SPECIAL ISSUE • 2019 ISSN 2542-0240 (Print) ISSN 2587-9324 (Online) ogt-journal.com OUTLINES OF GLOBAL TRANSFORMATIONS Modern Africa in Global Economy and Politics SPECIAL ISSUE • 2019 Outlines of Global Transformations: POLITICS • ECONOMICS • LAW SPECIAL ISSUE • 2019 ISSN 2542-0240 (PRINT), ISSN 2587-9324 (ONLINE) Outlines of Global Transformations POLITICS • ECONOMICS • LAW Kontury global,nyh transformacij: politika, èkonomika, pravo The Outlines of Global Transformations Journal publishes papers on the urgent aspects of contemporary politics, world affairs, economics and law. The journal is aimed to unify the representatives of Russian and foreign academic and expert communities, the adherents of different scientific schools. It provides a reader with the profound analysis of a problem and shows different approaches for its solution. Each issue is dedicated to a concrete problem considered in a complex way. Editorial Board Alexey V. Kuznetsov – Editor-in-Chief, INION, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation Vladimir B. Isakov – Deputy Editor-in-Chief, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russian Federation Vladimir N. Leksin – Deputy Editor-in-Chief, Institute of System Analysis, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation Alexander I. Solovyev – Deputy Editor-in-Chief, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Vardan E. Bagdasaryan, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Aleksey A. Krivopalov, Center for Crisis Society Studies, Moscow, Russian Federation Andrew C. Kuchins, Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington, USA Alexander M. Libman, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany Alexander Ya. Livshin, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Kari Liuhto, University of Turku, Turku, Finland Alexander V. Lukin, MGIMO University, Moscow, Russian Federation Andrei Y. Melville, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russian Federation Aza A. Migranyan, Institute of Economics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation Michail G. Mironyuk, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russian Federation Igor B. Orlov, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russian Federation Adrian Pabst, University of Kent, Canterbury, Great Britain Jan A. Scholte, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden Kanwal Sibal, Former Foreign Secretary of India, New Dehli, India Sergey N. Silvestrov, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation Kirill O. Telin, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Alexander A. Vershinin, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Maksim V. Vilisov, Center for Crisis Society Studies, Moscow, Russian Federation Sergey V. Volodenkov, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Alexander Zhebit, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Irina D. Zvyagel’skaya, IMEMO, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation Editorial Council Vladimir I. Yakunin – Head of the Editorial Council, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Irina O. Abramova, Institute for African Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation Oksana V. Gaman-Golutvina, MGIMO University, Moscow, Russian Federation Ruslan S. Grinberg, Institute of Economics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation Alexey A. Gromyko, Institute of Europe, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation Andrey G. Lisitsyn-Svetlanov, Law Firm “YUST”, Moscow, Russian Federation Valeriy L. Makarov, Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation Viacheslav A. Nikonov, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Boris N. Porfiryev, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation Viktor A. Sadovnichiy, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Anatoly V. Torkunov, MGIMO University, Moscow, Russian Federation Andrei Y. Shutov, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation Nikita Y. Molchakov – Executive Secretary, Center for Crisis Society Studies, Moscow, Russian Federation Founder and Publisher: Association for Independent Experts “Center for Crisis Society Studies”, Moscow, Russian Federation Address: 2, 32, Komsomolskij Av., Moscow, 119146, E-mail: [email protected] Russian Federation Frequency: 6 per year Web-site: http://www.ogt-journal.com Circulation: 1000 copies Tel.: +7 (903) 556-34-19 Published since 2016 OUTLINES OF GLOBAL TRANSFORMATIONS: POLITICS, ECONOMICS, LAW SPECIAL ISSUE • 2019 ISSN 2542-0240 (PRINT), ISSN 2587-9324 (ONLINE) Contents Irina O. ABRAMOVA. Africa in the Modern Model of the World Order: A Powerful Player or an Outsider? �� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 4–15 Leonid L. FITUNI. Towards a Neo-bipolar Model of the World Order: Scouting Game in Africa �� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 16–33 Maria A. VOLODINA. International Economic Strategy of Small African Countries in a Globalizing World � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �34–45 Marina A. KUKARTSEVA. The EU’s Humanitarian Policy in Africa and Migration Crisis � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 46–62 Tat’yana L. DEYCH. China in Africa: Neo-Colonial Power or “Win-Win” Strategy? �� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 63–82 Elena A. BRAGINA. India – Africa: Trade and Investments in the XXI Century � � � 83–97 Aleksey M. VASILIEV, Natalia A. ZHERLITSINA. Algeria: a Regional Leader or a Potentially Unstable State? �� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 98–106 Juan CHEN. Strategic Synergy between Egypt “Vision 2030” and China’s “Belt and Road” Initiative � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 107–121 Youngho PARK, Yejin KIM. The Strategic Value of Africa as the New Market and Korea’s Economic Cooperation with Africa� � � � � � � � � � � 122–132 3 OUTLINES OF GLOBAL TRANSFORMATIONS SPECIAL ISSUE • 2019 DOI: 10.23932/2542-0240-2018-11-5-6-21 Africa in the Modern Model of the World Order: A Powerful Player or an Outsider?1 Irina O. ABRAMOVA Corresponding Member, RAS; Professor, Director, Institute for African Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences; Address: 30/1, Spiridonovka St., Moscow, 123001, Russian Federation. E-mail: [email protected] ABSTRACT. The article analyses the velopment. According to forecasts, includ- transformation of Africa’s position in the ing those made by the Institute for Afri- emerging new model of world econom- can Studies of the Russian Academy of Sci- ic development. The author emphasizes ences, from the 2030s, Africa is expected to that until recently, Africa was assigned the turn into the most important and almost role of an “outsider” of the world economy. unique global strategic reserve of raw ma- The transition of developed countries to a terials in the “Coming (New) Industrial postindustrial and innovative development Revolution” – NPR, Next (in other docu- model has further exacerbated the lagging ments New) Industrial Revolution. The Af- behind of the region’s countries in the fore- rican continent today occupies leading po- most areas of the economy. Other nega- sitions in the world precisely due to those tive factors that affected the development commodities that have no equivalents and of African economies in the second decade are vital for the development of defense and of the 21st century include the high depen- innovative technologies of the 21st century. dence of the African economy on com- Other important factors in the accelerated modity exports, the slowdown of China’s development of Africa are the quantitative growth, the socio-economic consequences and qualitative growth of the continent’s of the so-called “Arab Spring” and, primar- labor potential, the expansion of consump- ily, the destruction of Libya, the continua- tion in the African domestic markets, the tion of old and the emergence of new con- economic diversification in a number of flicts in a number of African states. Despite the continent’s countries by means of in- numerous and often successful attempts creasing the share of services and industry by external forces to make sure that Afri- in the GDP, and a significant improvement ca remains an object of the world economy in the business climate as a result of bet- and politics, the continent is increasing- ter investment legislation and gradual sta- ly becoming an active “subject” in interna- bilization of domestic politics. Apart from tional relations, and its development in the the increase in financial proceeds arriving coming decades may, in our view, change in various forms, regional integration (in- its position in the new model of world de- cluding a continental free trade zone) will 1 The article was written with the support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research. Project No. 16-07-00010 “The ‘African Vector’ of the Fundamental Transformation of Russia’s Economic Structure in New Geopolitical Conditions.” 4 ABRAMOVA I.O. AFRICA IN THE MODERN