Transportation Impact Assessment - Fraser Grain Terminal Project Number: 1135200012 Prepared for: Fraser Grain Terminal Partnership Michael Balasescu, P.Eng. Prepared by: Stantec Consulting Ltd. Peter A. Truch, P.Eng., PTOE, FITE March 15, 2017 Revision Description Author Quality Check Independent Review 0 Draft Report P.A. Truch A. Puri P.A. Truch 1 Penultimate P.A. Truch A. Puri P.A. Truch L. F. Draft Rodriguez 2 FINAL P.A. Truch A. Puri P.A. Truch L. F. (V7 CMC Rodriguez Report) Sign-Off Sheet This document entitled Transportation Impact Assessment - Fraser Grain Terminal was prepared by Stantec Consulting Ltd. (“Stantec”) for the account of Vancouver Fraser Port Authority Fraser Grain Terminal Partnership (the “Client”). Any reliance on this document by any third party is strictly prohibited. The material in it reflects Stantec’s professional judgment in light of the scope, schedule and other limitations stated in the document and in the contract between Stantec and the Client. The opinions in the document are based on conditions and information existing at the time the document was published and do not take into account any subsequent changes. In preparing the document, Stantec did not verify information supplied to it by others. Any use which a third party makes of this document is the responsibility of such third party. Such third party agrees that Stantec shall not be responsible for costs or damages of any kind, if any, suffered by it or any other third party as a result of decisions made or actions taken based on this document. Prepared by (signature) Ahmad Puri, P.Eng. Reviewed by (signature) Peter A. Truch, P.Eng., PTOE, FITE Approved by (signature) Peter A. Truch, P.Eng., PTOE, FITE TRANSPORTATION IMPACT ASSESSMENT - FRASER GRAIN TERMINAL Table of Contents GLOSSARY ................................................................................................................................. I EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................. III 1.0 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................. 1 1.1 SITE LAYOUT ........................................................................................................................ 1 1.2 ANTICIPATED OPERATIONS .............................................................................................. 1 1.3 ROAD ACCESS .................................................................................................................. 5 1.4 RAIL ACCESS ...................................................................................................................... 5 1.5 PURPOSE OF THIS DOCUMENT ......................................................................................... 5 2.0 STUDY AREA ................................................................................................................... 9 2.1 ROAD NETWORK ............................................................................................................... 9 2.2 RAIL NETWORK ................................................................................................................. 13 2.3 STUDY AREA JURISDICTIONS .......................................................................................... 13 3.0 BACKGROUND TRAFFIC DATA AND DATA COLLECTION .......................................... 14 4.0 FGT ANALYSIS SCENARIOS ......................................................................................... 17 5.0 SITE TRIP GENERATION AND ASSIGNMENT ................................................................. 18 5.1 EMPLOYEE TRIPS ESTIMATE .............................................................................................. 18 5.2 TRUCK TRAFFIC ESTIMATE................................................................................................ 18 5.3 WEEKLY, MONTHLY AND ANNUAL ESTIMATES .............................................................. 20 5.4 RAIL ESTIMATE .................................................................................................................. 20 6.0 TRAFFIC GROWTH AND COMBINED TRAFFIC VOLUMES ............................................ 22 6.1 EXISTING COMBINED TRAFFIC VOLUMES ...................................................................... 22 6.2 TRAFFIC GROWTH ........................................................................................................... 22 6.3 FUTURE (2029) TRAFFIC ESTIMATES ................................................................................. 22 7.0 ON-SITE DESIGN .......................................................................................................... 25 8.0 ROAD NETWORK ANALYSES ....................................................................................... 30 8.1 ANALYSIS SCENARIOS ..................................................................................................... 30 8.2 SYNCHRO MODEL ANALYSIS ......................................................................................... 30 8.3 VISSIM MODEL ANALYSIS ................................................................................................ 30 8.4 ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................ 31 8.5 EXISTING COMBINED VOLUME ASSESSMENT ................................................................ 33 8.6 FUTURE 2029 HORIZON COMBINED VOLUME SSSESSMENT ......................................... 39 8.6.1 No Railroad Blockages ................................................................................ 39 8.6.2 With Railroad Blockages .............................................................................. 40 9.0 RAIL OPERATIONS ....................................................................................................... 43 TRANSPORTATION IMPACT ASSESSMENT - FRASER GRAIN TERMINAL 10.0 ROAD/RAIL CONFLICT ANALYSES .............................................................................. 44 10.1 WORST-CASE SCENARIO ................................................................................................ 44 11.0 IMPACTS DURING CONSTRUCTION ............................................................................ 47 12.0 PROJECT CONSULTATION ........................................................................................... 49 13.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ............................................................... 50 14.0 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................. 51 LIST OF TABLES Table 4.1: FGT Scenarios Analyzed ........................................................................................... 17 Table 5.1: FGT Traffic Estimates ................................................................................................. 20 Table 5.2: Typical Rail Traffic to Four Million Tonnes of Agriproduct Per Year .................... 21 Table 8.1: Level of Service Description – Arterial Roadways and Intersections ................. 32 Table 8.2: Synchro Analysis Peak Hour Delay and Queue Summary – 2016 Combined Scenario No Railroad Crossing Blockage ........................................ 35 Table 8.3: Synchro Analysis Peak Hour Delay and Queue Summary – 2016 Combined Scenario With Railroad Crossing Blockage ..................................... 36 Table 8.4: VISSIM Analysis Peak Hour Delay and Queue Summary – 2016 Background Scenario ............................................................................................. 37 Table 8.5: VISSIM Analysis Peak Hour Delay and Queue Summary – 2016 Combined Scenario – Three Minute Blockage at South Crossing ................... 38 Table 8.6: Synchro Analysis Peak Hour Delay and Queue Summary – 2029 Combined Scenario No Railroad Crossing Blockage ........................................ 41 Table 8.7: Synchro Analysis Peak Hour Delay and Queue Summary – 2029 Combined Scenario With Railroad Crossing Blockage ..................................... 42 Table 11.1: Construction Estimates During Demolition Phase .............................................. 47 Table 11.2: Construction Estimates During Construction Phase ........................................... 48 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1.1: FGT Site ........................................................................................................................ 3 Figure 1.2: Existing and Proposed Rail Network ........................................................................ 7 Figure 2.1: Study Area – Existing Network Conditions ............................................................ 11 Figure 3.1: Existing AM/PM Peak Hour Intersection Turning Movement Volumes .............. 15 Figure 3.2: Existing AM/PM Peak Hour Intersection Turning Movement Truck Percentages ........................................................................................................... 16 Figure 5.1: Forecasted Site Traffic Intersection Turning Movement Volumes ..................... 19 Figure 6.1: 2016 Combined AM/PM Intersection Turning Movement Volumes ................. 23 Figure 6.2: 2029 Combined AM/PM Intersection Turning Movement Volumes ................. 24 Figure 7.1: FGT Site Suggested Design Modifications ............................................................ 27 Figure 10.1: Robson Road/Rail Conflicts .................................................................................