NATO Foundation Defense College The NDCF is a unique think-tank: international The Ukrainian crisis and the annexation of Crimea have quickly changed po- This particularly relevant conference, featuring by design and based in Rome, due to its associa- litical perceptions and calculations in the Euro-Atlantic and Eurasian strategic speakers in great number from all the parties tion with the NATO Defense College. Its added spaces. We cannot consider NATO’s role to be achieved when we see military involved directly or indirectly in the Ukrainian value lies in the objectives stated by its charter options still being considered in our continent, when we have uncertainty at crisis, was the second occasion for the NATO and in its international network. the borders of NATO member nations. This broad area is of paramount stra- Defence College Foundation to collaborate with tegic relevance for the European continent and it is also significant for the en- a EU Presidency, in this case Latvia. The Part- The charter specifies that the NDCF works tire world because it raises the issue about how spheres of influence and co- nership with the Balkan Trust for Democracy is with the Member States of the Atlantic Allian- operation are created and upheld. worth mentioning. ce, its partners and the countries that have some form of co-operation with NATO. Through the In this context the NATO Defense College Foundation, the only existing The conference was structured in five panels Foundation the involvement of USA and Cana- think-tank bearing the name of the Alliance, convened this conference in or- THE SHAPING OF with a circular structure. The subjects proposed da is more fluid than in other settings. der to better understand the roots of this long crisis, to put together very dif- were: ferent views on different priorities and to explore possible future outcomes. The Foundation was born four years ago and is The time has come to tackle the right fundamental issues, because NATO is The future of Eastern European security, concer- rapidly expanding its highly specific and custo- naturally part of an open strategic discussion about the present situation in EASTERN ning the evolution of Ukraine, Russia’s policies mer-tailored activities, achieving an increasingly Eastern Europe and on its future. The Foundation collected the best existing embodied by the annexation of Crimea, the ac- higher profile, also through activities dedicated expertise from about twenty different countries including, among others, the tion of NATO and the European Union. to decision makers and their staffs. It is the now Latvian Presidency of the European Union, believing that it is it is impor- OUTCOMES AND PRIORITIES ALTERNATIVE the second time that the NDCF contributes to a tant to circulate the analysis of major strategic issues to a larger public for the EUROPE The scenarios of energy supply, routes and secu- EU Presidency. common good of the Euro-Atlantic community at large. rity, taking into account short and medium term ALTERNATIVE PRIORITIES energy market prospect; Since it is a body with considerable freedom of action, transnational reach and cultural open- AND OUTCOMES The resulting co-operation among East Euro- ness, the Foundation is developing an increasin- pean countries and with different countries and gly wider scientic and events programme. international institutions that needs to take into account the current confrontation with Moscow and the necessity to solve it; Democracy, so- EASTERN EUROPE EUROPE EASTERN cial development and economy are linked, even in a tangled web of relationships. The overall ra- tionale is to chart an inclusive path towards mo- re security and freedom in Europe; The peculiar and risky situation of the Caucasus, the region of Europe with most frozen conflicts and where the effects of the Ukrainian crisis are THE SHAPING OF OF SHAPING THE intertwined with the repercussions from the Ne- ar and Middle East. ISBN 978-88-6140-194-5 A conclusion can be that moderation and re- spect for the rules are essential. The future of Eastern Europe can only rely on peace, mutual 9788861 401945 respect and democracy. NDCF-2015-eastern europe-cover.indd 1 22/09/15 16:58 NATO Foundation Defense College The NDCF is a unique think-tank: international The Ukrainian crisis and the annexation of Crimea have quickly changed po- This particularly relevant conference, featuring by design and based in Rome, due to its associa- litical perceptions and calculations in the Euro-Atlantic and Eurasian strategic speakers in great number from all the parties tion with the NATO Defense College. Its added spaces. We cannot consider NATO’s role to be achieved when we see military involved directly or indirectly in the Ukrainian value lies in the objectives stated by its charter options still being considered in our continent, when we have uncertainty at crisis, was the second occasion for the NATO and in its international network. the borders of NATO member nations. This broad area is of paramount stra- Defence College Foundation to collaborate with tegic relevance for the European continent and it is also significant for the en- a EU Presidency, in this case Latvia. The Part- The charter specifies that the NDCF works tire world because it raises the issue about how spheres of influence and co- nership with the Balkan Trust for Democracy is with the Member States of the Atlantic Allian- operation are created and upheld. worth mentioning. ce, its partners and the countries that have some form of co-operation with NATO. Through the In this context the NATO Defense College Foundation, the only existing The conference was structured in five panels Foundation the involvement of USA and Cana- think-tank bearing the name of the Alliance, convened this conference in or- THE SHAPING OF with a circular structure. The subjects proposed da is more fluid than in other settings. der to better understand the roots of this long crisis, to put together very dif- were: ferent views on different priorities and to explore possible future outcomes. The Foundation was born four years ago and is The time has come to tackle the right fundamental issues, because NATO is The future of Eastern European security, concer- rapidly expanding its highly specific and custo- naturally part of an open strategic discussion about the present situation in EASTERN ning the evolution of Ukraine, Russia’s policies mer-tailored activities, achieving an increasingly Eastern Europe and on its future. The Foundation collected the best existing embodied by the annexation of Crimea, the ac- higher profile, also through activities dedicated expertise from about twenty different countries including, among others, the tion of NATO and the European Union. to decision makers and their staffs. It is the now Latvian Presidency of the European Union, believing that it is it is impor- OUTCOMES AND PRIORITIES ALTERNATIVE the second time that the NDCF contributes to a tant to circulate the analysis of major strategic issues to a larger public for the EUROPE The scenarios of energy supply, routes and secu- EU Presidency. common good of the Euro-Atlantic community at large. rity, taking into account short and medium term ALTERNATIVE PRIORITIES energy market prospect; Since it is a body with considerable freedom of action, transnational reach and cultural open- AND OUTCOMES The resulting co-operation among East Euro- ness, the Foundation is developing an increasin- pean countries and with different countries and gly wider scientic and events programme. international institutions that needs to take into account the current confrontation with Moscow and the necessity to solve it; Democracy, so- EASTERN EUROPE EUROPE EASTERN cial development and economy are linked, even in a tangled web of relationships. The overall ra- tionale is to chart an inclusive path towards mo- re security and freedom in Europe; The peculiar and risky situation of the Caucasus, the region of Europe with most frozen conflicts and where the effects of the Ukrainian crisis are THE SHAPING OF OF SHAPING THE intertwined with the repercussions from the Ne- ar and Middle East. ISBN 978-88-6140-194-5 A conclusion can be that moderation and re- spect for the rules are essential. The future of Eastern Europe can only rely on peace, mutual 9788861 401945 respect and democracy. NDCF-2015-eastern europe-cover.indd 1 22/09/15 16:58 The shaping of Eastern Europe NATO Defense College Foundation Alternative priorities and outcomes Via Alessandro Serpieri, 8 Copyright © 2015 Roma 00197 NATO DEFENSE COLLEGE FOUndatION www.ndc-foundation.org/ Edito da A.G.R.A. srl via Nomentana 257 00161 Roma tel +39 0644254205 fax +39 0644254239 e-mail [email protected] The written or electronic material published for this www.agraeditrice.com conference by the NDCF has been made possible also by the financial support from the “Balkan Trust for Finito di stampare Democracy, a project of the German Marshall Fund nel mese di settembre 2015 of the United States”. Opinions expressed in this publication do not necessarily represent those of the Realizzazione editoriale: Agra srl Balkan Trust for Democracy, the German Marshall Progetto grafico: Rosa Schiavello Fund of the United States, or its partners. Copertina: Shutterstock Stampa: CSR – Roma Gruppo di Lavoro Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo Alessandro Politi (editor) Zora Lea Hauser Emma Ferrero Matteo Marsini We thank SIOI for the collaboration Tutti i diritti sono riservati a NATO DEFENSE COLLEGE FOUndatION. Nessuna parte di questo libro può