Malaysia | July 2, 2021 Key Metrics Malaysia Daybreak | 2 July 2021 FBMKLCI Index 1,700 ▌What’s on the Table… 1,650 ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— 1,600 1,550 ASEAN - Agribusiness – Implications of new export levy structure 1,500 Indonesia’s revised palm oil export levy to come into effect 2 July. The cut in levy 1,450 will benefit Indonesian palm oil producers and consumers. The change is 1,400 negative for Malaysian palm oil producers and Indonesian downstream Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 processors. Reiterate sector Neutral. ——————————————————————————— FBMKLCI 1,534.23 1.60pts 0.10% Power Root Bhd – Operation of IP plant hit by Covid-19 cases JUL Future AUG Future 1529 - (-0.26%) 1526.5 - (-0.42%) Power Root’s (PRB) IP beverage operations will be suspended from 1 Jul to 7 Jul ——————————————————————————— 2021 due to positive Covid-19 cases among its workers. We believe the impact Gainers Losers Unchanged on our FY22F EPS forecast is minimal as PRB can catch up on production loss 558 372 420 ——————————————————————————— with extended shifts upon resuming operations. Reiterate Hold, with an Turnover unchanged TP of RM1.61 (17x CY22 P/E). 7180.73m shares / RM3467.309m 3m avg volume traded 6455.06m shares 3m avg value traded RM3745.69m ——————————————————————————— Regional Indices ▌News of the Day… ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— FBMKLCI FSSTI JCI SET HSI 1,534 3,124 6,006 1,594 28,828 • FM: Moratorium estimated at RM80bn to individual and business borrowers ———————————————————————————————— • EPF: i-Citra designed for members to withdraw from Account 2 first Market Indices Close % chg YTD % chg • EMCO in Selangor and 14 localities in KL for 14 days from 13-16 Jul FBMKLCI 1,534.23 0.1 (5.7) • Power Root temporarily shuts Johor factory following Covid-19 cases FBM100 10,886.48 0.1 (5.4) FBMSC 15,531.04 0.7 (0.2) • Digital Nasional and Ericsson team up to boost 5G network development FBMMES 7,106.50 2.3 (33.8) • BigPay joins MIDF, Ikhlas Capital and foreign party in digital bank licence bid Dow Jones 34,633.53 0.4 13.2 NASDAQ 14,522.38 0.1 12.7 FSSTI 3,124.19 (0.2) 9.9 FTSE-100 7,125.16 1.2 10.3 SENSEX 52,318.60 (0.3) 9.6 Hang Seng 28,827.95 (0.6) 5.9 JCI 6,005.96 0.3 0.4 KOSPI 3,282.06 (0.4) 14.2 Nikkei 225 28,707.04 (0.3) 4.6 PCOMP 6,964.01 0.9 (2.5) SET 1,593.75 0.4 10.0 Shanghai 3,588.78 (0.1) 3.3 Taiwan 17,713.94 (0.2) 20.2 ———————————————————————————————— Top Actives Close % chg Vol. (m) SERBA DINAMIK 0.380 15.2 1744.6 KPOWER 0.905 26.6 350.8 SCIB 0.750 45.6 335.7 SEDANIA 0.805 11.0 152.1 PASUKHAS GROUP 0.230 58.6 127.7 SAUDEE GROUP 0.230 12.2 127.0 FOCUS DYNAMICS 0.045 12.5 118.2 XOX 0.045 12.5 99.9 ———————————————————————————————— Economic Statistics Close % chg US$/Euro 1.1845 (0.06) RM/US$ (Spot) 4.1587 (0.03) RM/US$ (12-mth NDF) 4.2049 (0.57) OPR (%) 1.75 0.00 GOLD ( US$/oz) 1,776.39 (0.03) WTI crude oil US spot (US$/barrel) 75.23 2.40 CPO spot price (RM/tonne) 3,918.00 5.11 ———————————————————————————————————————— Ivy NG Lee Fang, CFA T (60) 3 2261 9073 E [email protected] Show Style "View Doc Map" IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT. IF THIS REPORT IS DISTRIBUTED IN Powered by the THE UNITED STATES IT IS DISTRIBUTED BY CGS-CIMB SECURITIES (USA), INC. AND IS CONSIDERED THIRD-PARTY AFFILIATED RESEARCH. EFA Platform Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Malaysia Daybreak | July 2, 2021 Global Economic News The International Monetary Fund raised its 2021 US growth projection sharply to 7.0% due to a strong recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and an assumption that much of President Joe Biden's infrastructure and social spending plans will be enacted. (Reuters) European factories are recruiting staff at the fastest pace in at least 24 years, as they try to meet surging demand. Manufacturers reported the hiring boom in surveys by IHS Markit published Thursday, which showed output in the euro zone and UK rising at or near the fastest pace since the data started being collected. Austria and the Netherlands led the employment growth. (Bloomberg) The number of British jobs supported by government wage subsidies plunged by almost 1.2m in May, and a key survey suggests the decline continued apace last month. The drop is a boost for Prime Minister Boris Johnson on the day the government begins to wind down its flagship furlough program, which has propped up almost 12m jobs at various times at a cost to the public purse of about 66bn pounds. Employers are now required to make a contribution to the wages of furloughed employees ahead of the program ending altogether on 30 Sep. (Bloomberg) Malaysia Economic News The Ministry of Entrepreneur Development and Cooperatives (MEDAC) is planning to introduce an insurance scheme for micro entrepreneurs and informal business operators in the B40 group nationwide. Its Minister Datuk Seri Dr Wan Junaidi Tuanku Jaafar said the measure would be implemented following concerns that most entrepreneurs do not have any protection or insurance to fall back on during challenging times like the Covid-19 pandemic. (Bernama) The six-month moratorium offered through the National People's Well-Being and Economic Recovery Package (PEMULIH) is estimated to bring relief of up to RM80bn to individual and business borrowers, said Finance Minister Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Abdul Aziz. (Bernama) Most of the countries negotiating a global overhaul of cross-border taxation of multinationals have backed plans for new rules on where companies are taxed and a tax rate of at least 15%, they said. The Paris-based Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), which hosted the talks, said a global minimum corporate income tax of at least 15% could yield around US$150bn in additional global tax revenues annually. It said 130 countries, representing more than 90% of global GDP, had backed the agreement at the talks. (Reuters) The i-Citra initiative is designed for members to withdraw their savings primarily from Account 2 as the facility is already set up for members to access it for specific needs, such as paying for home loans, medical expenses and education fees, according to the Employees Provident Fund (EPF). Its chief executive officer (CEO) Datuk Seri Amir Hamzah Azizan said all members below the age of 55 are eligible to apply for i-Citra, which would allow them to withdraw up to a maximum of RM5,000 subject to their total combined balance in both Accounts 1 and 2. (Bernama) The National Covid-19 Immunisation Task Force (CITF) meeting on 1 Jul gave its approval for the plantation and commodity sector to be the fourth sector involved in the industrial vaccination programme. Coordinating Minister for the National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme Khairy Jamaluddin said the 2 Malaysia Daybreak | July 2, 2021 three other economic sectors approved earlier were construction, transportation and manufacturing. (Bernama) C.2m doses of vaccine are needed to ensure all workers in the construction sector are immunised against Covid-19, thus enabling them to continue contributing to the economic development of the country. Works Minister Datuk Seri Fadillah Yusof said based on the recent record, there are almost one million construction personnel registered with the Construction Industry Development Board (CIDB), of which 70% are locals and 30% are foreigners. (Bernama) The National Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR) Policy is expected to increase productivity in Malaysia by 30% across all sectors by 2030, compared to 2020 levels, according to the Minister in the Prime Minister's Department (Economy) Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed. On top of that, Malaysia is also targeted to be in the top 20 countries in the Global Innovation Index by 2030, through the implementation of the National 4IR Policy. (The Edge Markets) The IHS Markit Malaysia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a composite single-figure indicator of manufacturing performance, fell to 39.9 in Jun 2021 from 51.3 a month earlier as Malaysia’s Covid-19-driven movement restriction policies resulted in output and incoming orders moderating to the greatest extent since the worst of the initial outbreak of the pandemic in Apr 2020. In a statement, IHS Markit said the country's manufacturing sector lost considerable momentum at the end of the second quarter of 2021 (2Q21) as Covid-19 infections led to the reintroduction of stricter containment measures to curb the spread of the pandemic. (The Edge Markets) Political News The Enhanced Movement Control Order (EMCO) will be imposed in 34 mukims in Selangor and 14 localities in Kuala Lumpur for 14 days, starting from 13 Jul to 16 Jul. Senior Minister (Security Cluster) Datuk Seri Ismail Sabri Yaakob said the 34 mukims involved in Selangor are in Petaling district (Mukim Petaling, Damansara, Sungai Buloh and Bukit Raja), Hulu Langat district (Mukim Hulu Langat, Ampang, Cheras, Kajang, Semenyih and Beranang), Sepang district (Mukim Dengkil, Labu and Sepang), and Gombak district (Mukim Batu, Rawang, Setapak, Hulu Kelang and Kuang). Also involved are the Kuala Langat district (Mukim Tanjung 12 (1), Tanjung 12 (2), Teluk Panglima Garang, Morib, Bandar, Jugra and Batu), Klang district (Mukim Kapar and Klang), Kuala Selangor district (Mukim Ijok, Bestari Jaya and Jeram), and Hulu Selangor district (Mukim Serendah, Rasa, Ulu Yam and Batang Kali).