Energy Quarterly Update Q1 2017 Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC | www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com Quarterly Update | Q1 2017 | Energy Energy Sector Trends In This Update Policy to Drive Domestic Photovoltaic Installations Energy Production1 on the Rise2 • Energy Trends President Trump’s With solar project costs on the • Economic Outlook administration has laid out decline, photovoltaic energy • Industry Analysis plans to cut Department of production is on the rise. • Select M&A Transactions Energy (“DOE”) and Greentech Media, a business unit Environmental Protection of Wood Mackenzie, projects that • Appendix Agency (“EPA”) funding by 6% 13 GW of new photovoltaic and 31%, respectively. These installations will come online in budget cuts in combination 2017. Annual photovoltaic with increased funding for capacity is expected to nearly This update will focus on news energy development on federal triple over the next five years and trends in the following lands are expected to with more than 18 GW of areas: bolster domestic energy solar photovoltaic capacity and power companies. installed annually by 2022. • Integrated O&G Combined-Cycle Stalled Pipeline • O&G Drilling Investments Jump3 Projects Resume4 • O&G Equipment and Nearly $75 billion of The widely contested Dakota Services investments are slated for Access Pipeline project has • O&G Exploration and natural gas-fired, seen steps to continue Production combined-cycle plants in the progress after virtually stalling U.S. over the next four years, during the Obama • O&G Refining and Marketing exemplifying a continued shift administration. Movement on • O&G Storage and toward the use of natural gas this project is expected to Transportation for power generation. These serve as a boon to oil investments, nearly triple the producers in the Bakken as the investment in combined-cycle pipeline would offer technology over the last four significantly improved years, are expected to deliver infrastructure for getting their Who We Are roughly 71 GW of incremental product to market. With power generation capacity. increased access, Bakken crude prices are expected to Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC normalize. is a leading global middle market M&A adviser. The In the News firm’s professionals have extensive knowledge within various sectors of the Energy March 13, 2017 – O&G engineering and construction giant, John space. Wood Group plc (LSE:WG) (“Wood Group”) has entered into an agreement to acquire Amec Foster Wheeler plc (LSE:AMFW) (“Amec”) for $2.7 billion USD in stock. As a result of the deal, current Amec shareholders are expected to own 44% of the combined company.5 Contacts Eric Andreozzi February 27, 2017 – After signing a definitive agreement to Managing Director acquire in September 2016, Enbridge Inc (TSX:ENB) has [email protected] completed its acquisition of Spectra Energy Corp. (“Spectra”) for +1 (704) 333-0518 $28.8 billion USD in stock, implying an enterprise value of 19.8x the target’s earnings before interest, depreciation, and amortization. As a result of the transaction, Spectra shareholders control approximately 43% of the combined company. This transaction represents Enbridge’s largest acquisition to date.6 www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 2 Quarterly Update | Q1 2017 | Energy Macroeconomic Outlook U.S. Gross Domestic Product U.S. Treasury Yield Curve ($ in Trillions)1 (Nominal vs. Real)2 $20.0 5.0% 3.5% 4.0% 3.0% $15.0 2.5% 3.0% 2.0% $10.0 1.5% 2.0% 1.0% $ in Trillions $ in $5.0 1.0% 0.5% Interest Rate Interest YoY Percent Change YoY 0.0% $0.0 0.0% GDP ($ in Trillions) YoY % Growth (Adj. for Inflation) Real Yield (%) Nominal Yield (%) U.S. Unemployment Rate ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (% Unemployed)3 and Consumer Confidence Index4 10.0% 600 64.0 115.0 550 62.0 105.0 500 60.0 8.0% 450 95.0 58.0 400 56.0 85.0 350 54.0 6.0% 75.0 Manufacturing % Unemployed 300 - 52.0 65.0 Confidence Consumer 250 50.0* 4.0% 200 Non ISM 48.0 55.0 Jobless Claims (Thousands)Jobless Claims Initial Jobless Claims Unemployment Rate (%) ISM Non-Manufacturing Consumer Confidence *An ISM Non-Manufacturing Index value above 50 signals economic expansion. Energy Sector Outlook Brent, WTI, and Natural Gas Prices U.S. Energy Production by Source6 (2012 – 2016)5 $140 $7 100.0 90.0 $120 $6 9.5 80.0 9.6 9.2 10.1 8.7 8.3 8.3 $100 $5 70.0 8.4 8.1 8.2 60.0 18.6 19.6 $80 $4 13.8 15.8 18.6 50.0 $60 $3 40.0 27.9 28.4 30.8 32.6 32.2 Quadrillion Btu 30.0 $40 $2 20.0 $20 $1 20.7 20.3 10.0 20.0 17.9 15.0 Dollars Per Barrel (Brent,WTI) Dollars Per Barrel Dollars per MMBtu (Natural (Natural Gas) MMBtu per Dollars 0.0 $0 $0 Coal Natural