Transport Strategy for the South East ___ Strategic Corridor Evidence Base Client: Transport for the South East 10 December 2019 Our ref: 234337 Contents Page 4 Introduction 4 Definitions 5 Sources and Presentation 6 Strategic Corridor maps Appendices SE South East Radial Corridors SC South Central Radial Corridors SW South West Radial Corridors IO Inner Orbital Corridors OO Outer Orbital Corridors 3 | 10 December 2019 Strategic Corridor Evidence Base Introduction Introduction Definitions Table 1 | Strategic Corridor definitions 1 This document presents the evidence base 5 There are 23 Strategic Corridors in South East Area Ref Corridor Name M2/A2/Chatham Main Line underpinning the case for investment in the South England. These corridors were identified by SE1 (Dartford – Dover) East’s Strategic Corridors. It has been prepared for Transport for the South East, its Constituent A299/Chatham Main Line SE2 Transport for the South East (TfSE) – the emerging Authorities, and other stakeholders involved in the South (Faversham – Ramsgate) East M20/A20/High Speed 1/South Eastern Main Line SE3 Sub-National Transport Body for South East England development of the Economic Connectivity Review. (Dover – Sidcup) A21/Hastings Line – in support of its development of a Transport Since this review was published, the corridors have SE5 (Hastings – Sevenoaks) A22/A264/Oxted Line Strategy for South East England. been grouped into five areas. Some of the definitions SC1 (Crawley – Eastbourne) and names of some corridors cited in the Economic South M23/A23/Brighton Main Line 2 The Strategic Corridors play a critically important SC2 Connectivity Review have also been amended. Central (Brighton – Coulsdon) role in supporting the economy of the South East A24/A264/A29/Arun Valley Line SC3 and, in view of the South East’s role as the nation’s 6 A list of the Strategic Corridors is provided in the (Crawley – Fontwell) A3/A27/M275/Portsmouth Direct Line SW1 major international gateway for people and Table 1 (right) and a map showing their location in (Portsmouth – Surbiton) M3/M27/M271/A33/A326/South Western Main Line SW2 businesses, the wider UK. schematic format is in Figure 1. A map illustrating the (Southampton – Sunbury) A33/Basingstoke – Reading Line specific highways and railways that form part of each SW3 3 Transport for the South East’s mission is to grow (Basingstoke – Reading) corridor is provided Figure 2. South A34/South Western Main Line/Basingstoke – Reading Line the South East’s economy by delivering a safe, SW4 West (Reading – Winchester) A36/Wessex Main Line sustainable, and integrated transport system that SW5 (New Forest) makes the South East more productive and A303/West of England Main Line SW6 competitive, improves the quality of life for all (Andover – Basingstoke) M4/Great Western Main Line/Reading – Taunton Line SW7 residents, and protects and enhances its natural and (Newbury – Slough) M25 built environment. It aims to transform the quality of IO1 (Dartford – Slough) transport and door-to-door journeys for the South A228/A249/A278/A289/Chatham Main Line/Sheerness Line IO2 (Medway Ports) East’s residents, businesses and visitors. A228/A229/Medway Valley Line IO3 Inner (Maidstone – Medway Towns) 4 This document describes the evidence base that Orbital Redhill – Tonbridge Line/South Eastern Main Line IO4 will support the development of the transport (Ashford – Redhill) A25/North Downs Line IO5 network. It builds on the evidence base that was (Guildford – Redhill) A31/A322/A329/A331/North Downs Line IO6 developed in support of the Economic Connectivity (Guildford – Reading) A28/A290/A291 Review, which was published by Transport for the OO1 (Canterbury – Whitstable) South East in 2018. The data underpinning this Outer A27/A259/A2070/East Coastway Line/Marshlink Line OO2 evidence has been used to develop the Transport Orbital (Ashford – Brighton) M27/A27/A31/West Coastway Line/East Coastway Line OO3 Strategy for the South East and shape its contents. (Brighton – Ringwood) 4 | 10 December 2019 Strategic Corridor Evidence Base Sources and Presentation Sources and Presentation Table 2 | Data sources 7 The appendices of this document provide a Heading Indicator Source and comment Dates Heading Indicator Source and comment Dates summary of each Strategic Corridor on a corridor by UK Business Register and Parks and 2017 and Historic England 2018 Employment Survey, Office for Gardens other most corridor basis. The corridors are presented in the order Priority sector National Statistics, recent LEP jobs Local Enterprise Partnership Scheduled shown in Table 1, grouped in each appendix by areas published Historic England 2012 (LEP) websites and strategic Monuments evidence (South East, South Central, South West, Inner Orbital, documents Economic Nature Natural England 2016 and Outer Orbital). Population Office for National Statistics 2018 reserves Planned Ramsar sites Natural England 2016 8 The evidence for each corridor is grouped under the Local Planning Authorities 2019 dwellings headings of the three pillars of Sustainable Site of Special Environmental Development (Economic, Social, and Environmental) Planned jobs Local Planning Authorities 2019 Scientific Natural England 2016 Interest English indices of deprivation, along with a heading for Highways and Railways. Indices of Ministry of Housing, Multiple 2015 World Communities & Local Historic England 2012 Deprivation Heritage Sites 9 The evidence presented under each heading, along Government with their sources (and method of calculation, where Ministry of Housing, NVQ level 4 Office for National Statistics 2011 Greenbelt Communities and Local 2018 appropriate), is summarised in Table 2 (right). In some qualifications Government cases, a ranking is also presented or described, which Killed and Grade 1 listed Seriously Department for Transport Historic England 2018 shows the position of each Strategic Corridor compared 2015 - 2017 buildings Injured (KSIs) (DfT) to all other Strategic Corridors in the South East area. incidents Highway Pitney Bowes Speed Profiles 2018 delays The metrics for indicators shown in Table 2 for each Air Quality Social Department for Environment, Management 2019 South East Regional corridor are shown in Tables 3a, 3b, and 3c. Food & Rural Affairs Demand 2016 Areas Transport Model Highways 10 Indicators highlighted in light blue in Table 2 are Average house Office for National Statistics 2019 Issues and Highways England Route price opportunities Strategies, TfSE, highways/ estimated by aggregating data at a local authority 2017 – 2019 constituent authorities and district level. For example, the population of the Average Enhancements stakeholders resident Office for National Statistics 2019 earnings M2/A2/Chatham Main Line corridor is estimated by Office of Road and Rail Demand 2017/18 “Estimates of station usage” aggregating the populations of the districts this corridor Estimated by dividing the Housing weighted average of house passes through, which in this case is Canterbury, 2019 affordability prices by the weighted DfT “Rail passenger numbers Dartford, Dover, Gravesham, Medway and Swale. average of resident earnings and crowding in major cities Issues and in England and Wales”. Also 2018 Operators and TfSE’s Railways opportunities informed by discussions with Demand 2017 – 2019 11 Indicators not highlighted in light blue in Table 2 Transport Strategy Lot B study Network Rail, TfSE and stakeholders are generally presented as data points on maps or International Issues and Informed by discussions with Gateways summarised in the commentary, rather than opportunities port/airport operators, Informed by discussions with 2017 – 2019 Highways England, Network Enhancements Network Rail, TfSE, and 2019 aggregated across multiple districts. Enhancements Rail, TfSE, and stakeholders stakeholders 5 | 10 December 2019 Strategic Corridor Evidence Base Definitions Figure 1 | Strategic Corridor schematics 6 | 10 December 2019 Strategic Corridor Evidence Base Definitions Figure 2 | Strategic Corridor highways and railways 7 | 10 December 2019 Strategic Corridor Evidence Base Key indicators (1 of 3) Table 3a | Summary of key indicators by corridor | Business and employment indicators Priority Priority GVA GVA GVA Growth GVA per Jobs minus Priority Description Jobs Workers Sectors Jobs Sectors (2016, £m) (2006, £m) (%) capita (£) Workers Sectors Jobs (%) Quotient (%) SE1 M2/A2/Chatham Main Line (Dartford – Dover) 18,117 13,461 35% 19,607 330,265 451,500 (121,235) 32,855 10% 0.35 SE2 A299/Chatham Main Line (Faversham – Ramsgate) 8,212 6,478 27% 18,053 159,165 200,200 (41,035) 12,140 8% 0.26 SE3 M20/A20/High Speed 1/South Eastern Main Line (Dover – Sidcup) 22,559 16,644 36% 22,657 397,885 488,000 (90,115) 38,070 10% 0.33 SE4 A21/Hastings Line (Hastings – Sevenoaks) 16,282 11,805 38% 22,691 269,190 324,400 (55,210) 19,940 7% 0.26 SC1 A22/A264/Oxted Line (Crawley – Eastbourne) 15,698 11,761 33% 25,609 270,545 291,800 (21,255) 39,320 15% 0.50 SC2 M23/A23/Brighton Main Line (Brighton – Coulsdon) 28,279 21,550 31% 26,567 488,185 540,100 (51,915) 69,765 14% 0.50 SC3 A24/A264/A29/Arun Valley Line (Crawley – Fontwell) 14,231 10,847 31% 26,588 257,495 244,500 12,995 41,175 16% 0.55 SW1 A3/A27/M275/Portsmouth Direct Line (Portsmouth – Surbiton) 37,891 28,809 32% 27,057 590,830 675,400 (84,570) 72,065 12% 0.42 SW2 M3/M27/M271/A33/A326/South Western Main Line (Southampton – Sunbury) 48,750 35,428 38% 31,054 750,615 808,600 (57,985) 91,960 12% 0.43 SW3 A33/Basingstoke – Reading Line