Q&A 12 AIRCRAFT DESIGN 16 FLIGHT SAFETY 30 ESA director Jan Wörner Predicting rotocraft failure Avoiding cold air aloft FINDING Earth’s analog The discovery could come sooner than you think, with NASA’s next telescope PAGE 24 MARCH 2018 | A publication of the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics | aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org FEATURES | March 2018 MORE AT aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org 8–10 MAY 2018 LAUREL, MARYLAND The AIAA Defense and Security Forum (AIAA DEFENSE Forum) is a classified SECRET/NoFORN meeting for technical, programmatic, and policy issues pertaining to aerospace defense within U.S. national security. Sponsored by: Engage with the industry’s leading professionals with over 20 high-level discussions and technical sessions at AIAA DEFENSE Forum! Topics include: 16 30 36 Defense Research & Engineering 22 Rooting out Flying around U.S. Air Force failure modes cold air rethinks New Developments in Hypersonics Focusing on research NEW! POST-FORUM LEARNING: Mathematicians are Alaskan meteorologists Defense Innovation — Accelerating Military Capabilities Aerospace Survivability Course “targets of interest” applying probability are in the midst of strategy concepts to improve an experiment to turn National Security Space Policy Two-day, eight-hour classified course Jack Blackhurst, The lenses in the cameras on NASA’s aircraft safety, including readings from weather designed to introduce the concept executive director of Resilient Space Communications reducing rotocraft stalls. satellites into 3-D maps of survivability to new engineers, Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite to warn pilots about the Air Force Research analysts, and program managers are part of a strategy to speed the By Keith Button dangerous pockets of Laboratory, explains the Federal Government employees and AIAA members yearlong review. working in the aerospace industry. planet-hunting business. subzero temperatures. receive significant discounts on early member registration — $500 off standard pricing. By Amanda Miller By Debra Werner By Keith Button Submit your clearance certification form by 1 May. LEARN MORE AND REGISTER TODAY! defense.aiaa.org aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org | MARCH 2018 | 1 FEATURES | March 2018 MORE AT aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org 16 30 36 22 Rooting out Flying around U.S. Air Force failure modes cold air rethinks Focusing on research Mathematicians are Alaskan meteorologists “targets of interest” applying probability are in the midst of strategy concepts to improve an experiment to turn Jack Blackhurst, The lenses in the cameras on NASA’s aircraft safety, including readings from weather reducing rotocraft stalls. satellites into 3-D maps executive director of Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite to warn pilots about the Air Force Research are part of a strategy to speed the By Keith Button dangerous pockets of Laboratory, explains the planet-hunting business. subzero temperatures. yearlong review. By Amanda Miller By Debra Werner By Keith Button aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org | MARCH 2018 | 1 IN THIS ISSUE AEROSPACE★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ AMERICA MARCH 2018, VOL. 56, NO. 3 Keith Button EDITOR-IN-CHIEF Ben Iannotta Keith has written for C4ISR Journal and Hedge Fund Alert, where he broke [email protected] news of the 2007 Bear Stearns scandal that kicked off the global credit crisis. ASSOCIATE EDITOR Karen Small PAGES 16, 36 [email protected] 25–29 JUNE 2018 ATLANTA, GEORGIA STAFF REPORTER Tom Risen Amanda Miller [email protected] Amanda is a freelance reporter and editor based near Denver with 20 years EDITOR, AIAA BULLETIN Christine Williams of experience at weekly and daily publications. PAGE 22 [email protected] EDITOR EMERITUS Jerry Grey REGISTRATION OPENS 12 MARCH CONTRIBUTING WRITERS Joe Stumpe Keith Button, Amanda Miller, Joe Stumpe, The AIAA AVIATION Forum is the only aviation event that covers Robert van der Linden, Debra Werner, A freelance reporter based in Wichita, Kansas, Joe has written for The New Frank H. Winter York Times, Agence France-Presse and The Huffi ngton Post. the entire integrated spectrum of aviation business, research, PAGE 8 James “Jim” Maser AIAA PRESIDENT development, and technology. Start making your plans to attend! John Langford AIAA PRESIDENT-ELECT Daniel L. Dumbacher PUBLISHER Rodger S. Williams DEPUTY PUBLISHER Debra Werner ADVERTISING A frequent contributor to Aerospace America, Debra is also a West Coast [email protected] correspondent for Space News. PAGES 9, 30, 64 ART DIRECTION AND DESIGN THOR Design Studio | thor.design STANDARD EARLY MEMBER RATE MEMBER RATE MANUFACTURING AND DISTRIBUTION DEPARTMENTS Association Vision | associationvision.com 12 March–4 June LETTERS AND CORRESPONDENCE Ben Iannotta, [email protected] Full Conference with