Ask a Parametrician Q&A—p. 7 CER Best Fit study of: LOLS, IRLS and ZMPE—p. 21 PARAMETRIC WORLD Winter 2010 Vol. 29 No. 1 A Newsletter of The International Society of Parametric Analysts 2010 ISPA/SCEA Conference & Training Workshop June 8 – 11 — Sheraton San Diego Hotel & Marina p. 12 Awards Banquet to be held at the San Diego Air and Space Museum pictured here. Inside This Issue Below is an excerpt from Hank Apgar’s ISPA Historian column which features Professional Award Nominations .. P. 9 remembrances of Frank Freiman who ISPA 2010 Board Elections .......... P. 10 recently passed away: Jointness Report ........................ P. 19 “ I learned that Frank’s true genius was that he knew the way things Planning & Governance .............. P. 19 worked — development activities, Parametric World Report ............. P. 19 manufacturing processes, and Chapter News ........................... P. 24 operation and maintenance. And he used that knowledge to build the European Perspectives ............... P. 26 models that launched our industry. Secretary’s Report ..................... P. 28 Frank built models mechanistically, Membership Report .................... P. 29 Tribute to Frank not purely empirically.” Freiman — p. 4 Tony DeMarco, PRICE Systems Calendar of Events .................... P. 30 LeTTer From Your edITor PARAMETRIC WORLD By NiNa Tahir ISSN 1072-3803 ith the severe cold editor weather on the east Nina Tahir coast these days, it’s Email: [email protected] W 310-820-7756 comforting to know that before too long, it will be time to pack Chair, Board of directors shorts, cotton slacks, Hawaiian Jason Dechoretz .....................703-506-4600 shirts or summery dresses, [email protected] and comfy sandals for warm and beautiful San deputy Chair Diego — host city for our June annual conference. Andy Prince ............................256-682-6456 Our updated conference information in our [email protected] newsletter features: a preliminary list of workshop Secretary papers; information about the invited conference Greg Kiviat...................................203-386-7274 speakers; the location of our Awards Banquet to [email protected] be held at the famous San Diego Air and Space Treasurer Museum located in Balboa Park; plans for our Bruce Minett ...........................714-896-5080 informal guest program; and useful information [email protected] about our host hotel accommodations, parking, executive manager and transportation from the airport to the hotel. Tom Coonce ...........................202-358-4905 Hank Apgar, our ISPA Historian, compiled a [email protected] moving tribute to Frank Freiman, a pioneer of directors parametrics, for this issue. We are sad to report Arthur Griffiths...................44-1256-338-383 that Frank recently passed away. Frank was [email protected] the subject of a three-part ISPA legacy series published in Parametric World last year. Rich Harwin............................562-797-3869 [email protected] It’s official! Joe Hamaker who is very witty in addition to being highly regarded in his field, Hervé Joumier.....................31-71-565-3227 graciously accepted the invitation from madeline [email protected] ellis, our Parametric World Chair, to be editor Andy Nicholls ............... 44 (0) 117-913-4219 of our Ask a Parametrician Q&A column. You ask [email protected] the questions, and Joe will find the answers from our huge pool of experts including himself. The Steve Sterk............................661-276-2377 question this time around deals with a parametric [email protected] estimate for a new start program where the George Stratton .....................520-545-6031 program manager doesn’t agree with the cost [email protected] analyst’s schedule. Joe takes on this one. Parametric World Chair We have a paper from don macKenzie based Madeline Ellis .........................818-888-8216 on a study last year which focused on how well [email protected] each of 3 frequently used methods — LOLS, IRLS ISPA/SCeA Joint International office and ZMPE — predicted costs of known underlying 527 Maple Avenue East, Suite 301 relationships. Vienna, VA 22180 As usual we have reports from our regional Phone: (703) 938-5090 Fax: (703) 938-5091 chapters, board and committee reports, and a Web: www.ispa-cost.org calendar of events. Steve Sterk’s membership PARAMETRIC WORLD NEWSLETTER, published report talks about the forthcoming launch of our by ISPA, is copyrighted in its entirety. Send modernized ISPA website with forum capability editorial material to Nina Tahir, Editor. Email: and advanced features that will allow us to give [email protected] you even more value for the cost of membership. AdVerTISING rATeS We have an enthusiastic group of writers from Ad Size Rate per Issue* our Society who despite their busy schedules, 1/4 page $150 still take the time to make our newsletter what 1/2 page $225 it is. Without them, we would have a very slim Full page $400 publication. Thank you. *Members in good standing receive a 15% Nina Tahir discount. Contact Nina Tahir for details. Editor 2 | Winter 2010 Parametric World CHAIrmAN’S AddreSS By JasoN DechoreTz Fellow ISPA Members, hoa! It is a good merits of the Society Award nominations. Please thing that PW has see his article for additional details and get your no fear of snow or nominations into Hank as soon as possible! mudslides! Despite Wthe crazy weather we are having Professional Development: Mr. Doug Druley, our dauntless staff of editors with the support of Ms. Sherry Stukes and Dr. and contributors have worked Roy Smoker, is continuing the improvement of day and night to bring you this our training and educational material. This work edition. While Mother Nature appears to be in is also being done in coordination with Mr. Peter her winter slumber your Board of Directors, Braxton and other SCEA representatives. These committee chairs and local chapters are busy changes will make our gathering in San Diego trying to make sure your ISPA experience is as one of the most robust training experiences we robust and fulfilling as possible: have ever provided. The Board feels this is one of the best services we can provide our members 2010 Conference Planning: Mr. Doug Druley since it contributes to your self improvement, and his co-chair from SCEA (Mr. Michael benefits your employer and where appropriate Thompson) are in the process of finalizing the adds to the value you bring to your customer. myriad of plans necessary for our upcoming Conference and Training Workshop which will Chapter Development: Recently we had a take place in lovely (and at this time of year, very successful joint Chapter meeting with SCEA I might add warm) San Diego CA. They have in the Southern California region. We hope to provided you a more complete update in this replicate that and rejuvenate our Mid-Atlantic edition of PW and real-time updates can be Chapter this winter. In addition, thanks to Mr. found on our Website. Rene Berghuijs, in early March we are going to have a joint meeting in The Netherlands with Elections: We recognize the value of volunteer the Dutch Association of Cost Engineers (DACE). support to the Society and continue to seek a This represents our first of many outreach diverse membership to the Board of Directors. efforts to other International Societies to further Mr. Richard Harwin is guiding us through the advocate the use of Parametrics. formal election process. We are sending ballots out electronically this year so check your e-mail A couple of other items to note: As always Ms. box, but if you require the standard ballot please Nina Tahir (your PW Editor) and Dr. Stephen contact the Joint Business Office and they will Book (your JCAP Editor) are always looking for send you one via USPS! Your vote is important written contributions from you and if you have to us so let’s BRING OUT THE VOTE! If you did any ideas for improvement please forward them not get nominated for a Board position we have along. numerous committee positions which support the International Board and local chapter bodies, I look forward to seeing you in San Diego; so please seek out ways to help ISPA become a please hunt me down and let me know what better organization. you like about ISPA but more importantly what improvements you would like to see made. Awards: Innovations in practice and advances As always you can reach me at the contact in theory are hallmarks of ISPA, and we want information below. to continue to recognize these efforts through our two part Awards program. Mr. Jairus Hihn Jason Dechoretz has formed a committee which will work with SCEA representatives to evaluate the technical ISPA CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD papers submitted as part of the Conference and [email protected] Training Workshop. The competition is expected 703-506-4600 x0322 to be fierce! Concurrently Mr. Henry Apgar has formed a committee which will evaluate the Parametric World Winter 2010 | 3 ISPA HISTorIAN rePorT A Tribute to Frank Freiman By haNk apgar, ISPA hisToriaN rank Freiman died on Sunday, December 13. He evolve our flagship model, PRICE H, and I got into Fwas 90 years of age. Frank’s mind through the model’s cost estimating relationships and algorithms. I learned that Frank’s Everyone recognizes the Freiman name as true genius was that he knew the way things associated with ISPA’s highest professional society worked — development activities, manufacturing award and most readers remember that he was processes, and operation and maintenance. And ISPA’s honorary Director. But, if it were not for he used that knowledge to build the models Frank, there probably would be no ISPA. that launched our industry. Frank built models Frank served in WWII as an Army Ordnance mechanistically, not purely empirically. Officer, teaching the principles of statistical quality Frank used his knowledge of “the way things work” control.