FORT DRUM REGION TRANSIT NEEDS ASSESSMENT | FINAL REPORT Fort Drum Regional Liaison Organization Table of Contents Page Executive Summary.......................................................................................................ES-1 1 Study Purpose.......................................................................................................... 1-1 2 Demographic Profile................................................................................................ 2-1 Population Change.......................................................................................................................2-1 Transit Dependent Populations.................................................................................................2-13 Major Destinations.....................................................................................................................2-20 Major Employers .......................................................................................................................2-22 Conclusion.................................................................................................................................2-26 3 Transportation Services .......................................................................................... 3-1 Fixed-Route Services ...................................................................................................................3-3 Non-Profit Providers.................................................................................................................3-10 Social Services............................................................................................................................3-13 Mobility Management ................................................................................................................3-16 Specialized Providers.................................................................................................................3-17 Private Providers .......................................................................................................................3-19 Regional Airports .......................................................................................................................3-20 Conclusion.................................................................................................................................3-21 4 Peer Military Installations........................................................................................ 4-1 Fort Riley .....................................................................................................................................4-1 Fort Bragg....................................................................................................................................4-3 Fort Hood....................................................................................................................................4-6 Conclusion...................................................................................................................................4-8 5 Needs Assessment ................................................................................................... 5-1 Geographic Assessment of Unmet Transit Needs ......................................................................5-1 Survey ..........................................................................................................................................5-9 Origins and Destinations............................................................................................................5-18 Conclusion.................................................................................................................................5-28 6 Gap Analysis & Opportunities ................................................................................. 6-1 Market Size..................................................................................................................................6-1 Gap Analysis.................................................................................................................................6-6 Conclusion.................................................................................................................................6-29 7 Funding Sources..................................................................................................... 7-30 Federal Funding Programs.........................................................................................................7-30 State Funding Programs.............................................................................................................7-31 Local Sources.............................................................................................................................7-32 Health and Human Services.......................................................................................................7-32 Department of Labor ................................................................................................................7-34 Department of Education..........................................................................................................7-34 Department of the Army Mass Transit Benefit Program .........................................................7-34 8 Implementation Models........................................................................................... 8-1 Year by Year Implementation Plans.............................................................................................8-2 Option 1 Implementation Plan ....................................................................................................8-2 Option 2 implementation Plan.....................................................................................................8-5 Option 3 Implementation Plan ....................................................................................................8-8 Conclusion...................................................................................................................................8-9 Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates Inc. | i FORT DRUM REGION TRANSIT NEEDS ASSESSMENT | FINAL REPORT Fort Drum Regional Liaison Organization Appendix A: Kickoff Minutes Appendix B: Focus Group Minutes Appendix C: County Peers - County Governance Models Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates Inc. | ii FORT DRUM REGION TRANSIT NEEDS ASSESSMENT | FINAL REPORT Fort Drum Regional Liaison Organization Table of Figures Page Figure 2-1 Population Change by County, 2000-2010 ........................................................... 2-1 Figure 2-2 Population Change 2000-2010 in Fort Drum Study Area in Order of Most to Least Change................................................................................................................... 2-2 Figure 2-3 Population Change 2000-2010 in Fort Drum Study Area ..................................... 2-4 Figure 2-4 Persons per Square Mile by Block Group (Census 2010) ..................................... 2-6 Figure 2-5 Major Apartment Complexes................................................................................ 2-7 Figure 2-6 Major Apartment Complexes in the Study Area ................................................... 2-9 Figure 2-7 Total Housing Units 2000-2008 .......................................................................... 2-10 Figure 2-8 Total New Certificates of Occupancy 2005-2010 (Residential).......................... 2-11 Figure 2-9 Total New Certificates of Occupancy by Town 2005-2010 (Residential) .......... 2-11 Figure 2-10 Total Certificates of Occupancy per Acre 2005-2010 ........................................ 2-12 Figure 2-11 Older Adults per Square Mile by Block Group.................................................... 2-14 Figure 2-12 Persons with Disabilities per Square Mile by Block Group ................................. 2-15 Figure 2-13 Persons with Low Income per Square Mile by Block Group .............................. 2-16 Figure 2-14 Households without a Vehicle per Square Mile by Block Group ........................ 2-17 Figure 2-15 Aggregate Need................................................................................................... 2-19 Figure 2-16 Major Destinations............................................................................................... 2-20 Figure 2-17 Major Employers in Jefferson County.................................................................. 2-22 Figure 2-18 Major Employers in St. Lawrence County........................................................... 2-23 Figure 2-19 Major Employers in Lewis County ...................................................................... 2-23 Figure 2-20 Major Study Area Destinations............................................................................ 2-24 Figure 2-21 Major Study Area Employers............................................................................... 2-25 Figure 3-1 Transportation Services in the Fort Drum Region ................................................ 3-2 Figure 3-2 On-Post Shuttle Statistics (2008)........................................................................... 3-3 Figure 3-3 Shuttle Routes (2008) ............................................................................................ 3-3 Figure 3-4 On-Post Transit Routes (2011) ............................................................................