Annual Plan 2012-13 CONTENTS Pages Foreword i Executive Summary iii Part-I Growth Framework 1 Chapter 1 Growth and Investment 3-22 2 Balance of Payments 23-38 3 Fiscal and Monetary Developments 39-54 4 Public Sector Development Programme 55-62 Part-II Enhancing Productivity 63 5 Higher Education 65-68 6 Science and Technology 69-76 7 Skill Development 77-88 Part-III Commodity Producing 89 8 Agriculture and Food Security 91-112 9 Industry and Commerce 113-124 Part-IV Physical Infrastructure and Environment 125 10 Energy Security & Affordability 127-140 11 Water Resources Development 141-146 12 Urban Development 147-150 13 Environment 151-160 Part-V Poverty Reduction and Human Resource Development 161 14 Poverty Alleviation and Millennium Development Goals 163-182 15 Youth Empowerment, Sports, Culture and Tourism 183-190 16 School and College Education 191-196 17 Health, Nutrition and Population 197-212 18 Women Development and Empowerment 213-218 19 Area Development 219-226 Part-VI Connectivity 227 20 Transport and Logistics 229-240 21 Information Technology, Communication and Mass Media 241-254 Part-VII Better Governance 255 22 Better Governance 257-266 List of Tables Table # Page # 1.1 Growth in Area and Production of Major Crops 5 1.2 Sectoral Growth Performances 2007-08 to 2011-12 9 1.3 Inter-regional Disaggregated Comparison 10 1.4 Prospective and Growth Targets in Services Sector 19 3.1 FBR Tax Collection 40 3.2 Profile of Monetary Assets 43 3.3 Changes in Price indices (Base Year 2007-08) 45 3.4 KSE-100 Index (Points) 46 3.5 Market Capitalization 46 4.1 Sectoral Distribution & Utilization of PSDP 2011-12 55 4.2 Federal PSDP 2011-12 – Projects to be Completed 56 4.3 National Development Outlay 2012-13 56 4.4 Summary of Federal PSDP 2012-13 57 4.5 Broad Sectoral Allocations Federal PSDP 2012-13 57 5.1 Higher Education PSDP Allocation and Utilization 2011-12 & 2012-13 65 6.1 Science and Technology PSDP Allocation and Utilization 2011-12 69 Allocation & Utilization of Professional & Technical Training Programs 7.1 80 2011-12 and 2012-13 7.2 Funni Maharat Program 2011-12 & 2012-13 81 7.3 Hunarmand Pakistan Program 2011-12 and 2012-13 82 8.1 Growth Rate of Agriculture Sector 92 8.2 Crop Production Target and Achievement 96 8.3 Fertilizer Off-take, Target and Achievement 97 8.4 Improved Seed Requirement and Distribution 99 8.5 Physical Performance and Targets Livestock, Poultry and Fisheries 101 9.1 PSDP Allocation and Utilization 2011-12 and 2012-13 117 9.2 Production of Selected Minerals 118 9.3 PSDP Allocation and Utilization 2012-13 121 Physical Targets and Achievements: Power Sector 2010-11, 2011-12 10.1 128 and 2012-13 10.2 Physical Targets and Achievements: Power PEPCO System 2010-11, 129 Table # Page # 2011-12 and 2012-13 Physical Targets and Achievements: Power KESC System 2010-11, 10.3 130 2011-12 and 2012-13 10.4 IPPs Under Construction 131 Financial Allocations Utilization – Energy Sector (PSDP) 2011-12 and 10.5 137 2012-13 10.6 KPK Power Projects 2012-13 138 10.7 Punjab Power Projects for 2012-13 139 11.1 Key Physical Targets and Achievements for 2011-12 and 2012-13 142 11.2 Water Management National Programs 2012-13 144 11.3 Tentative Provincial Programs for the year 2012-13 145 12.1 Urban Population Projections 147 12.2 Major Programs and Physical Targets 2012-13 149 13.1 Environmental Indicators and Targets 2011-12, 2012-13 and 2015 151 13.2 Federal, Provincial and Areas Development Programs 2011-12 156 14.1 Achievements in Education, Health and Population Sectors 164 14.2 Consumption Shares by Quintile 166 Number of Microcredit Beneficiaries and Disbursements 14.3 170 (July-March 2011-12) 14.4 Zakat Distribution 175 14.5 Disbursement of Workers Welfare fund (2011-12) 176 14.6 Enrollment of Special Children 178 14.7 Social Welfare Activities, Allocation and Utilization 2011-12 179 14.8 Pro-Poor Budgetary Expenditures (2011-12 and 2012-13) 181 15.1 Youth Demography (15-29 Years) 2011-12 183 15.2 Monuments and Sites Protected under the Antiquities Act 1975 188 16.1 Education Indicators 2010-11 and MDGs 2015 192 16.2 Federal PSDP 2011-12 193 Provincial Development Outlay of School & College Education 16.3 194 (Allocations in Provincial / Area ADPs 2011-12) 16.4 Federal PSDP 2012-13 195 17.1 Health Programs 2011-12 & 2012-13 198 17.2 Physical Target/Achievement 2011-12 and 2012-13 201 Table # Page # 17.2.1 Food Availability kg Per Capita/year 204 17.2.2 Consumption of Major Food Items Kg Per Capita/year 204 17.2.3 Status of Micronutrient Deficiencies Mothers and Children 205 17.3.1 Selected Demographic Indicators of Pakistan 207 17.3.2 Population Projections by Age groups of Pakistan 2012 Mid Year 208 Population Welfare; PSDP Allocation and Utilization 2011-12 and 17.3.3 210 2012-13 17.3.4 Physical and