Employment Bulletin A Monthly Analysis of Employment, Unemployment and Jobs EB 8/15 July 2015 Key Facts Unemployment according to the Government’s preferred measure was 1.85 million in the * Claimant count in Nottinghamshire rises by 39 three months to June 2015, up over the month. 25,000 from the previous three * Jobless total now 15,670. months but down 221,000 from the same period a year ago. The unemployment rate was * Claimant count rates in July (residence based); 5.6%, up 0.1 from the previous United Kingdom 1.8% three months but down 0.7 from East Midlands 1.6% a year earlier. Nottinghamshire 2.2% The unemployment rate County 1.6% for 18-24 year olds was 14.3% in the three months to June 2015, City 3.6% up by 0.1% on the quarter but down 0.5% on the year. There * LFS Unemployment in the United Kingdom were 591,000 unemployed 1,850,000 or 5.6% of the workforce. young people aged from 18 to 24 in the quarter to June 2015. This is up by 3,000 on the quarter but down by 19,000 over not seeking or available for work. increase in the proportion of the year. Comparisons of youth Unemployment rates are not the young people going into full- unemployment over time are proportion of the total time education reduces the size complicated by the fact that population who are unemployed. of the economically active unemployment rates are They are the proportion of the population and therefore calculated as the number of economically active population increases the unemployment unemployed people divided by (those in work plus those seeking rate. the economically active and available to work) who are The seasonally adjusted population which excludes those unemployed. The long-term claimant figure for the United Kingdom decreased by 4,879 Figure 1: Unemployed Claimants in Nottinghamshire last month to 792,418 and was down 217,674 over the year. 23,000 The number of people in employment aged 16 and over 21,000 decreased by 63,000 over the quarter to reach 31.03 million. 19,000 The employment rate for those aged 16 to 64 is now 73.4%, little changed from the previous 17,000 quarter but up 0.6 from a year earlier. 15,000 The number of people in Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 full-time employment increased Please acknowledge the source when quoting from this bulletin This bulletin is also available via our website at: www.nottinghamshire.gov.uk/living/business/economicdata/employmentbulletins by 29,000 on the quarter to Fig 2: Unemployment change in TTWA's, Notts & UK - July 2015 reach 22.76 million. The 5.0 number of people in part-time 0.0 employment was 8.27 million in the three months to June 2015, -5.0 down 92,000 on the previous -10.0 quarter. -15.0 In the three months to June 2015, there were 8.99 -20.0 % Rate of change of % Rate million economically inactive -25.0 people aged from 16 to 64, up -30.0 7,000 from the previous quarter month year -35.0 but down 2,000 from a year Lincoln Mansfield Nottingham Worksop & Notts United Kingdom earlier. Retford Average total pay (including bonuses) was £488 Force Survey interview. This is 2015, unemployment decreased per week in June 2015. Over up 2,000 from the previous three in two of the four Travel To Work the year total pay for employees months and up 1,000 on the Areas in the County (figure 2). in Great Britain increased by year. The redundancy rate was Worksop & Retford experienced 2.4%. Average regular pay 4.3 per 1,000 employees, up 0.1 the largest decrease with a rate (excluding bonuses) was £463 from the previous three months of change of -0.6%, followed by per week in June 2015. Over but down 0.1 from a year earlier. Lincoln with -0.3%. Mansfield the year regular pay for The unadjusted claimant and Nottingham had increases of employees in Great Britain rose figure for the United Kingdom 0.9% and 0.6% respectively. by 2.8%. Between June 2014 has decreased by 9,991 over the Compared with July 2014, and June 2015, the Consumer month to 723,980. The all of the four TTWA’s in the Prices Index is unchanged. proportion unemployed County have reduced numbers of There were 735,000 job calculated on the residence base claimants. The largest change vacancies in the three months to now stands at 1.8% of the has been in Worksop & Retford July 2015, 1,000 more than in population aged 16-64. with a rate of change of -29.0% the three months to April 2015 The number of claimants followed by Mansfield with and 69,000 more than a year in Nottinghamshire increased by -26.9%, Nottingham with -23.6% earlier. 39 between June and July 2015. and Lincoln with -20.6%. There were 2.5 The total of 15,670 is 5,041 less Unemployment decreased unemployed people per vacancy than it was a year ago (see in five of the seven Local in the period from April to June figure 1). Authority Districts in the County 2015, up by 0.1 on the quarter The proportion over the month. The largest but down by 0.6 on the year. unemployed in Nottinghamshire reductions were in Broxtowe with In the three months to is now 2.2%. This is higher than -2.8% and Newark & Sherwood June 2015, 112,000 people the East Midlands (1.6%) and with -0.9%, whilst Rushcliffe and became redundant in the three the United Kingdom (1.8%). Gedling increased by 5.6% and months prior to their Labour Between June and July 2.3% respectively. Table 1: Claimant Count, July 2015 Area No.of Claimants Change over Claimant Count Rate Male Female Total Month Year Male Female Total UK seasonally adjusted 512,507 279,911 792,418 -4,879 -217,674 2.5 1.4 1.9 United Kingdom 459,987 263,993 723,980 -9,991 -271,855 2.3 1.3 1.8 East Midlands 30,206 17,188 47,394 -495 -18,466 2.1 1.2 1.6 Notts County (a) 5,091 2,844 7,935 1 -2,713 2.0 1.1 1.6 Nottm City (b) 5,195 2,540 7,735 38 -2,328 4.7 2.4 3.6 Nottinghamshire (a+b) 10,286 5,384 15,670 39 -5,041 2.9 1.5 2.2 The rates shown in tables 1-4 are supplied by ONS. They are calculated by expressing the claimant count figures as a proportion of the resident population aged 16-64 derived from the latest mid-year population figures. Unemployment in the City of Broxtowe, Ashfield and Newark change ranging from -12.5% in Nottingham increased by 38 recorded the largest decreases, Newark to -30.4% in over the month resulting in a experiencing rates of change of Bassetlaw. The three rate of change of 0.5%. -3.6%, -1.6% and -1.1% Nottingham Constituencies The rates of change respectively. Over the month have rates of change of -22.7% have varied throughout the Nottingham East has changed in Nottingham East, -23.2% in County over the year, from by 2.3%, Nottingham North by Nottingham North and -23.7% -30.1% in Bassetlaw to -17.8% -1.1% and Nottingham South in Nottingham South. in Newark & Sherwood. by 0.1%. Nottingham City changed by All of the eight -23.1% over the year. Parliamentary Constituencies in Unemployment the County have decreased decreased in five of the eight numbers of claimants Parliamentary Constituencies in compared with the same period the County during July. last year resulting in rates of Table 2: Claimant Count by Travel To Work Areas in Nottinghamshire, July 2015 Travel To Work Area No.of Claimants Change over Claimant Count Rate Male Female Total Month Year Male Female Total Lincoln 2,640 1,385 4,025 -14 -1,047 2.6 1.3 1.9 Mansfield 2,271 1,309 3,580 32 -1,318 2.5 1.4 1.9 Nottingham 8,166 4,203 12,369 72 -3,820 3.0 1.6 2.3 Worksop & Retford 744 453 1,197 -7 -490 2.0 1.2 1.6 Proportions for Travel To Work Areas are calculated using the mid-2010 resident 16-64 population. Table 3: Claimant Count by Local Authority Districts in Nottinghamshire, July 2015 DistrictNo.of Claimants Change over Claimant Count Rate Male Female Total Month Year Male Female Total Ashfield 974 592 1,566 -8 -568 2.6 1.5 2.0 Bassetlaw 680 408 1,088 -6 -468 1.9 1.2 1.5 Broxtowe 614 364 978 -28 -308 1.7 1.0 1.4 Gedling 734 397 1,131 25 -395 2.1 1.1 1.6 Mansfield 1,011 511 1,522 -6 -537 3.0 1.5 2.3 Newark & Sherwood 662 369 1,031 -9 -224 1.8 1.0 1.4 Nottingham** 5,195 2,540 7,735 38 -2,328 4.7 2.4 3.6 Rushcliffe 416 203 619 33 -213 1.2 0.6 0.9 *Figures relating to the Unitary Authority of Nottingham City in tables 3 & 4 are shown in italics.