CONTEMPORARY SOUTHEAST ASIA A JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL AND STRATEGIC AFFAIRS Volume 20, Number 3 December 1998 Articles Current Sino-U.S. Relations in Strategic Perspective DENNY ROY 225 Reading the Asian Crisis: History, Culture and Institutional Truths PETER W. PRESTON 241 The Ethnic Security Dilemma: Evidence from Malaysia ALAN COLLINS 261 The Cambodian Elections of 1998 and Beyond: Democracy in the Making? SORPONG PEOU 279 Whither Guns, Goons, and Gold? The Decline of Factional Election Violence in the Philippines JOHN L. LINANTUD 298 Singapore: New Regional Influence, New World JEAN-LOUIS Outlook? MARGOLIN 319 Book Reviews The Environment and Security in Pacific Asia By Alan Dupont Michael Wesley 337 Taiwan and Chinese Nationalism: National Identity and Status in International Society By Christopher Hughes Gerald Chan 341 Business, Markets and Government in the Asia Pacific Edited by Rong-I Wu and Yun-Peng Chu Xavier Furtado 344 © 1998 Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore CONTEMPORARY SOUTHEAST ASIA INTERNATIONAL ADVISORY COMMITTEE Desmond Ball Mohd. Noordin Sopiee Professor, Strategic and Chairman and Defence Studies Centre Chief Executive Officer Australian National University Institute of Strategic and Canberra International Studies Kuala Lumpur James Cotton Professor and Head Masashi Nishihara School of Politics Professor, Department of UNSW College Social Science Australian Defence Force Academy National Defense Academy Canberra Japan Robert O’Neill Han Sung-Joo Chichele Professor of the President, Korean Association History of War of Southeast Asian Studies All Souls College, Oxford Department of Political Science Korea University, Seoul Suchit Bunbongkarn Professor and Dean Harry Harding Faculty of Political Science Professor and Dean Chulalongkorn University Elliott School of Bangkok International Affairs George Washington University Michael D. Swaine Washington, D.C. Research Director Center for Asia-Pacific Policy Carolina G. Hernandez Rand, Santa Monica, USA President, Institute for Strategic and Development Peter Tarnoff Studies, Inc., Manila President, Council on Foreign Relations Inc. New York Jusuf Wanandi Chairman, Supervisory Board Wang Gungwu Centre for Strategic and Professor and Director International Studies East Asian Institute Jakarta National University of Singapore Michael Leifer Yuan Ming Professor Professor and Director International Relations Institute of International London School of Economics and Relations, Peking University Political Science, London Beijing © 1998 Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore EDITORIAL COMMITTEE Chairperson Chia Siow Yue Editor Derek da Cunha Associate Editors Tin Maung Maung Than Sorpong Peou Production Editor Roselie Ang The editors invite submission of articles (up to 7,000 words, including footnotes) and commentaries on subjects within the field of politics and strategic and international affairs as they impinge on the Southeast Asian and Asia-Pacific geographical region. Manuscripts should be double-spaced with footnotes appended at the end and submitted in duplicate, together with an abstract of approximately 125 words, and should be accompanied by a computer diskette. CSEA does not accept manuscripts that have al- ready been published or are being considered for publication elsewhere. Articles will be refereed by external readers. Address for submission of contributions: The Editors Contemporary Southeast Asia Institute of Southeast Asian Studies 30 Heng Mui Keng Terrace Pasir Panjang Singapore 119614 © 1998 Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore Contemporary Southeast Asia is an internationally refereed journal that specializes in the politics, international relations and security-related issues of Southeast Asia and its wider geostrategic environment. Apart from serv- ing as a reliable and up-to-date source of information on various events and trends in regional politics, international relations and security questions that affect Southeast Asia, CSEA also publishes the results of original research on these subjects by both scholars and other interested persons. © 1998 Institute of Southeast Asian Studies ISSN 0129-797X The responsibility for facts and opinions presented in the contents of CSEA rests exclusively with the individual authors. Their interpretations do not necessarily reflect the views or the policy of the Editorial Committee, the International Advisory Committee, or the sponsors of CSEA or ISEAS. Annual Subscription Rates Individuals Institutions Asia/Japan/Aust/N.Z. US$29 US$36 Europe/North America/Africa/Mid. East US$35 US$44 Singapore/Malaysia/Brunei S$46 S$56 These annual rates include postage and delivery by air. CSEA is published three times a year, in April, August and December. 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Contemporary Southeast Asia (CSEA) is indexed in the International Biblio- graphy of Periodical Literature; International Bibliography of Book Reviews; Sage Public Administration Abstracts; ABC-Clio Library; PAIS Select; Con- tents Pages on Asia (INSEAD); Muslim World Book Review; International Political Science Abstracts; Access to UnCover; EBSCO Publishing; Interna- tional Bibliography of the Social Sciences; Sociological Abstracts; Univer- sity Microfilm, Inc.; Information Access Company; and UMI Data Courier. Delivery via Internet The contents page and abstracts of articles in the current issue are avail- able on-line on the ISEAS World Wide Web server. Upon request, we will e-mail to paid-up subscribers with Internet accounts Portable Document Format (PDF) versions of selected articles. The service is also available to non-subscribers at S$7.00/US$5.00 per article. For more information, access http://www.iseas.edu.sg/pub.html Typeset by Superskill Graphics. Printed in Singapore by Seng Lee Press Pte Ltd. © 1998 Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore.