University of Kentucky UKnowledge CBER Research Report Center for Business and Economic Research 1-10-2012 Industry and Labor Characteristics and Projections: The BEAM and WIA Regions Christopher R. Bollinger University of Kentucky, [email protected] Kenneth R. Troske University of Kentucky, [email protected] Click here to let us know how access to this document benefits oy u. Follow this and additional works at: https://uknowledge.uky.edu/cber_researchreports Part of the Business Commons, and the Economics Commons Repository Citation Bollinger, Christopher R. and Troske, Kenneth R., "Industry and Labor Characteristics and Projections: The BEAM and WIA Regions" (2012). CBER Research Report. 18. https://uknowledge.uky.edu/cber_researchreports/18 This Report is brought to you for free and open access by the Center for Business and Economic Research at UKnowledge. It has been accepted for inclusion in CBER Research Report by an authorized administrator of UKnowledge. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Industry and Labor Characteristics and Projections: The BEAM and WIA Regions Final Report January 10, 2012 Center for Business and Economic Research Department of Economics University of Kentucky 335 BA Gatton College of Business & Economics Lexington, KY 40506 Phone: (859) 257-7678 Fax: (859) 257-7671 [email protected] Dr. Christopher R. Bollinger, Director Dr. Kenneth R. Troske Table of Contents Executive Summary………………………………………………………………………. 1 I. Introduction…………………………………………………………………………….. 3 II. Analysis of the BEAM Region…………………………………………………………. 7 A. Industry Structure in the BEAM Region…………………………………… 7 B. Occupation Distribution in the BEAM Region and Selected Industries…… 13 C. Employment Growth Projections for the BEAM Region: Industry Analysis………………………………………………………………… 17 D. Employment Growth: Occupational Analysis……………………………… 21 E. Education Production in the BEAM Region………………………………… 24 F. Analysis of Age Distribution by Occupation in BEAM Region…………….. 26 III. Analysis for WIA Regions…………………………………………………………… 30 A. Occupational Distribution of Employment in the WIA Regions and Selected Industries…………………………………………………………………. 31 B. Employment Growth Projections for the Workforce Regions………………… 34 C. Educational Production in the Workforce Regions…………………………… 35 IV. Conclusion……………………………………………………………………………. 36 i Table of Tables Table 1: Three Digit Industry Employment in BEAM………………………………………….. 41 Table 2: Top 15 Industries (3 Digit NAICS) in BEAM by Total Employment…………………. 44 Table 3: Top 15 Industries (3 Digit NAICS) in BEAM by BEAM Share of US Industry……… 45 Table 4: Input Industries for Transportation Equipment and Manufacturing …………………… 46 Table 5: Focus Industries of Study – Employment and Selected Occupation Distribution…….. 47 Table 6: Employment by Occupation in the U.S. and Beam Region: ………………………….. 48 Table 7: Employment Growth by NAICS 2-DIGIT Industry Code, BEAM Region…………….. 49 Table 8: Employment Growth by Occupation in the Beam Region: .............…………………. 50 Table 9: BEAM Employment Education Projections………………………….…………………. 51 Table 10: BEAM Manufacturing Employment Growth by Occupation ……….………….....….. 52 Table 11: BEAM Manufacturing Employment Growth by Production Occupations ..............….. 53 Table 12: BEAM Transportation/Warehousing Employment Growth by Occupation....... ….….. 54 Table 13: BEAM Transportation/Warehousing Employment Growth by Transportation and Material Moving Occupations…….……………………...……… 55 Table 14: BEAM Wholesale Trade Employment Growth by Occupation .............……………… 56 Table 15: BEAM Health Care Employment Growth by Occupation…...………………………… 57 Table 16: Enrollments and Completions at Post-Secondary Institutions in the BEAM Region, Academic Year 2010 ………………………………………………………… 58 Table 17: 2010 Educational Attainment………………………………………………………….. 59 Table 18: Estimated Age Distribution of Manufacturing Workers in the BEAM Region……….. 60 Table 19: Percentage of Workers by Age Category in the BEAM Region and for Selected Occupation Groups…….………………………………………………. 61 Table 20: Bluegrass Employment Education Projections………………………………………… 62 Table 21: Cumberland Employment Education Projections……………………………………… 63 Table 22: Kentuckiana Works Employment Education Projections……………………………… 64 Table 23: Lincoln Trail Employment Education Projections…………………………………..... 65 Table 24: Indiana Region 10 Employment Education Projections……………………………..... 66 ii Table of Figures Figure 1: BEAM Counties……………………………………………………………………….. 67 Figure 2: Workforce Area Counties………………………………………………………........... 68 Figure 3: Top 15 Industries (Three-Digit) Ranked by the Share of US Employment in the BEAM Region…………………………………………………………………...... ……. 