Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging ANNUAL REPORT 2015 Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging http://www.sdu.dk/maxo Table of Contents People affiliated with MaxO .................................................................................................................... 3 Demography of MaxO 2015 ..................................................................................................................... 5 Arrivals to the group in 2015 ............................................................................................................................. 5 Babies born in 2015 ........................................................................................................................................... 5 People who left the group in 2015 .................................................................................................................... 5 Research staff highlights .......................................................................................................................... 6 Jim Oeppen, Associate Professor, Public Health ............................................................................................... 6 Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Associate Professor, Public Health ........................................................................... 8 Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen, Associate Professor, Deputy Head, Public Health .................................................... 11 Ulrich Steiner, Associate Professor, Biology ................................................................................................... 13 Fernando Colchero, Assistant Professor, Mathematics .................................................................................. 15 Dalia A. Conde, Assistant Professor, Biology ................................................................................................... 17 Johan Dahlgren, Assistant Professor, Biology ................................................................................................. 19 Owen Jones, Assistant Professor, Biology ....................................................................................................... 21 Maarten Wensink, Assistant Professor, Public Health .................................................................................... 23 Lionel Jouvet, Post Doc, Biology ...................................................................................................................... 25 Adam Lenart, Post Doc, Public Health ............................................................................................................. 26 Jonas Wastesson, Post Doc, Public Health ...................................................................................................... 27 Julia Barthold, Post Doc, Public Health ............................................................................................................ 29 Mikael Thinggaard, Post Doc, Public Health .................................................................................................... 30 Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher, PhD student, Public Health ............................................................................ 32 Josephine Goldstein, PhD Student, Biology ..................................................................................................... 33 Lars Kumala, PhD student, Biology .................................................................................................................. 34 Marius Pascariu, PhD student, Public Health .................................................................................................. 35 Danielle Sherman, PhD student, Biology ......................................................................................................... 37 Johanna Stärk, PhD student, Biology ............................................................................................................... 38 Francisco Villavicencio, PhD student, Mathematics ........................................................................................ 39 Maria Baden, Research Assistant, Biology ...................................................................................................... 41 Anthony Medford, Research Assistant, Public Health ..................................................................................... 43 Silvia Rizzi, Research Assistant, Public Health ................................................................................................. 44 Jonas Schöley, Research Assistant, Public Health ........................................................................................... 46 Catalina Torres, Research Assistant, Public Health ......................................................................................... 50 Media appearances of research staff ................................................................................................ 52 Teaching by research staff .................................................................................................................... 53 Visitors ........................................................................................................................................................ 55 Funding........................................................................................................................................................ 56 Publications by research staff ............................................................................................................. 57 Published/accepted publications .................................................................................................................... 57 2 People affiliated with MaxO Leadership: James W. Vaupel, Professor, Public Health, Director Kaare Christensen, Professor, Public Health, Deputy Director Donald Canfield, Professor, Biology, Deputy Director Annette Baudisch, Professor MSO of Biodemography, Biology Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen, Associate Professor, Deputy Head, Public Health Hal Caswell, Adjunct Professor, Biology Research staff: Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Associate Professor, Public Health Jim Oeppen, Associate Professor, Public Health Ulrich Steiner, Associate Professor, Biology Fernando Colchero, Assistant Professor, Mathematics Dalia Amor Conde, Assistant Professor, Biology Johan Dahlgren, Assistant Professor, Biology Owen Jones, Assistant Professor, Biology Maarten Wensink, Assistant Professor, Public Health John E. Fa, Visiting Professor, Biology Julia Barthold, Post Doc, Public Health Lionel Jouvet, Post Doc, Biology Adam Lenart, Post Doc, Public Health Jonas Wastesson, Post Doc, Public Health Virginia Zarulli, Post Doc, Public Health (on maternity leave) Mikael Thinggaard, Post Doc, Public Health Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher, PhD student , Public Health Josephine Goldstein, PhD student, Biology Lars Kumala, PhD student, Biology Marius Pascariu, PhD student, Public Health Danielle Sherman, PhD student, Biology Johanna Stärk, PhD student, Biology Francisco Villavicencio, PhD student, IMADA Maria Baden, Research Assistant, Biology Søren Kjærgaard, Research Assistant, Public Health Anthony Medford, Research assistant, Public Health Silvia Rizzi, Research Assistant, Public Health Jonas Schöley, Research assistant, Public Health Catalina Torres, Research assistant, Public Health Lucia Zanotto, visiting researcher, Public Health Vibeke Jensen, Secretary, Biology 3 Please note that this report focusses on the Research Staff of MaxO. For information about the leadership of MaxO, please see: James Vaupel: http://user.demogr.mpg.de/jwv/ Kaare Christensen: http://www.sdu.dk/staff/kchristensen Donald Canfield: http://www.sdu.dk/staff/dec Annette Baudisch: www.sdu.dk/staff/baudisch Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen: www.sdu.dk/staff/rjacobsen Hal Caswell: http://www.uva.nl/en/about-the-uva/organisation/staff- members/content/c/a/h.caswell/h.caswell.html 4 Demography of MaxO 2015 Arrivals to the group in 2015 Mikael Thinggaard, Post Doc, Public Health Jonas Wastesson, Post Doc, Public Health Francisco Villavicencio, PhD student, IMADA (Mathematics and Computer Science) Maarten Wensink, Assistant Professor, Public Health Søren Kjærgaard, Research Assistant, Public Health Silvia Rizzi, Research Assistant, Public Health Jonas Schöley, Research Assistant, Public Health Catalina Torres, Research Assistant, Public Health John E. Fa, Visiting Professor, Biology Lucia Zanotto, visiting researcher, Public Health Babies born in 2015 Ulrich Steiner had a baby boy in April 2015 Virginia Zarulli and Adam Lenart had a baby girl in July 2015 People who left the group in 2015 Daniel Levitis, Assistant Professor, Biology Paul Dunn, Post Doc, Biology Raisa Hernandez-Pacheco, visiting post doc, Biology Kim Lundgreen, Academic Assistant, Biology Research staff highlights Jim Oeppen, Associate Professor, Public Health Main research interest "Forecasting Mortality by Cause of Death” Forecasting mortality is a difficult problem that is undertaken by many international, government, and financial institutions. It would be useful to disaggregate these forecasts by cause of death because that would allow policy makers to identify target areas for future reductions in mortality. In addition, the ultimate cause of death may be a good guide to the period of ill health that precedes most deaths and help to indicate its cost to society. At the moment, very few institutions try to forecast mortality by cause of death because of the technical difficulties. One of