Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Town Profile 2013-14 Moretonhampstead v2.1 October 2013 Page 1 Executive Summary This executive summary shows the main findings of this document in one place (excluding mortality and admissions spine chart data). It highlights rates that are statistically higher or lower than the Devon rate. ► The population of Moretonhampstead is predicted to decrease by 162 people between 2011 and 2026, a fall of 3.7%. ► Based on the 2011 census, the prevalence of the BME population in Moretonhampstead is 1.4% compared to 2.7% in Devon overall. Statistically Lower Rate Rate Not Statistically Different Statistically Higher Rate Section / Data Rate Birth Rate 43.6 births per 1,000 females aged 15 to 44 not statistically different Life Expectancy 81.4 years not statistically different Children In Need 103 per 10,000 population aged under 18 statistically lower Statements 3% of school pupils not statistically different SEN Children & School Action+ 6.6% of school pupils not statistically different Young Youth Offending 5.1 per 1,000 children aged 10-17 not statistically different People 5 GCSEs A-C 62.5% of DCC school pupils not statistically different Ethnicity 6.8% of school pupils not statistically different English Not First Language 5.2% of school pupils not statistically different Living in care homes 9.1 DASR per 1,000 population aged 65+ not statistically different Aged 65+ Community based care 32.7 DASR per 1,000 population aged 65+ statistically lower Assessments 29.7 DASR per 1,000 population aged 65+ statistically lower Learning Living in care homes 0 DASR per 1,000 population aged 18 to 64 statistically lower Disabilities Community based care 2.7 DASR per 1,000 population aged 18 to 64 not statistically different Living in care homes 0 per 1000 population aged 18 to 64 statistically lower Mental Health Community based care 3.4 DASR per 1,000 population aged 18 to 64 statistically lower Condition Assessments 3.2 DASR per 1,000 population aged 18 to 64 not statistically different Adults Living in care homes 0 DASR per 1,000 population aged 18 to 64 statistically lower Physical Community based care 2.5 DASR per 1,000 population aged 18 to 64 statistically lower Disabilities Assessments 1.3 DASR per 1,000 population aged 18 to 64 statistically lower Carer Assessments and Reviews 0.28 DASR per 1,000 population aged 18+ not statistically different Carers receiving Self-Directed Support 10.9 DASR per 1,000 population aged 18+ statistically lower Domestic Violence 4.8 per 1,000 population aged 18+ statistically lower Crime Drug 0 per 1,000 population aged 18+ statistically lower Alcohol 0 per 1,000 population aged 18+ Not Statistically Different Statistically All Elective 4485 per 100,000 population Lower Hospital All Emergency 1754 per 100,000 population statistically lower Admissions Alcohol Related 573. per 100,000 population Produced by: Matt Edmunds, Senior Public Health Information Analyst Acknowledgements: Simon Chant, Public Health Specialist (Intelligence) Melanie Burke, Senior Management Information Officer Louise Hann, Management Information Team Kirsty Priestley, Senior Public Health Information Analyst Gemma Hobson, Senior Public Health Information Analyst Shaun Carter, Corporate Projects Officer Lesley Gibbings, Policy Performance & Review Officer (Torbay) Carla Calzavacca, Assistant Management Information Officer Page 2 Contents 1. Introduction 3 2. Population 4 2.1 Current Population 4 2.2 Population Projections 5 2.3 Black and Minority Ethnic 6 3. Deprivation 7 4. Birth Rate 8 5. Life Expectancy 8 6. Mortality 9 7. Children and Young People 10 7.1 Children in Need 10 7.2 Special Educational Needs 11 7.3 Youth Offending 12 7.4 GCSE Performance 13 7.5 Ethnicity in schools 13 7.6 English as an Additional Language 14 7.7 Teen Conceptions 15 8. Adults 16 8.1 Older People Aged 65 and Over 17 8.2 Adults with Learning Disabilities 20 8.3 Adults with Mental Health Conditions 22 8.4 Adults with Physical Disabilities 24 8.5 Carers 26 8.6 Personalisation 8.7 Crime 28 8.8 Smoking 30 9. Hospital Activity 31 9.1 Elective Admissions 31 9.2 Emergency Admissions 32 9.3 Alcohol Related Admissions 33 Page 3 1. Introduction This is the Devon Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Health Profile for Moretonhampstead. The aim of the Joint Strategic Needs Assessment is to collaboratively identify current and future health and well being needs and inform future service planning and delivery. This profile contains a range of socio-demographic and health related data, which together provide a detailed assessment of current need and service activity at a local level. In addition to data relating to Moretonhampstead, information has been provided for the other Towns, and for Devon as a whole so that Moretonhampstead can be compared to these other areas. Data for this report was gathered and collated by the Devon Public Health Intelligence team and the Devon Social Care Commissioning Management Information team. A glossary is available providing detailed definitions and background information for the measures in this report: http://www.devonhealthandwellbeing.