Report on Progress Toward Security and Stability in Afghanistan December 2012 Report to Congress In accordance with section 1230 of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2008 (Public Law 110-181) as amended, and section 1221 of the National Defense Authorizations Act for Fiscal Year 2012 (Public Law 112-81) The estimated cost of report or study for the Department of Defense is approximately $$161,000 for the 2012 Fiscal Year. This includes $23,000 in expenses and $138,000 in DoD labor. Generated on 2012Dec03 RefID: 1-86DE5F2 (This page left intentionally blank) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................... 1 SECTION 1 – SECURITY ......................................................................................................... 11 1.1: U.S. MISSION .................................................................................................................. 11 1.2: ISAF CAMPAIGN STRATEGY AND OBJECTIVES ..................................................... 11 OP NAWEED ................................................................................................................... 11 1.3: ISAF COMMAND AND CONTROL ............................................................................... 12 1.4: NATO-ISAF FORCE LEVELS AND PLEDGES............................................................. 13 U.S. FORCE LEVELS ...................................................................................................... 13 U.S.-AFGHAN STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP AGREEMENT ..................................... 13 INTERNATIONAL FORCE LEVELS AND PLEDGES ................................................. 14 CHICAGO NATO SUMMIT ............................................................................................ 15 POST-2014 ....................................................................................................................... 16 CAVEATS ........................................................................................................................ 16 1.5: REPORTING PERIOD SECURITY OVERVIEW ........................................................... 17 THE INSURGENCY ........................................................................................................ 17 STATE OF THE INSURGENCY – SPRING 2012 AND SUMMER 2012 .......................... 18 ANSF-ISAF OPERATIONS BY RC .................................................................................... 21 REGIONAL COMMAND – EAST ...................................................................................... 21 REGIONAL COMMAND – SOUTH ................................................................................... 23 REGIONAL COMMAND – SOUTHWEST ........................................................................ 24 REGIONAL COMMAND – WEST ..................................................................................... 25 REGIONAL COMMAND – NORTH ................................................................................... 26 REGIONAL COMMAND – CAPITAL ............................................................................... 27 1.6: TRANSITION ................................................................................................................... 27 SHIFT OF MISSION DURING TRANSITION ............................................................... 28 CURRENT STATE OF TRANSITION – TRANCHES ONE, TWO, AND THREE ....... 29 TRACKING PROGRESS IN TRANSITIONING AREAS .............................................. 29 1.7: CIVILIAN CASUALTIES ................................................................................................ 31 1.8: INSIDER ATTACKS ........................................................................................................ 33 1.9: REINTEGRATION ........................................................................................................... 39 1.10: LOOKING AHEAD: THE NEXT 6 MONTHS .............................................................. 42 SECTION 2 – AFGHAN SECURITY FORCES GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT, AND OPERATIONS ................................................................................................. 45 2.1: SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................... 45 2.2: INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY BUILDING AND ASSESSMENT ................................ 47 ASSESSMENT OF THE MINISTRY OF DEFENSE .......................................................... 47 ASSESSMENT OF THE MINISTRY OF INTERIOR ......................................................... 49 I 2.3: INSTITUTIONAL TRAINER AND MENTOR STATUS ............................................... 52 2.4: ANSF LITERACY TRAINING ........................................................................................ 54 2.5: AFGHAN NATIONAL ARMY CAPACITY ................................................................... 55 MANNING ........................................................................................................................... 56 FORCE DEVELOPMENT AND TRAINING ...................................................................... 58 LEADERSHIP DEVELOPMENT ........................................................................................ 60 SPECIAL OPERATIONS FORCES ..................................................................................... 60 WOMEN IN THE ANA ........................................................................................................ 61 EQUIPPING ......................................................................................................................... 62 LOGISTICS CAPABILITY ................................................................................................. 62 AFGHAN AIR FORCE ........................................................................................................ 64 AAF CAPACITY .................................................................................................................. 64 AAF OPERATIONAL CAPABILITY ................................................................................. 66 2.6: AFGHAN NATIONAL POLICE CAPACITY AND GROWTH ..................................... 66 MANNING ........................................................................................................................... 67 FORCE DEVELOPMENT AND TRAINING ...................................................................... 68 EQUIPPING ......................................................................................................................... 70 LOGISTICS CAPABILITIES .............................................................................................. 70 AFGHANISTAN NATIONAL CIVIL ORDER POLICE .................................................... 72 AFGHAN BORDER POLICE .............................................................................................. 72 AFGHAN UNIFORM POLICE ............................................................................................ 73 WOMEN’S POLICE INITIATIVES .................................................................................... 74 SPECIAL FORCES .............................................................................................................. 75 2.7: AFGHAN PUBLIC PROTECTION FORCE (APPF) ....................................................... 76 2.8: LOCAL DEFENSE INITIATIVES ................................................................................... 77 AFGHAN LOCAL POLICE ................................................................................................. 78 2.9: AFGHAN INTELLIGENCE AGENCIES ........................................................................ 82 2.10: ANSF PARTNERING, TRAINING, AND MENTORING ............................................ 84 ANA AND ANP PARTNERING ......................................................................................... 84 ANSF OPERATIONS AND ASSESSMENT PROCESS ..................................................... 89 ANA OPERATIONS AND ASSESSMENT ........................................................................ 92 ANP OPERATIONS AND ASSESSMENT ......................................................................... 93 ANSF FORCE STRUCTURE AND BENCHMARKS FOR PROGRESS TOWARDS TRANSITION....................................................................................................................... 94 2.11: BUDGET ......................................................................................................................... 97 AFGHANISTAN SECURITY FORCES FUND .................................................................. 97 INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY FUNDING FOR THE ANSF ..................................... 97 II DIRECT CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE MINISTRY OF DEFENSE AND MINISTRY OF INTERIOR ............................................................................................................................ 98 INTERNATIONAL DONATIONS ...................................................................................... 99 FACILITIES MAINTENANCE ......................................................................................... 101 MINISTERIAL DEVELOPMENT OF FACILITIES MAINTENANCE .......................... 102 SECTION 3 – GOVERNANCE ............................................................................................... 103 3.1: ASSESSMENT OF NATIONAL GOVERNANCE ......................................................