The Disaster Center is dedicated to the idea that disaster mitigation is cost effective and individuals pursuing their own interest are the greatest potential force for disaster reduction. Please consider making a small donation to the Disaster Center When disaster mitigation is cost effective, we are on the road to bringing disasters to an end. •Daily Operations Briefing Friday, October 18, 2013 8:30 a.m. EDT 1 Significant Activity: Oct 17 – 18 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: • Atlantic – Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 48 hours • Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (20%) • Central Pacific – Area 1 (10%) • Western Pacific – Typhoon Francisco (26W) Significant Weather: • Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – west central Texas • Heavy rainfall – Gulf Coast • Critical Fire Weather Areas / Red Flag Warnings: None • Space Weather: Past 24 hours: Minor/R1 radio blackouts observed; 24 hours: None predicted Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: • Amendment No. 3 to FEMA-4129-DR-NY • Major Disaster Declaration requests for California, Arizona and the Santa Clara Pueblo 2 Atlantic – Tropical Outlook Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT 3 Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 4 Eastern - Area 1 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Located 425 miles south of Gulf of Tehuantepec • Producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms • Conducive for slow development during next several days • Probability of tropical cyclone development: • Next 48 hours: Low ( 20%) • Next 5 days: Medium ( 40%) 5 Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/ This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 6 Central Pacific - Area 1 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Located 1,400 miles SW of Honolulu, Hawaii • Producing showers and thunderstorms • Upper lever winds likely to inhibit strong development • Probability of tropical cyclone development: • Next 48 hours: Low ( 10%) 7 Western Pacific –Typhoon Francisco (26W) As of 5:00 a.m. EDT (Advisory #10) • Located 200 WNW of Guam • Moving NW at 6 mph away from Guam • Maximum sustained winds are near 144 mph with higher gusts (Cat 4) • Forecast to continue intensifying through Saturday • Tropical Storm Warning for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan have been cancelled • Seven shelters open with 938 occupants (0700 NSS Shelter report, Oct 18) • No injuries/fatalities or significant impacts have been reported • Guam EOC and JIC deactivated as of 12:00 a.m. EDT and are at normal operations • FEMA Region IX remains at Watch/Steady State; no requests for FEMA assistance 8 National Weather Forecast http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf 9 Active Watches/Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php 10 Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day Day 1 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml Day 2 Day 3 11 River Forecast – 7 Day http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_t ype=fcst&conus_map=d_map 12 Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 13 Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3-8 14 Hazard Outlook: Oct 20 – 24 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php 15 U.S. Drought Monitor – as of October 15 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php 17 Tsunami Warning Center Name Change Effective October 1, 2013 • NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Warning Center is NTWC known as the National Tsunami Warning Center (NTWC) • Intended to better identify the Center's area-of- responsibility • Includes ocean coasts: o U.S. states (except Hawaii) o Puerto Rico o Virgin Islands o Canada • The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) provides warnings for Pacific-basin teletsunamis to almost every country around the Pacific Rim and to most of the Pacific island states, the Indian Ocean basin and countries, and Caribbean countries 18 Space Weather NOAA Scales Activity Past Next Current (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme) 24 Hours 24 Hours Space Weather Activity: Minor None None • Geomagnetic Storms None None None • Solar Radiation Storms None None None • Radio Blackouts R1 None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/ 19 Disaster Requests & Declarations Requests Requests DENIED Declaration Requests in Process APPROVED (since last report) (since last report) 4 Date Requested 0 0 KS – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and September 25, 2013 Flooding CA – DR Rim Fire October 8, 2013 AZ – DR Flooding October 9, 2013 Santa Clara Pueblo – DR Severe Storms and Flooding October 11, 2013 24 Major Disaster Declaration Request – California October 8, 2013 • The Governor requested a Major Disaster Declaration • As a result of the Rim Fire during the period of Aug 20 – Sep 8, 2013 • Requesting: • Public Assistance for Tuolumne & Mariposa Counties • Hazard Mitigation statewide Requested counties 25 Major Disaster Declaration Request – Arizona October 9, 2013 • The Governor requested a Major Disaster Declaration • As a result of flooding during the period of September 13-17, 2013 • Requesting: • Public Assistance for Greenlee County • Hazard Mitigation statewide Requested county 26 Major Disaster Declaration Request – Santa Clara Pueblo October 11, 2013 • The Governor requested a Major Disaster Declaration • As a result of severe storms and flooding during the period of September 13-16, 2013 • Requesting PA & Hazard Mitigation for the Santa Clara Pueblo Santa Clara Pueblo 27 Disaster Amendments A AmendmentB C Effective Date D E ActionF G Emergency Protective Debris Removal Road Systems & Bridges Water Control Facilities Public Buildings & Contents Public Utilities Parks, Recreational, & Other Measures Amendment No. 3 to October 17, 2013 • Extend incident period from June 26 through July 10, 2013 FEMA-4129-DR-NY 29 Open Field Offices as of October 18, 2013 31 OFDC Cadre Member Status Federal Coordinating Officer Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total 30 1 7 1 39 Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 8* 1 4 2 1 * All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions 8 1 1 9 10 As of: 10/11/2013 32 MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS Units Available Deployed En Open Location PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON Unit Prep Notes: Assigned FMC Committed Route Request MERS Maynard 3 2 0 0 1 DR-4145-CO 19 0 0 MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Thomasville 14 11 3 0 0 0 0 0 DC Ft Worth 20 6 14 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Bothell 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 TOTAL 55 30 21 0 4 TOTAL 19 0 0 0 Included in above totals, units 0 0 in route for turn-in. 2 Fully Mission Capable 51 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 4 Total Not Deployed 34 Data as of: 10/17/13 @ 1500 34 IA Registration Statistics IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 17, 2013 @ 1500 Approved Total ONA DR/EM # - State Registrations Total HA Approved Total IHP Approved Applicants Approved 4145 - CO 24,960 14,445 $41,050,098 $3,041,476 $44,091,574 Totals 24,960 14,445 $41,050,098 $3,041,476 $44,091,574 24 hour change +140 +112 +$450,823 +$58,178 +$509,001 NPSC Call Data for October 16, 2013 Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 2,228 Average time to answer call 12 seconds Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 1 minute, 9 seconds / 9 seconds 36 Housing Inspection Statistics Inspection Data as of October 17, 2013 @ 1500 Inspections Inspections Turnaround Time DR #-State Inspectors Inspection % Complete Assigned Completed (Days) 4145 - CO 25 21,901 21,597 98.61% 2.4 TOTAL 25 21,901 21,597 98.61% 2.4 24 hour change -2 +186 +170 -0.06% -0.0 37 IMAT Status National Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status Blue/White East West CO Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status Region I Region V Region VIII Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1 Region III Region VI-2 Region IX-2 Region IV-1 Region VII Region X Region IV-2 = Available/Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Not Mission Capable 40 Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC WEST CENTRAL EAST Team Status Team Status Team Status CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available UT-TF1 Available = Available/Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Out-of-Service 41 RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status Region RRCC Regional Watch Center I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7) II Not Activated 24/7 III Not Activated 24/7 IV Not Activated 24/7 V Not Activated 24/7 VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7) VII Not Activated 24/7 VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7) IX Not Activated 24/7 X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7) = Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable 42 National Team Status Team/Status Current Location Remarks National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated HLT Miami, FL Activated DEST Washington, DC Not Activated Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable 43 45 .