SELAHATTİN ÇİMEN DEPUTY UNDERSECRETARY THE MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND NATURAL RESOURCES OF THE REPUBLIC OF TURKEY TURKEY AS AN ENERGY CORRIDOR BETWEEN THE EAST AND THE WEST BRUSSELS, BELGIUM OCTOBER 19-20, 2004 1 FOR THE NEXT DECADES • Fossil Fuels will remain dominant • New renewable forms of energy will grow quickly • Renewable forms of energy will not be able to displace traditional forms of energy • Significant shift in the geographical source of energy supplies -almost all the increase in production will come from non-OECD Countries MAJOR EXPANSION IN ENERGY TRANSPORT AND TRADE ENERGYENERGY CORRIDORCORRIDOR TURKEYTURKEY ¾67% OF OIL ¾40 % OF NATURAL GAS RESERVES OF WORLD ARE LOCATED IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND CENTRAL ASIAN COUNTRIES AROUND TURKEY ¾ EXPORT OUTLETS TO CONSUMER MARKETS ¾SECURITY OF SUPPLY TURKEY IN THE REGION UKRAINE KAZAKHSTAN MOLDOVA ROMANIA RUSSIAN FEDERATION Novorossiysk C A Aktau Dzugba S P IA BLACK SEA N BULGARIA S E Kırklareli GEORGIA A K.Ereğlisi İstanbul Edirne Ordu Karabük Samsun Trabzon GREEC Artvin Giresun Rize E İzmit Baku Bursa Amasya Gümüşhane ARMENIA Çan Ankara Kırıkkale Bayburt AZERBAIJAN Karacabey Turmenbash Kütahya Erzincan Erzurum Kırşehir i Aliağa Eskişehir Sivas Elazığ Afyon Turgutlu Uşak Kayseri Malatya Adıyama İzmir n Batman Silopi TURKMENISTAN Aksaray Konya Kahramanmaraş Niğde Isparta Ereğli Seydişehir Burdur Muğla Karaman Mersin Gaziantep Dörtyol Antalya Ceyhan Hatay SYRIA MEDITERRANEAN IRAQ IRAN Natural Gas Pipelines Crude Oil Pipelines Existing Lines Existing Lines Planned, Tendered and Under Planned, Under Construction Construc. BAKU-TBILISI-CEYHAN (BTC) MAIN EXPORT PIPELINE KAZAKHSTAN RUSSIAN FEDERATION C Novorossiys A k S P BLACKSEA IA GEORGIA N UZBEKISTAN Sups a S BAKÜE ARMENIA AZERBAIJANA TURKEY TURKMENISTAN IGUNESHL CHIRAK AZERI Ceyha N A n T S SYRIA I N A IRAN H MEDITERRANEAN SEA G IRAQ F A BTC Crude Oil Main Export Pipeline-1776 kms 9 Azerbaijan via Georgia and Turkey to the Marine Terminal at Ceyhan 9 1 million barrels per day transport capacity 9 Cost for the Turkish Section, US $ 1.4 billion MAJOR BOTAŞ GAS ACTIVITIES IN THE COMING YEARS 1 4 Russian Fed (West 6 BCM+ Turusgaz 8 BCM) B Azerbaijan C A I M GEORGIA R BLACK SEA Russian Fed (Blue Stream) M A C G B L U CS-1 6 Kofçaz . M B 6 C Kırklareli B 6 E Zonguldak 16 1 C Edirne CS-2 Bartın M E 24” İstanbul Ereğli C E 36” Çaycuma Samsun B Ardahan R Ordu Trabzon A G CS-3İzmit 16” 48” Artvin TurkmenistanR M.Ereğlisi 30” Çankırı Kars M 18” Bolu Giresun Rize E CS-4 24” Sakarya Amasya N Çan 24” 24” 36” Çorum Tokat Gümüşhane 48” IA Bilecik 24” Çanakkale 16” Karacabey Bursa CS-5 40” Ankara 48” Bayburt 24” Yozgat 48” Iğdır 20” Kırıkkale Horasan Sivas Erzurum Yapracık Erzincan Balıkesir Kütahya Eskişehir Ağrı Doğubayazıt 48” M 1 C Aliağa 24” 16” 40” Kırşehir 0 B 24” Afyon 48” B I 2 Manisa Uşak R C . 40” Kayseri Van M 5 Elazığ A İzmir Turgutlu 40’’ Nevşehir Malatya N Batman Aydın 40” 40” Konya Aksaray Niğde Diyarbakır 40” Denizli Adıyaman Şırnak Iran Isparta Kahramanmaraş 16” Ereğli Araban Silopi Burdur Seydişehir Bozova Muğla Mardin Adana 40” Karaman 40’ Şanlıurfa 1 DörtyolGaziantep 0 IRAQ Antalya ’ Ceyhan Mersin B İskenderun C M Hatay M C Existing Lines B Iraq 4 Under Construction LNG (Algeria + Nigeria) SYRIA MEDITERRANEAN Egypt Tendered Lines Existing Imports (Plateau Period) Planned Lines CS N NO Contracted Gas Volumes ON Marmara Ereglisi LNG Terminal NA A B B Planned Underground Storages Planned Gas Volumes E E L L Gas to Europe UKRAINE KAZAKHSTAN MOLDOVA RUSSIAN FEDERATION ROMANIA C A S BULGARIA BLACKSEA P GEORGIA I A UZBEKISTAN N ARMENIA AZERBAIJAN GREECE TURKEY TURKMENISTAN N A T S I N SYRIA A H G G AS MEDITERRANEAN IRAN F TO A EU IRAQ ROP E V IAEGYPT GRE ECE 9 Botaş, Depa, Edison Gas 9 11 bcm to Greece and Italy (first calculations) 9 Start with late 2006 for Greece to reach plateau capacity in 2012 KAZAKHSTAN UZBEKISTAN N A T S Gas to Europe I N A C H AS PI G AN TURKMENISTAN F RUSSIAN FEDERATION A UKRAINE AZERBAIJAN GEORGIA ARMENIA MOLDOVA BLACKSEA IRAN ROMANIA TURKEY BULGARIA SYRIA IRAQ GREECE GAS TO EUROPE VIA BULGMEDITERRANEANARIA- ROMANIA-HUNGARY-AUSTRIA EGYPT ş, Bulgargaz, Transgaz, MOL, OMV Erdgas Bota 9 25 bcm target market (first calculations) 9 Start with 2009 9 GAS TO EUROPE-An Indicative Map Showing Probable Routes.