JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY (JICA) DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC WORKS AND HIGHWAYS (DPWH) PREPARATORY SURVEY FOR SOUTHERN MINDANAO ECONOMIC CORRIDOR IMPROVEMENT (DAVAO CITY BYPASS CONSTRUCTION) PROJECT DRAFT FINAL REPORT October 2014 CTI ENGINEERING INTERNATIONAL CO., LTD ORIENTAL CONSULTANTS CO., LTD. NIPPON ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS CO., LTD. LOCATION MAP OF PROJECT AREA ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS AASHTO : American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials ADB : Asian Development Bank ASEAN : Association of Southeast Asian Nations BCS : Business Case Study BPI : Bureau of Plant Industry CLUP : Comprehensive Land Use Plan DENR : Department of Environment and Natural Resources DPWH : Department of Public Works and Highways ECAs : Environmentally Critical Areas ECC : Environmental Clearance Certificate ECPs : Environmentally Critical Projects EIA : Environmental Impact Assessment EIS : Environmental Impact Statement EMB : Environment Management Bureau EO : Executive Order GDP : Gross Domestic Product GRDP : Gross Regional Domestic Product HCM : Highway Capacity Manual HSH Master Plan : High Standard Highway Master Plan IEC : Information Education and Communication IMF : International Monetary Fund JICA : Japan International Cooperation Agency LGUs : Local Government Units MDG : Millenium Development Goals MILF : Moro Islamic Liberation Front MinDA : Mindanao Development Authority NCIP : National Commission on Indigenous Peoples NEDA : National Economic Development Authority NTP : National Transport Policy O-D : Origin-Destination PCC : Portland Cement Concrete PCU : Passenger Car Unit PD : Presidential Decree PDP : Philippine Development Plan PDS : Project Description for Scoping PEISS : Philippine Environmental Impact Statement System PIP : Public Investment Plan PPP : Public-Private Partnership RAP : Resettlement Action Plan RDP : Regional Development Plan RORO : Roll-On Roll-Off ROW : Right-Of-Way SOCCSKSARGEN : SOuth Cotabato, Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat, SARangani, GENeral Santos City STRADA : System for TRAffic Demand Analysis WB : World Bank Table of Contents LOCATION MAP ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS Page CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY .............................................................................. 1-1 1.2 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY ..................................................................................... 1-1 1.3 OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE OF THE PROJECT ........................................................... 1-1 1.4 STUDY AREA ............................................................................................................... 1-1 1.5 SCOPE OF THE STUDY .............................................................................................. 1-2 CHAPTER 2 NATIONAL / REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANS ................................................. 2-1 2.1 PHILIPPINE DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2011-2016) .................................................... 2-1 2.2 MINDANAO DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2020 ............................................................. 2-2 2.3 REGION XI REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2011-2016) ................................ 2-3 2.4 REGION XII REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2011-2016) .............................. 2-4 CHAPTER 3 ROAD SECTOR OVERVIEW ..................................................................................... 3-1 3.1 DPWH PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROGRAM (2011-2016) ......................................... 3-1 3.1.1 Road Development Goal ............................................................................................... 3-1 3.2 DPWH ORGANIZATION ............................................................................................. 3-2 CHAPTER 4 DAVAO CITY – GENERAL SANTOS CITY ROAD IMPROVEMENT PLAN .......... 4-1 4.1 PRESENT ROAD CONDITION ................................................................................... 4-1 4.2 PRESENT BRIDGE CONDITION ............................................................................... 4-2 CHAPTER 5 SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE PROJECT AREA: REGION XI AND DAVAO CITY ..................................................................................................... 5-1 5.1 STANDING OF DAVAO CITY IN MINDANAO ......................................................... 5-1 5.2 PHYSICAL PROFILE ................................................................................................... 5-2 5.3 DEMOGRAPHIC TREND ............................................................................................ 5-2 5.4 ECONOMIC TREND .................................................................................................... 5-6 5.5 PER CAPITA GDP AND GRDP ................................................................................... 5-6 5.6 EMPLOYMENT ............................................................................................................ 5-7 5.7 PRESENT AND FUTURE LAND USE PLAN OF DAVAO CITY .............................. 5-8 CHAPTER 6 TRAFFIC STUDY .......................................................................................................... 6-1 6.1 PRESENT TRAFFIC CONDITION .............................................................................. 6-1 6.1.1 Type of Surveys Carried Out......................................................................................... 6-1 6.1.2 Traffic Volume .............................................................................................................. 6-1 6.1.3 Hourly Traffic Variation ................................................................................................ 6-4 6.1.4 Traffic Composition .................................................................................................... 6-10 6.1.5 Summary of Roadside Interview Survey Results ........................................................ 6-13 6.1.6 Port, Airport Trips ....................................................................................................... 6-14 6.1.7 Travel Time Survey ..................................................................................................... 6-19 6.2 FUTURE TRAFFIC DEMAND .................................................................................. 6-24 6.2.1 Approach ..................................................................................................................... 6-24 6.2.2 Future Socio-economic Framework ............................................................................ 6-30 i 6.2.3 Present and Future OD Matrix .................................................................................... 6-35 6.2.4 Traffic Assignment Model .......................................................................................... 6-40 6.2.5 Assignment Validation ................................................................................................ 6-42 6.2.6 Traffic Assignment Result ........................................................................................... 6-43 6.2.7 Level of Service (LOS) Analysis ................................................................................ 6-53 6.2.8 Effect of Toll for Tunnel Section ................................................................................. 6-56 CHAPTER 7 NECESSITY OF THE PROJECT .................................................................................. 7-1 7.1 PRESENT AND FUTURE URBAN STRUCTURE ..................................................... 7-1 7.2 TRAFFIC CHARACTERISTICS .................................................................................. 7-3 7.3 INTERVIEW RESULTS OF MANUFACTURING /AGRI-BUSINESS COMPANIES ................................................................................................................ 7-6 7.4 NECESSITY OF DAVAO CITY BYPASS .................................................................. 7-11 7.5 DAVAO SASA PORT AS PPP PROJECT ................................................................... 7-12 CHAPTER 8 REVIEW OF THE BUSINESS CASE STUDY ............................................................. 8-1 8.1 ALIGNMENT ................................................................................................................ 8-1 8.2 SCOPE OF THE PROJECT ........................................................................................... 8-2 8.3 PROJECT COST ............................................................................................................ 8-6 CHAPTER 9 ALIGNMENT SELECTION OF DAVAO CITY BYPASS ............................................ 9-1 9.1 PROCEDURE OF ALIGNMENT STUDY ................................................................... 9-1 9.2 DAVAO CITY BYPASS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY ............................................. 9-2 9.3 BASIC POLICY OF ALIGNMENT STUDY ................................................................ 9-2 9.4 TERRAIN CHARACTERISTICS ................................................................................. 9-2 9.5 POSSIBLE SPACES (CORRIDOR) FOR THE BYPASS ............................................. 9-4 9.6 SELECTION OF CENTER SECTION ALIGNMENT ............................................... 9-11 9.6.1 Topographical Feature ................................................................................................. 9-11 9.6.2 Geological Features ..................................................................................................... 9-13