ClimDev-Africa Initiative Joseph D. Intsiful, Senior Climate Science Expert African Climate Policy Centre, UNECA SADC Regional Climate Information Services Workshop Victoria Falls Zimbabwe, 29Nov -2 Dec 2016 Content Background and perspective ClimDev-Africa CIS work – Result Area I Climate Research for Development in Africa (CR4D) initiative Summary, conclusion and outlook Background and perspective ClimDev-Africa Vision Sustainable attainment of poverty reduction and other Development Goals in Africa through policies and decisions on practices in Africa that take full account of climate change risks and opportunities at all levels 4 Relevance of ClimDev-Africa • Unique in that it brings climate information and development together • Conceptually relevant – integrates pillars of sustainable development • Reinforces Africa’s development agenda • Political buy-in at the highest level – endorsed by heads of states • Combination of partners’ strengths: – UNECA to generate knowledge and analytical inputs to inform policy; – AfDB to demonstrate return on investments in climate information in order to optimize new investments in CIS; – AUC to enable policy formulation and uptake at the highest level 5 ClimDev-Africa Programme is structured into Three Result Areas Climdev-Africa Programme Management and Functioning Result Area 3 Result Area 1 Informed Decision- Making, Awareness Widely Available and Advocacy Climate Information, Packaging and Dissemination Result Area 2 Quality Analysis for Decision Support and Management Practice 6 ClimDev-Africa CIS Work (Result Area I): Widely Available Climate Information, Packaging and Dissemination Climate Information Services for Development Planning Local and national Local and national Urban planners USERS emergency service emergency service Local to national govt Governmental authorities Construction companies Banks Legislators Public Food suppliers Companies emergency planning Urban & coastal areas Long-term strategic APPLICATION activation and response seasonal preparation planning Eg: evacuation of Stocking of Infrastructure constrution materials development Adaptation planning Land use zoning and planning Short to medium Probabilistic seasonal Building codes to inter annual term weather SERVICE Climate forecasts forecast eg: probabilities of Decadal climate change Eg tropical cyclone, severity and intensity trend analysis scenarios storm surge, flood of extreme events Long term Next hour to 10 days Season to year Decade climate change Challenges to Delivery of Climate Information Services in Africa • Over 88 % of NMHS are challenged in delivering climate information services to support DRR • 92% lack appropriate application software • 96% need upgrading of operational infrastructure to support DRR • 92% need technical training on production of climate products and services • 85% say lack of effective co-ordination with other agencies involved in DRR impacts negatively on operations • Significant investment required for effective delivery of CIS (at least $6mil per country) • Very low capacity to assess economic utility of CIS Implementation Strategy Towards an integrated and comprehensive approach Support to countries: • Analysis, design and implementation of national activities • Accessing, collecting and analyzing data on climate variability and change and impacts • Build capacities of countries to establish and use e- infrastructure (ICT, data, tools & network of institutions) to inform decision making • Establish a community of practice to sustain the established systems Technical support on CIS to pilot countries - Ethiopia, Rwanda and Gambia • Support to Ethiopia, Rwanda and Gambia in data rescuing, upgrading hydro- meteorological observational networks, early warning and data management systems. • In Ethiopia, ACPC delivered 23 high capacity computers for the NMA, 20 Automatic Water Level Recorders and remote telemetry units, 1 database management software, and technical training was providing to experts from the Department of Hydrology of the Ministry of Water and Energy • In Rwanda, ACPC delivered hydro-meteorological equipment and is assisted in setting Flood early warning system in Gambia up flood early warning systems in two watersheds, as well as 19 high performance computers, 15 hard drive disks and 5 scanners, 1 high performance computer and 1 database server • Also in Rwanda, ACPC has implementing a project on vulnerability and risk assessment Hydrological network in Ethiopia • In The Gambia, ACPC delivered 4 water level measurement stations with telemetry, 3 ground water monitoring station with telemetry and a cellular base station are procured and one system installed with remainder under installation. • The ENACTS (Enhancing National Climate