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Glossary.pdf Figure 1: Detailed Map of the Moretonhampstead Locality area. Any feedback or questions concerning the information in this report would be gratefully received. We would be keen to receive feedback on whether you recognise the community as described in the profile, if you feel there is any key information missing or there are any local priorities or issues you wish to identify. Please email the Public Health Intelligence Team at [email protected] . Page 4 2. Population 2.1 Current Population A population pyramid for Moretonhampstead can be seen below. As a comparison, the Devon population pyramid is shown by the black lines. F M Age Group Female Male Total 0 to 4 83 69 152 5 to 9 104 99 203 10 to 14 126 120 246 15 to 19 108 124 232 20 to 24 78 97 175 25 to 29 83 96 179 30 to 34 101 85 186 35 to 39 91 99 190 40 to 44 151 150 301 45 to 49 182 159 341 50 to 54 188 173 361 55 to 59 157 175 332 60 to 64 220 193 413 65 to 69 163 193 356 70 to 74 114 109 223 75 to 79 103 91 194 80 to 84 63 48 111 85+ 78 50 128 Total 2193 2130 4323 Figure 2: Moretonhampstead population size by age group and gender (June 2012) Data Source: Patient and Practitioner Services Agency Town Devon 85+ 1.8 1.2 80 to 84 1.5 1.1 75 to 79 2.4 2.1 70 to 74 2.6 2.5 65 to 69 3.8 4.5 60 to 64 5.1 4.5 55 to 59 3.6 4.0 50 to 54 4.3 4.0 45 to 49 4.2 3.7 40 to 44 3.5 3.5 35 to 39 2.1 2.3 30 to 34 2.3 2.0 25 to 29 1.9 2.2 20 to 24 1.8 2.2 15 to 19 2.5 2.9 10 to 14 2.9 2.8 5 to 9 2.4 2.3 0 to 4 1.9 1.6 7 5 3 1 2 4 6 Figure 3: Moretonhampstead population pyramid (showing % of total population) compared to Devon (June 2012) Data Source: Patient and Practitioner Services Agency Page 5 2. Population 2.2 Population Projections The population of Moretonhampstead is predicted to decrease by 162 people between 2011 and 2026, a fall of 3.7%. Over the same time period: - the total number in the 0-19 age band is predicted to decrease by 85 people, a fall of 9.2%. - the total number in the 20-44 age band is predicted to decrease by 41 people, a fall of 5.8%. - the total number in the 45-64 age band is predicted to decrease by 182 people, a fall of 10.2%. - the total number in the 65-84 age band is predicted to increase by 93 people, a rise of 11.6%. - the total number in the 85+ age band is predicted to increase by 52 people, a rise of 30.7%. 5000 4500 Age 85+ 4000 Age 80-84 Age 75-79 3500 Age 70-74 3000 Age 65-69 Age 60-64 2500 Age 40-59 Age 25-39 2000 Age 20-24 Age 15-19 1500 Age 10-14 Age 5-9 1000 Age 0-4 500 0 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 Figure 4: Moretonhampstead population projection by age group. Data source: Jan 2010 DCC population projections Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-39 40-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+ Total 2001 182 225 276 220 110 623 1259 258 225215 176 126 127 4024 2006 173 221 271 258 127 564 1371 332 235216 170 148 146 4230 2011 188 206 266 259 151 556 1393 381 269217 171 147 169 4371 2016 183 209 236 242 140 554 1362 338 300241 169 148 182 4306 2021 181 204 239 215 128 565 1290 341 267271 189 149 199 4238 2026 177 203 235 218 111 555 1230 362 271244 214 169 220 4209 Figure 5: Moretonhampstead population projection by age group. Data source: Jan 2010 DCC population projections Page 6 2. Population 2.3 Black and Minority Ethnic A breakdown of Moretonhampstead and Devon population data by ethnicity is shown below: Ethnicity Moretonhampstead Devon Asian/Asian_British 0.4% 1.3% Black/African/Caribbean/Black_British 0.0% 0.2% Mixed/multiple_ethnic_groups 0.8% 0.9% Other_ethnic_group 0.1% 0.3% White 98.6% 97.3% Figure 6: Ethnic breakdown of Moretonhampstead and Devon Populations - Data Source: 2011 Census The graph below shows the ethnicity breakdown for all the Towns in Devon.