69 Figure 4a: Percent of Overall Employment in Managed Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………… 70 Figure 4b: Percent of Overall Employment in Production Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………… 71 Figure 5a: Percent of Transportation Manufacturing Employment in Management Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………… 72 Figure 5b: Percent of Transportation Manufacturing in Production Occupations……………… 73 Figure 6a: Percent of Beverage Manufacturing Employment in Management Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………… 74 Figure 6b: Percent Beverage Manufacturing Employment in Production Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………… 75 Figure 7a: Percent of Food Manufacturing Employment in Management Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs…………………………………………………. 76 Figure 7b: Percent of Food Manufacturing Employment in Production Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………… 77 Figure 8a: Percent of Transportation and Warehousing Employment in Management Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs…………………………………. 78 Figure 8b: Percent of Transportation and Warehousing Employment in Transport and Moving Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs…………………………………… 79 Figure 9a: Percent of Hospital Employment in Management Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………. 80 Figure 9b: Percent of Hospital Employment in Practitioners and Technical Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………. 81 Figure 9c: Percent of Hospital Employment in Support Occupations, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………. 82 Figure 10: Manufacturing Employment as Percent of Total Employment 1990-2010……… 83 iii Figure 11: Predicted Growth in the Demand for Workers with a BA or More by Total Employment in the Industry, BEAM Region…………………………………………….. 84 Figure 12: Degrees Completed, Academic Year 2010, BEAM…………………………………. 85 Figure 13: State College Attainment Rankings, 1990 vs. 2010………………………………… 86 Figure 14: Percent of Adults (25 and Older) with at least a B.A. Degree, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs…………………………………………………… 87 Figure 15: College Attainment and Recent College Production, BEAM Region and Comparable MSAs………………………………………………….. 88 Figure 16a: Percent of Total Employment in Management Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Other Non-Metro Regions………………………………….. 89 Figure 16b: Percent of Total Employment in Production Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Other Non-Metro Regions………………………………….. 90 Figure 17a Percent Transportation Manufacturing Employment in Management Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Other Non- Metro Areas……………………………………. 91 Figure 17b: Percent Transportation Manufacturing Employment in Production Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Other Non-Metro Areas…………………………………….. 92 Figure 18a: Percent of Beverage Manufacturing Employment in Management Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Non-Metro Areas……………………………………………. 93 Figure 18b: Percent of Beverage Manufacturing Employment in Production Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Non-Metro Occupations……………………………………. 94 Figure 19a: Percent of Food Manufacturing Employment in Management Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Non-Metro Areas……………………………………..…… 95 Figure 19b: Percent of Food Manufacturing Employment in Production Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Non-Metro Areas…………………………………..... 96 Figure 20a: Percent Transportation and Warehousing Employment in Management Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Other Non-Metro Areas……………………………. 97 Figure 20b: Percent Transportation and Warehousing Employment in Transport and Material Moving Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Other Non-Metro Areas…………………………………… …………………………………………. 98 Figure 21a: Percent Hospital Employment in Management Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Non-Metro Areas…………………………………………. 99 iv Figure 21b: Percent of Hospital Employment in Healthcare Practitioner and Technical Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Non-Metro Areas………………………………………. 100 Figure 21c: Percent of Hospital Employment in Healthcare Support Occupations, WIA Regions Compared to Non-Metro Areas………………………………………. 101 v Executive Summary The Bluegrass Economic Advancement Movement region encompasses the Louisville and Lexington MSAs and the corridor between them. It is an area with much of the manufacturing, medical and transportation & warehousing industries of Kentucky contained within. Over 36% of the population and 38% of the Kentucky labor force live and work in this region. This report analyzes the labor market structure within the region. We also examine the labor market structure in five Workforce Investment Act Regions: Bluegrass, Lake Cumberland, Lincoln Trail, Kentuckiana Works, and Indiana Region 10. We examine employment at the industry