Q3 2010 www.businessmonitor.com IRAN TELECOMMUNICATIONS REPORT INCLUDES 5-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2014 ISSN 1748-460X Published by Business Monitor International Ltd. IRAN TELECOMMUNICATIONS REPORT Q3 2010 INCLUDES 5-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2014 Part of BMI’s Industry Report & Forecasts Series Published by: Business Monitor International Publication Date: June 2010 Business Monitor International © 2010 Business Monitor International. Mermaid House, All rights reserved. 2 Puddle Dock, London, EC4V 3DS, All information contained in this publication is UK copyrighted in the name of Business Monitor Tel: +44 (0) 20 7248 0468 International, and as such no part of this publication Fax: +44 (0) 20 7248 0467 may be reproduced, repackaged, redistributed, resold in Email: [email protected] whole or in any part, or used in any form or by any Web: http://www.businessmonitor.com means graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, or by information storage or retrieval, or by any other means, without the express written consent of the publisher. DISCLAIMER All information contained in this publication has been researched and compiled from sources believed to be accurate and reliable at the time of publishing. However, in view of the natural scope for human and/or mechanical error, either at source or during production, Business Monitor International accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors, inaccuracies or omissions affecting any part of the publication. All information is provided without warranty, and Business Monitor International makes no representation of warranty of any kind as to the accuracy or completeness of any information hereto contained. Iran Telecommunications Report Q3 2010 © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 2 Iran Telecommunications Report Q3 2010 CONTENTS Executive Summary ......................................................................................................................................... 7 SWOT Analysis ................................................................................................................................................. 8 Iran Mobile SWOT ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 8 Iran Wireline SWOT .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 9 Iran Political SWOT ............................................................................................................................................................................................ 10 Iran Economic SWOT .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 11 Iran Business Environment SWOT ....................................................................................................................................................................... 12 Business Environment Rankings ................................................................................................................. 13 Middle East And North Africa................................................................................................................................................................................... 13 Iran ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 15 Table: Regional Telecoms Business Environment Ratings ................................................................................................................................... 17 Industry Forecast Scenario ........................................................................................................................... 18 Mobile ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 18 Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile – Historical Data & Forecasts ........................................................................................................................ 18 Fixed Line ................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 20 Table: Telecoms Sector – Fixed-Line – Historical Data & Forecasts ................................................................................................................. 20 Internet ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 22 Table: Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts ...................................................................................................................... 22 Market Data Analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 24 Mobile ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 24 Table: Iran – Mobile Market Growth, 2007-2009................................................................................................................................................ 25 Table: Iran – Mobile Market, Q409 ..................................................................................................................................................................... 27 ARPU ................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 28 3G ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 28 Mobile Contract Wins .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 30 Table: Mobile Contract Wins ............................................................................................................................................................................... 30 Mobile Content ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 31 Regional Outlook ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 31 Country Outlook .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 31 SMS ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 32 Mobile Banking .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 33 Value-Added Services Timeline............................................................................................................................................................................ 34 Table: Selected VAS Services ............................................................................................................................................................................... 34 Mobile Operator Data ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 35 Hamrahe Aval (Mobile Communications Company of Iran) ................................................................................................................................ 35 MTN Irancell ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 35 Kish Free Zone Organization (KFZO) ................................................................................................................................................................. 36 Mobile Telecommunications Company of Esfahan (MTCE) ................................................................................................................................ 37 Fixed Line ................................................................................................................................................................................................................