Contraceptive Users Targets 211 17.3.5 Population Welfare: Sindh Schemes 212 18.1 Women Empowerment; Physical Target and Achievement 2011 216 19.1 Less Developed Regions in the Country 219 Comparisons of Selected Development Indicators in Special Areas and 19.2 220 National (2010-11) 19.3 Agency wise Allocations for 2011-12 221 19.4 Physical Progress of Development Projects at Federal level 222 19.5 PWP-I Schemes 223 19.6 Agency wise Allocations for 2012-13 223 19.7 Physical Targets of Area Development Schemes 225 Transport and Logistics – PSDP Allocation and Utilization 2011-12 and 20.1 230 2012-13 Number of Fixed+WLL Telecom Connections (As of Jun. 2011 and 21.1 250 Mar. 2012 ) Number of MobileTelecom Connections (As of Jun. 2011 and Mar. 21.2 250 2012 ) 21.3 Mass Media Allocation and Expenditure 2011-12 and 2012-13 252 List of Figures Figure # Page # 1.1 Sub-Sectoral Contribution to Agriculture Value Addition 4 1.2 Urea Price and Off-take July - February 2011-12 5 1.3 Meat Production (2000-2012) 6 1.4 Composition of Service Sector 2011-12 9 1.5 Sources of Growth Sector Wise 12 1.6 Contribution to GDP Growth 12 2.1 Annualized Exports 27 2.2 Flow of Remittances 28 3.1 Trends in Consolidated Expenditure, Revenue and Fiscal Deficit 40 3.2 Trend in Monetary Assets 44 Trends in Overall CPI, Food & Non-food Inflation 3.3 45 (April 2011 to April 2012) 3.4 KSE – 100 Index (Points) 46 3.5 Market Capitalization 46 12.1 Urban Population Projection 147 14.1 Multidimensional Poverty Index for SAARC Region 165 14.2 Human Development Index 2011 165 14.3 Target Market for Microfinance 169 14.4 Facilities and Use of Services 171 14.5 Economic Situation of the Household 171 16.1 Provincial Literacy Rates 2010-11 192 Education Sub-sector wise Allocation: Provinces and Areas 16.2 194 2011-12 Change in Cost of Food Basket – Monthly July, 2011 to 17.2.1 204 March, 2012 19.1 Agency / Ministry Wise Allocation & Utilization 2011-12 222 Figure # Page # 19.2 Agency wise allocation 2012-13 224 19.3 Comparison of allocation for the Year 2011-12 and 2012-13 224 21.1 Network Readiness Index Ranking 241 21.2 Quality of Education System 242 21.3 Internet Access in School 242 21.4 Personal Computers 243 21.5 Broadband Internet Subscribers 243 21.6 Government Online Service Index 244 21.7 Importance of ICT to Government Vision Index 244 Proposed PSDP 2011-12 21.8 244 Information Technology Sector PSDP 2012-13 21.9 248 Information Technology Sector List of Boxes Box # Page # 1.1 2011 Flood Damages to the Agriculture 6 1.2 Pakistan Services Sector and Global Trends 11 1.3 Presence of Government in Wheat Market 15 1.4 Global Halal Food Market 16 Is Growth in Services Sector Both necessary & sufficient for 1.5 18 Development? 2.1 Draft Strategic Trade Policy Framework 2012-15 24 2.2 Regional Cooperation 25 3.1 Debt Sustainability 41 3.2 Monetary Policy Reforms 42 3.3 Financial Inclusion in Pakistan 44 3.4 Tuning up the Tax Administration 49 3.5 Provincial Governments’ Fiscal Policy Reforms/Initiatives 50 Comparison of Tax Collection, Fiscal Deficit and Financing in 3.6 52 Selected South Asian Countries 5.1 Major Targets Higher Education 2012-13 68 6.1 Major Achievements of Science and Technology 2011-12 72 6.2 Major Targets Science and Technology 2012-13 75 8.1 Establishment of National Food Security and Research Division 93 8.2 National Zero Hunger Action Program 102 8.3 Safe Food for Everyone 104 8.4 Punjab Agricultural Research Board (PARB) 108 9.1 Pakistan Steel Mills 114 10.1 Power Sector Reforms 132 12.1 Urban Challenge Fund 149 Box # Page # 13.1 Climate Change policy 153 13.2 Glacier Behavior under Climate Change 154 13.3 Climate Change and Energy 155 13.4 National Impact Assessment Program (NIAP) 157 13.5 Environment Management 158 13.6 Disaster Management Strategy 159 14.1 Inclusive Growth 163 14.2 Issues in SME Financing 167 14.3 Strategic Framework for Sustainable Microfinance 169 14.4 Components of Benazir Income Support Program 172 14.5 Oportunidades-A success story from Mexico 174 20.1 Restructuring Plan of Pakistan International Airlines 233 20.2 Restructuring Framework of Pakistan Railways 236 21.1 Strategic Objectives of ICT Sector 241 21.2 Strategy for Human Resource Development 242 21.3 Strategy for Development of IT Industry 243 21.4 Strategy for E-Government Sustainability 244 22.1 Restructuring of PSEs 260 List of Annexures Annex Page # 1.1 Gross Domestic Product (1999-2000 Prices) 21 1.2 Macroeconomic Framework (Current Market Prices) 22 2.1 Export 30-31 2.2 Import 32-35 2.3 Balance of Payments 36-37 4.1 National Development Programme 2011-12 & 2012-13 60-62 Physical Achievement and Targets of Skill Development Programs 7.1 88 2011-12 Abbreviation and Acronyms BISP Benazir Income Support Program EFA Education for All EU European