Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova December 5, 2018 – January 16, 2019 Detailed Methodology • The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research. The field work was carried out by Magenta Consulting. • Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between December 5, 2018 and January 16, 2019 through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,226 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is representative of the general population by age, gender, region and settlement size. • Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural and gender. • A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection procedures. • Stage one: All districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria) were surveyed. • Stage two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages). • Settlements were selected at random. • The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the particular type of settlement in each region. • Stage three: Primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent for the full sample. • The response rate was 65 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development. 2 Mood of the Country Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer 90% 83% 82% 79% 78% 80% 73% 74% 73% 71% 69% 68% 70% 66% 61% 58% 57% 58% 62% 60% 55% 54% 54% 53% 51% 47% 45% 50% 51% 47% 42% 40% 38% 38% 41% 40% 42% 41% 32% 37% 30% 34% 33% 32% 33% 30% 31% 27% 27% 19% 26% 20% 24% 24% 22% 21% 13% 11% 9% 17% 10% 16% 10% 14% 15% 14% 15% 14% 5% 5% 5% 5% 12% 13% 12% 1% 10% 11% 11% 8% 9% 8% 8% 6% 0% 5% 6% 7% Apr-06 Apr-08 Jan-12 Oct-15 Oct-17 Oct-18 Jun-09 Jun-14 Jun-18 Sep-10 Sep-14 Sep-16 Mar-04 Mar-07 Mar-16 Mar-17 Feb-10 Feb-11 Feb-18 Aug-11 Dec-11 Dec-18 Nov-04 Nov-08 Nov-09 May-10 *In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. The scandal is often referred to as the "Stolen billion.” **In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular election of the president since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second round contest on November 13, 2016. 4 Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today? I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast No change is taking place Don’t know/No answer December 2018 10% 46% 10% 33% 1% October 2018 7% 49% 7% 35% 2% June 2018 7% 52% 7% 32% 2% February 2018 5% 44% 6% 42% 2% October 2017 4% 48% 7% 39% 2% March 2017 10% 45% 9% 33% 3% September 2016 3% 38% 7% 49% 3% March 2016 4% 31% 15% 46% 4% October 2015 1% 30% 15% 50% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 5 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer December 2018 3% 20% 40% 21% 14% 2% October 2018 2% 18% 41% 23% 13% 4% June 2018 1% 18% 45% 22% 10% 4% February 2018 1% 16% 42% 24% 14% 3% October 2017 15% 45% 21% 16% 3% March 2017 1% 16% 35% 29% 15% 3% September 2016 1% 6% 25% 30% 35% 3% March 2016 1% 6% 23% 32% 36% 2% October 2015 4% 16% 34% 42% 4% September 2014 6% 22% 24% 21% 19% 7% June 2014 4% 20% 33% 23% 14% 6% January 2012 2% 13% 31% 28% 22% 4% December 2011 2% 15% 20% 31% 29% 3% August 2011 5% 23% 34% 17% 18% 3% February 2011 3% 25% 27% 22% 18% 5% September 2010 5% 18% 28% 26% 17% 6% May 2010 2% 14% 30% 30% 19% 5% February 2010 2% 11% 24% 38% 21% 4% November 2009 2% 8% 34% 39% 10% 7% June 2009 1% 9% 22% 42% 20% 5% November 2008 2% 20% 30% 28% 15% 5% April 2008 2% 13% 30% 29% 20% 6% March 2007 4% 24% 32% 27% 10% 4% April 2006 3% 24% 36% 27% 5% 5% November 2004 5% 26% 37% 22% 6% 4% March 2004 3% 23% 37% 25% 9% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 6 Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer December 2018 2% 15% 51% 21% 9% 1% October 2018 1% 13% 54% 23% 9% June 2018 1% 16% 56% 17% 8% 2% February 2018 1% 12% 53% 23% 9% 2% October 2017 12% 56% 19% 12% 1% March 2017 1% 11% 53% 23% 10% 2% September 2016 1% 7% 42% 24% 23% 2% March 2016 1% 5% 32% 33% 27% 2% October 2015 4% 24% 33% 35% 4% September 2014 4% 21% 38% 19% 15% 3% June 2014 2% 18% 45% 24% 9% 2% Janauary 2012 2% 10% 41% 29% 15% 3% December 2011 1% 13% 39% 28% 17% 2% August 2011 4% 18% 43% 18% 14% 3% February 2011 1% 16% 34% 31% 15% 3% September 2010 4% 14% 36% 29% 14% 4% May 2010 1% 11% 42% 29% 15% 2% February 2010 1% 8% 36% 36% 16% 4% November 2009 1% 7% 46% 34% 9% 3% June 2009 1% 9% 32% 36% 17% 5% November 2008 1% 15% 39% 27% 14% 4% April 2008 2% 11% 37% 25% 16% 9% March 2007 3% 19% 41% 23% 9% 5% April 2006 2% 25% 44% 22% 5% 1% November 2004 4% 23% 47% 20% 5% 1% March 2004 2% 16% 48% 22% 10% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 7 In your opinion, how will the economic situation of Moldova change in the next 12 months? Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer December 2018 7% 23% 29% 17% 10% 14% October 2018 2% 19% 37% 17% 8% 17% June 2018 2% 28% 35% 14% 6% 15% February 2018 2% 24% 35% 18% 7% 14% October 2017 1% 20% 42% 14% 8% 15% March 2017 4% 27% 32% 19% 7% 11% September 2016 1% 13% 35% 20% 17% 14% March 2016 2% 14% 34% 21% 19% 10% October 2015 1% 6% 21% 30% 32% 10% September 2014 11% 27% 24% 11% 12% 15% June 2014 6% 24% 29% 17% 7% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 8 What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by at least 2 percent of respondents) Low income/Pensions 38% Corruption 31% Unemployment 29% Emigration 20% Poverty 16% High prices/Inflation 10% Roads 9% Bad government 8% Economic crisis 7% Healthcare 4% Citizen indifference 3% Bad politicians 3% Education 3% Low standard of living 3% Instability in the country 3% Nobody helps people 2% "The stolen billion" 2% Crime 2% Don't know/No answer 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 9 What are the most important problems facing your village/town at the moment? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by at least 2 percent of respondents) Roads 36% Unemployment 23% Emigration 10% Lack of public transport 9% Insufficient street lighting 9% Cleanliness 8% Low income/Pensions 7% Water supply 7% Bad mayor 6% Gas supply 4% High prices/Inflation 4% Corruption 3% Healthcare system 3% Lack of sanitation or sewerage 3% Poverty 3% Infrastructure 3% No parking space 2% Citizen indifference 2% Don't know/No answer 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 10 What are the most important problems facing you and your household? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by at least 1 percent of respondents) Low income/Financial problems 44% Unemployment 9% Health problems 8% Emigration 6% Poverty 6% High prices/Inflation 5% Expensive utilities/Housing 4% No firewood 3% Expensive medicines 3% Low standard of living 2% Poor social assistance 2% Loneliness 2% Healthcare system 1% House needs to be repaired 1% Gas supply 1% Water supply 1% Family problems 1% Lack of time 1% Don't know/No answer 18% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 11 How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer December 2018 5% 23% 28% 38% 6% October 2018 2% 24% 32% 39% 3% June 2018 2% 23% 33% 39% 2% February 2018 2% 20% 31% 43% 4% October 2017 1% 17% 33% 44% 5% March 2017 2% 24% 34% 37% 3% September 2016 2% 12% 26% 54% 6% March 2016 3% 11% 22% 58% 6% October 2015 1% 7% 23% 66% 3% September 2014 9% 31% 26% 26% 7% June 2014 4% 41% 30% 16% 9% January 2012 1% 18% 43% 27% 11% December 2011 3% 23% 36% 29% 9% August 2011 5% 25% 39% 22% 9% February 2011 3% 29% 36% 21% 10% September 2010 5% 23% 41% 24% 8% May 2010 2% 27% 40% 21% 10% February 2010 4% 22% 37% 27% 10% November 2009 3% 27% 37% 20% 14% June 2009 1% 16% 41% 25% 17% November 2008 2% 21% 42% 20% 15% April 2008 2% 17% 41% 24% 16% March 2007 5% 21% 41% 18% 15% April 2006 1% 25% 43% 14% 17% November 2004 2% 26% 44% 14% 14% March 2004 2% 24% 44% 17% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 12 Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view? Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change) Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order Don't know/No answer December 2018 62% 25% 10% 3% October 2018 71% 16% 9% 4% June 2018 71% 17% 9% 3% February 2018 68% 19% 10% 3% October 2017 61% 17% 17% 5% March 2017 60% 17% 13% 10% September 2016 78% 9% 7% 6% March 2016 74% 12% 6% 8% October 2015 71% 14% 9% 6% September 2014 58% 21% 11% 10% June 2014 57% 24% 8% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 13 Views on Corruption In your opinion, is corruption