Services) initiative was implemented in Rwanda and Gambia in partnership with IRI to meet the increasing demand for improved climate information and services. Vulnerability index for Rwanda Making climate information widely available Africa-wide with specific focus on African SIDS Establishing a Helpdesk for technical support and services (resources and systems) Establishment of a High Resolution Continental Numerical Weather Prediction and Early Warning System to address special needs on African SIDS Capacity Building, Deployments and Direct Engineering Assistance on Wireless Communication Platforms for Climate Information and Climate Services Delivery in African SIDS Establishing Climate Services Information Systems Africa- Wide to make climate information and services widely available Architecture of the Weather-on-Demand (WOD) Infrastructure: Numerical Weather Prediction & Early Warning System The WOD system is built around a database, large file systems, the WRF-Chem atmospheric model and it’s utilities and services Conductor manages resources of the WOD system. GFS Fetcher downloads weather data from NOAA as it becomes available, converts it into a format suitable for the WRF-Chem weather model Modeler polls the Conductor for Tasks for running the weather model and notifies it on progress and completion. Plotter polls the Conductor for Tasks for generating weather plots Major Implementations African SIDS Implementation (wind and rainfall) Guinea-Bissau Cabo Verde Sao Tome & Principe Seychelles Mauritius Comoros Pan African Implementation Madagascar Implementation (Accumulated rainfall) (Accumulated rainfall) http://uneca.belgingur.is/map/gnb.5-1.1.full/composite/2016-08-12T00:00+03:00 Forecasting Hurricane Fred over Cabo Verde Model forecasts Sal before and during the Hurricane RAMADDA Publishing Basic Services Viewing Web UI CRUD Output Handlers Search (federated) HTML HTML Access control RSS Event notification Catalog APIs … OAI-PMH HTTP & FTP OPeNDAP RSS KML … Harvesters Catalog File, image, chat,Wiki page, link, script, … DIF, THREDDS, … Etc. Folders, Entries, Metadata,… RDMS Integrated Data Viewer • A Java based software framework for analyzing and visualizing geoscience data based on the VISAD • Provides the ability to analyze & display : – satellite imagery – gridded model output – surface, upper-air, wind profiler, lightning, – radar data – and much more … • Can create a variety of displays: – 2-D horizontal contours/color-filled contours – 3-D iso-surfaces – vertical cross sections – interactive data probing – and much more… Workshops on Use of ACPC-ClimDev Numerical Weather Prediction and Early Warning System • Workshop themes: Comprehensive technology needs assessment in African SIDS and mainland countries to facilitate deployment of system Establishment of community of practice and research themes for further enquiry • Atlantic Ocean SIDS Workshop - Brought together 20 participants from African SIDS, Gambia, Senegal and experts from USA/NOAA, Iceland and ACPC/ClimDev-Africa: Benchmarking of model performance based on forecasting of Hurricane Fred and associated storm surge • Indian Ocean SIDS Workshop - Brought together 12 participants from African SIDS, Gambia, Ghana, Madagascar, Mauritius, ICPAC and experts from Iceland, ICTP and ACPC: Benchmarking of model performance based on forecasting of Indian Ocean extremes and associated storm surge Setting up of Numerical Weather Prediction System and Climate Services Information Systems Africa-wide Hands on training for technicians from Cabo Verde on deployment and management of Numerical Weather Prediction System Wireless Connectivity in Indian Ocean SIDS • Support provided to the Indian Ocean SIDS Seychelles, Mauritius and Comoros realtime transfer data for hydro- meteorological observational networks, early warning and data management systems. • Wireless network connecting the Meteorological office at Seychelles Mahe airport with the weather station at Praslin airport has enabled observed climate/weather data to be transmitted in realtime • Capacity established in Comoros to link Met office at Lycee to met stations at Hahaya and remote stations at Ouani and Comoros Fomboni will enable realtime monitoring of climate and marine envirionment • Capacity building and deployment at the University of Mauritius has generated interest in Internet-of-Things for Mauritius monitoring of climate and marine environment. Climate Research for Development (CR4D) Vision: Catalyze multi-institutional and multi-disciplinary integrated, demand-driven, climate research and analysis that is responsive to users and development planning needs Key Goals: Climate Analysis & Simulations Regional Climate Interdisciplinary Partnerships • Enhance ACPC’s links with climate research