Review of strategic evaluations managed by DEVCO (2000-2015) Final report April 2016 ___________ Development and Coopera- Evaluation carried out on behalf of tion EuropeAid the European Commission Consortium composed by Ecorys, Particip, ECDPM, Mokoro, Lattanzio e Associati Leader of the Consortium: Ecorys [email protected] Contract No EVA 2011/Lot 3 Specific contract No 2015/368029 Review of the strategic evaluations managed by DEVCO (2000-2015) This evaluation was commissioned by the Evaluation Unit of the Directorate General for Development and Co-operation – EuropeAid (European Commission) The opinions expressed in this document represent the authors’ points of view which are not necessarily shared by the European Commission or by the authorities of the concerned countries. This report has been prepared by Merzhauser Str. 183 79100 Freiburg, Germany Phone: +49 761 790 740 Fax: +49 761 790 7490 E-mail: [email protected] Web: www.particip.de The evaluation is being managed by the DEVCO Evaluation Unit. The author accepts sole responsibility for this report, drawn up on behalf of the Commission of the Euro- pean Union. The report does not necessarily reflect the views of the Commission. i Table of contents 1 Executive Summary.................................................................................................. 1 2 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 6 2.1 Objectives and scope of the review ...................................................................... 6 2.2 Structure of the report ........................................................................................... 6 3 Context and methodology of the review ................................................................. 7 3.1 Context of the review ............................................................................................. 7 3.2 Review methodology ............................................................................................. 7 3.2.1 Structuring the reports ..................................................................................... 7 3.2.2 Defining clear and unambiguous codes derived from the judgement criteria ............................................................................................................. 8 3.2.3 Reading, extracting and analysing information ................................................ 8 3.2.4 Final analysis of the extractions and synthesis of the findings ......................... 9 4 Reconstructed intervention logics (IL) .................................................................. 10 4.1 Evolution of the Cotonou Partnership Agreement ............................................. 10 4.2 Overall intervention logic .................................................................................... 11 4.2.1 Overview ....................................................................................................... 11 4.2.2 Intervention logic diagram ............................................................................. 11 4.2.3 Overall assumptions ...................................................................................... 12 4.3 Pillar I: Political dimension .................................................................................. 14 4.3.1 Overview ....................................................................................................... 14 4.3.2 Intervention logic diagram ............................................................................. 14 4.4 Pillar II: Trade and economic co-operation ........................................................ 17 4.4.1 Overview ....................................................................................................... 17 4.4.2 Intervention logic diagram ............................................................................. 17 4.5 Pillar III: Development co-operation .................................................................... 20 4.5.1 Overview ....................................................................................................... 20 4.5.2 Intervention logic diagram ............................................................................. 20 5 Evidence linked to the evaluation questions ........................................................ 23 5.1 EQ 1 – Political and policy dialogue ................................................................... 25 5.1.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 26 5.1.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 26 5.2 EQ 2 – Human rights, democracy, rule of law and good governance .............. 28 5.2.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 29 5.2.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 29 5.3 EQ 3 – Peace and security ................................................................................... 32 5.3.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 32 5.3.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 32 5.4 EQ 4 – Migration ................................................................................................... 35 5.4.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 35 5.4.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 35 5.5 EQ 5 – Integration of ACP states into the world economy and their share in international trade ............................................................................................ 36 5.5.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 36 5.5.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 37 5.6 EQ 6 – EU-ACP international economic and trade co-operation....................... 40 5.6.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 40 Review of the strategic evaluations managed by DEVCO Revised Final report – April 2016 – Particip GmbH ii 5.6.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 40 5.7 EQ 7 Macroeconomic reforms, private sector and investment ......................... 42 5.7.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 42 5.7.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 43 5.8 EQ 8 – Social infrastructure and services .......................................................... 46 5.8.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 46 5.8.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 47 5.9 EQ 9 Cross-cutting issues ................................................................................... 51 5.9.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 51 5.9.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 51 5.10 EQ 10 – Poverty reduction and the needs of most vulnerable groups ............. 55 5.10.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 55 5.10.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 55 5.11 EQ 11 – Joint institutions .................................................................................... 59 5.11.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 59 5.11.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 59 5.12 EQ 12 – Mix of tools ............................................................................................. 60 5.12.1 Summary answer .......................................................................................... 60 5.12.2 Answers to the judgement criteria ................................................................. 61 6 Information gaps and possible ways to filling them ............................................ 65 7 Conclusions per DAC criteria ................................................................................ 67 7.1 Relevance of the CPA as it appears from the strategic evaluations ................. 67 7.2 Effectiveness of CPA as from the strategic evaluations ................................... 68 7.3 Impacts of CPA as from the strategic evaluations ............................................. 70 7.4 Sustainability of the achievements so far, as from the strategic evaluations ........................................................................................................... 71 7.5 Efficiency of the CPA as from the strategic evaluations ................................... 72 7.6 EU value added and 3 Cs, in the framework of CPA, as from the strategic evaluations ........................................................................................................... 73 8 Main lessons learned from the