 – 2018 Contents Introduction and Context ................................................................................................................................................. 1 Section A: Information relevant to managing the supply of school places......................................................................... 5 The county of Essex ..................................................................................................................................................... 5 Population .................................................................................................................................................................. 7 The number of pupils in Essex schools, 2009 to 2013 ................................................................................................. 8 Number on roll in 2013 by year group ........................................................................................................................ 11 Capacity of Essex schools ......................................................................................................................................... 13 The number of schools in Essex ................................................................................................................................ 13 Academies ................................................................................................................................................................ 16 Single sex schools .................................................................................................................................................... 16 Grammar schools ...................................................................................................................................................... 17 Ethnic groups ............................................................................................................................................................ 18 Cross border pupil movement ................................................................................................................................... 19 Post-16 provision ...................................................................................................................................................... 21 School sixth forms .................................................................................................................................................... 21 Post-16 provision at colleges in the further education and higher education sectors ................................................. 22 Apprenticeships ....................................................................................................................................................... 23 Children with special educational needs (SEN) ......................................................................................................... 23 Tables Children in care ........................................................................................................................................................ 23 Independent schools ............................................................................................................................................... 24 Births in Essex .......................................................................................................................................................... 25 Housing in Essex ...................................................................................................................................................... 26 Forecasting pupil numbers to 2018 .......................................................................................................................... 29 Section B: Commentary on managing the supply of school places ................................................................................ 32 MID ESSEX QUADRANT ............................................................................................................................................. 32 Braintree Primary Schools ..................................................................................................................................... 32 Braintree Secondary Schools ................................................................................................................................. 33 Chelmsford Primary Schools ................................................................................................................................... 33 Chelmsford Secondary Schools ..............................................................................................................................34 Maldon Primary Schools .........................................................................................................................................34 Maldon Secondary Schools .................................................................................................................................... 35 NORTH EAST ESSEX QUADRANT ................................................................................................................................. 35 Colchester Primary Schools .................................................................................................................................... 35 Colchester Secondary Schools .............................................................................................................................. 36 Tendring Primary Schools ....................................................................................................................................... 37 Tendring Secondary Schools .................................................................................................................................. 37 SOUTH ESSEX QUADRANT ......................................................................................................................................... 38 Basildon Primary Schools ...................................................................................................................................... 38 Basildon Secondary Schools ................................................................................................................................. 38 Brentwood Primary Schools .................................................................................................................................. 39 Brentwood Secondary Schools .............................................................................................................................. 39 Castle Point Primary Schools ................................................................................................................................. 40 Castle Point Secondary Schools ............................................................................................................................ 40 Rochford Primary Schools ...................................................................................................................................... 41 Rochford Secondary Schools .................................................................................................................................. 41 WEST ESSEX QUADRANT ............................................................................................................................................ 41 Tables Epping Forest Primary Schools ............................................................................................................................... 41 Epping Forest Secondary Schools .......................................................................................................................... 42 Harlow Primary Schools ......................................................................................................................................... 42 Harlow Secondary Schools .....................................................................................................................................43 Uttlesford Primary Schools .....................................................................................................................................43 Uttlesford Secondary Schools ............................................................................................................................... 44 Appendices Appendix 1: Forecasts ....................................................................................................................................................45 Appendix 2: Special Education Data ............................................................................................................................133 Appendix 3: Housing development data ......................................................................................................................136 Appendix 4: Forecasting methodology and forecast accuracy .......................................................................................155 Tables Table 1: Population estimates, Office for National Statistics 2006 to 2012 mid-year estimates ......................................... 7 Table 2: Number of pupils in schools (2009 – 2013) ....................................................................................................... 8 Table 3: Cohort size across Essex primary