Online Proceedings $1,200 $850 9 TRENDING These tiny robots had a big problem. Full-Time Undergraduate Student $95 $65 Aerospace America (ISSN 0740-722X) is published Full-Time Graduate or PhD Student $200 $170 monthly by the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Inc., at 12700 Sunrise Valley Drive, Suite 200 4 Editor’s Notebook Reston, VA 20191-5807 [703-264-7500]. Subscription rate 8 12 Full-Time Retired Member $95 $65 is 50% of dues for AIAA members (and is not deductible therefrom). Nonmember subscription price: U.S., $200; 5 Letters to the Editor Trending Q & A foreign, $220. Single copies $20 each. Postmaster: Send NASA to test ADS-B The European Space address changes and subscription orders to Aerospace 7 From the Corner Offi ce tracking radios for Agency’s Wörner on America, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, supersonic planes. international cooperation at 12700 Sunrise Valley Drive, Reston, VA, 20191-5807, Attn: A.I.A.A. Customer Service. Periodical postage 47 AIAA Bulletin aviation.aiaa.org paid at Reston, Virginia, and at additional mailing offi ces. Copyright 2018 by the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Inc., all rights reserved. 61 Career Opportunities 42 The name Aerospace America is registered by the AIAA in the U.S. Patent and Trademark Offi ce. Opinion 62 Looking Back Decision-making through 64 the study of science, Trajectories technology and society Vanessa Reyna of can lead to sounder Raytheon Missile choices. Systems aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org | MARCH 2018 | 3 IN THIS ISSUE AEROSPACE★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ AMERICA MARCH 2018, VOL. 56, NO. 3 Keith Button EDITOR-IN-CHIEF Ben Iannotta Keith has written for C4ISR Journal and Hedge Fund Alert, where he broke [email protected] news of the 2007 Bear Stearns scandal that kicked off the global credit crisis. ASSOCIATE EDITOR Karen Small PAGES 16, 36 [email protected] STAFF REPORTER Tom Risen Amanda Miller [email protected] Amanda is a freelance reporter and editor based near Denver with 20 years EDITOR, AIAA BULLETIN Christine Williams of experience at weekly and daily publications. PAGE 22 [email protected] EDITOR EMERITUS Jerry Grey CONTRIBUTING WRITERS Joe Stumpe Keith Button, Amanda Miller, Joe Stumpe, Robert van der Linden, Debra Werner, A freelance reporter based in Wichita, Kansas, Joe has written for The New Frank H. Winter York Times, Agence France-Presse and The Huffi ngton Post. PAGE 8 James “Jim” Maser AIAA PRESIDENT John Langford AIAA PRESIDENT-ELECT Daniel L. Dumbacher PUBLISHER Rodger S. Williams DEPUTY PUBLISHER Debra Werner ADVERTISING A frequent contributor to Aerospace America, Debra is also a West Coast [email protected] correspondent for Space News. PAGES 9, 30, 64 ART DIRECTION AND DESIGN THOR Design Studio | thor.design MANUFACTURING AND DISTRIBUTION DEPARTMENTS Association Vision | associationvision.com LETTERS AND CORRESPONDENCE Ben Iannotta, [email protected] 9 TRENDING These tiny robots had a big problem. Aerospace America (ISSN 0740-722X) is published monthly by the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Inc., at 12700 Sunrise Valley Drive, Suite 200 4 Editor’s Notebook Reston, VA 20191-5807 [703-264-7500]. Subscription rate 8 12 is 50% of dues for AIAA members (and is not deductible therefrom). Nonmember subscription price: U.S., $200; 5 Letters to the Editor Trending Q & A foreign, $220. Single copies $20 each. Postmaster: Send NASA to test ADS-B The European Space address changes and subscription orders to Aerospace 7 From the Corner Offi ce tracking radios for Agency’s Wörner on America, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, supersonic planes. international cooperation at 12700 Sunrise Valley Drive, Reston, VA, 20191-5807, Attn: A.I.A.A. Customer Service. Periodical postage 47 AIAA Bulletin paid at Reston, Virginia, and at additional mailing offi ces. Copyright 2018 by the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Inc., all rights reserved. 61 Career Opportunities 42 The name Aerospace America is registered by the AIAA in the U.S. Patent and Trademark Offi ce. Opinion 62 Looking Back Decision-making through 64 the study of science, Trajectories technology and society Vanessa Reyna of can lead to sounder Raytheon Missile choices. Systems aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org | MARCH 2018 | 3 EDITOR’S NOTEBOOK POLICY LETTERS TO THE EDITOR Climate change Management role egarding the article in the January issue on self-censorship at NASA with respect to the in Columbia tragedy Rglobal climate change debate [“Self-censor- ship/discipline at NASA”]. I expected to see some was glad to see the article “Their mission became our mission” by discussion of the political environment of past years, astronaut Tom Jones in the January issue. It was an excellent sum- In defense but only found a one-sided presentation. I mary of the loss of [the space