Gas Crude Oil Nuclear Renewable Brent WTI Natural Gas www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 3 Quarterly Update | Q1 2017 | Energy Energy Sector Breakdown & Trading Statistics1 Last Twelve Months NTM Median Median Median Number of % of 52 Median LTM EV/ EV/ EV/ Sector Revenue EBITDA Enterprise Companies Week High EBITDA Revenue EBITDA EBITDA CAGR (3 Yr) Margin Value ($ in Millions) Integrated Oil and Gas (3) 3 85.8 % (20.6) % $13,359.0 12.9 % $243,553.5 2.4 x 18.2 x 7.5 x Oil and Gas Drilling (7) 7 71.9 (23.4) 625.0 32.9 4,600.1 2.8 11.2 8.7 Oil and Gas Equipment and Services (6) 6 88.1 (21.2) 512.1 13.6 20,511.8 2.4 18.8 17.7 Oil and Gas Exploration and Production (8) 8 83.4 (18.3) 2,358.0 21.4 33,422.8 4.9 19.7 8.9 Oil and Gas Refining and Marketing (7) 7 88.7 (18.1) 930.6 7.4 6,768.7 0.6 10.6 7.0 Oil and Gas Storage and Transportation (7) 7 94.1 (2.5) 4,651.5 21.1 82,322.4 4.2 16.7 12.8 Energy Index 38 86.9 % (19.5) % $1,644.3 17.3 % $26,967.3 2.6 x 17.5 x 8.8 x Public Comparables Three-Year Stock Market Performance1 S&P 500 Index 28.10% 60.0% NASDAQ Composite Index 45.08% Energy Index* (19.53)% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% (10.0%) (20.0%) (30.0%) (40.0%) (50.0%) S&P 500 Index NASDAQ Composite Index Energy Index *Energy Index companies listed on pages 6 & 7 in the Appendix. www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 4 Quarterly Update | Q1 2017 | Energy Select Energy M&A Transactions1 Enterprise EV/ Close Date* Target/Acquiror Target Business Description Value ("EV") EBITDA Pending Amec Foster Wheeler plc Provides consultancy and engineering services to the oil $4,049.5 9.5 x John Wood Group PLC and gas, mining, clean energy, and environment and infrastructure markets worldwide. Pending Savanna Energy Services Corp. Operates as a drilling, well servicing, and oilfield rental 371.1 10.2 Western Energy Services Corp. company in Canada, the United States, and Australia. Pending VTTI Energy Partners LP Acquires, develops, owns, and operates refined 1,550.9 8.6 Vitol Tank Terminals International B.V. petroleum product and crude oil terminaling and related energy infrastructure assets. Pending WorleyParsons Limited Provides professional services to the resources, energy, 3,032.1 23.5 Dar Al-Handasah Consultants and industrial sectors in Australia and internationally. Pending Delta Natural Gas Company, Inc. Distributes or transports natural gas in central and 260.2 13.7 PNG Companies LLC southeastern Kentucky. Pending Ithaca Energy Inc. Engages in the exploration, development, and 1,252.8 19.9 Delek Group Ltd. production of oil and gas in the North Sea. Pending Farstad Shipping ASA Supplies offshore service vessels to the oil and gas 1,177.5 18.9 Solstad Offshore ASA industry. Pending ONEOK Partners, L.P. Engages in the gathering, processing, storage, and 23,721.3 12.9 ONEOK, Inc. transportation of natural gas. Pending DHT Holdings, Inc. Owns and operates crude oil tankers primarily in Oslo, 1,105.1 5.5 Frontline Ltd. Norway and Singapore. Pending WGL Holdings, Inc. Sells and delivers natural gas; and provides energy- 6,610.2 15.2 AltaGas Ltd. related products and services. Pending Icon Offshore Berhad Provides offshore support vessels to oil and gas related 280.7 14.2 UMW Oil & Gas Corporation Berhad industries primarily in Malaysia. Pending National Petroleum Services Provides oilfield services for the oil and gas industry in 101.1 3.5 Qurain Petrochemical Industries Kuwait. Annual Energy M&A Transaction Volume1 2,500 2,287 2,016 2,000 1,891 1,920 1,925 1,707 1,605 deals 1,500 1,293 1,025 1,000 Number of Number 467 500 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 YTD Undisclosed <$100M $100-$250M $250-$500M $500-$1B >$1B *Pending transactions sorted by announcement date. www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 5 Quarterly Update | Q1 2017 | Energy Appendix Public Comparables Analysis1 Last Twelve Months NTM % of 52 LTM Revenue LTM EBITDA Enterprise EV/ EV/ EV/ Company (Ticker) Week High Revenue CAGR (3 Yr) EBITDA Margin Value ("EV")(1) Revenue EBITDA EBITDA ($ in Millions) Integrated Oil and Gas (3) Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) 90.2 % $103,310.0 (21.3) % $13,359.0 12.9 % $243,553.5 2.4 x 18.2 x 6.5 x Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) 85.8 197,518.0 (20.3) 23,244.0 11.8 385,665.6 2.0 16.6 7.5 Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:OXY) 80.7 10,090.0 (20.6) 2,691.0 26.7 56,029.8 5.6 20.8 9.0 Median 85.8 % $103,310.0 (20.6) % $13,359.0 12.9 % $243,553.5 2.4 x 18.2 x 7.5 x Mean 85.6 % $103,639.3 (20.7) % $13,098.0 17.1 % $228,416.3 3.3 x 18.5 x 7.7 x Oil and Gas Drilling (7) Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc.