CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION Appendix A Measure 1 City Crime Overview Assessment REQUIRES ACTION AIM/RATIONALE To ensure the overall picture of crime within the City is monitored and emerging trends are acted upon within year. Reason for Assessment This reflects the in-year continued rise in crime types within the City, reflected as a 21% rise for the year to date. 1 | Page CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION ANALYSIS Detections Financial Year to Date 2 | Page CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION Chart Information The chart on this sheet shows crime volumes from April 2014 to the present month, these are shown by the dark red line. The dotted grey line shows the average amount of crimes per month across the period on the graph and the orange and yellow lines show the upper and lower control limits. Control limits show points at which the data begins to be considered outside of the norm and "out of control". The dotted lines in orange and red show the control limits within two standard deviations of the mean, the solid lines show those within three standard deviations of the mean. There are a number of patterns that can be seen on statistical process control (SPC) charts that indicate trends in the data; 1. Nine (or more) points in a row on the same side of the mean - a prolonged bias is present 2. Six (or more) points in a row are continually increasing or decreasing - a trend exists 3. Two (or three) out of three points in a row are more than 2 standard deviations from the mean in the same direction - there has been a significant change These charts are most useful with larger numbers and should be used with caution in relation to crime types where there are small numbers or irregular occurrences such as homicide, rape, arson etc. Comparisons shown at the top of the chart compare levels to the last similar period (previous month, previous year to date, previous rolling 12 months), in some cases comparable data for the previous period may not be available. 3 | Page CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION 4 | Page CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION At the end of the financial year the highest percentage increases were; • Public Disorder (+55%, more incidents then 12 months previously) • Robbery of Personal Property (+46%, more incidents then 12 months previously) • Violence without Injury (+46%, more incidents then 12 months previously) Over the past 12 months positive police action continued to develop and refine tactical deployments. Procedural changes (such as the lead for the Patrol Strategy routinely attending the Force’s Daily Intelligence and Daily Management Meetings) has resulted in improved coordination and more rapid interventions into emerging trends. Analysis shows the peak days for ‘all crime’ occurring continues to be Thursdays and Fridays, escalating in the evening/ early hours of the morning on both days. The weekend days of Saturday and Sunday have noticeably lower levels of crime than the weekdays. Targeting these times continues to ensure that patrols are dedicated to key areas linking in with intelligence on repeat locations, hotspots and the most harmful crimes. There has been an increased focus on crime reduction efforts being led by the Assistant Commissioner and Commander (Operations). Key findings from the end of year report Analysis of ‘routes in reporting’ shows how crimes are being recorded and how this has changed in recent years. Notably there have been increases in police generated crimes and online reporting. (Although for reliability purposes data from post Niche is all that can be used due to possible back record conversion (BRC) issue, making it difficult to establish trends). For 2018/19 there have been 24 robberies out of 107 (robbery personal and business) that involved the use or threat of a knife/sharp instrument, accounting for 22.4% of robberies this year. A robbery problem profile has been commissioned that will explore this in more detail. How crimes are being recorded The below table demonstrates how crimes have been reported to the police over the past 4 years. The blank section at the bottom demonstrates a high number of crimes without this recorded on Niche. This is experienced for the years 15/16 & 16/17 &17/18 (pre Niche data) which is likely to be due to the Back Record Conversion process. These blanks could be skewing figures for these years and therefore comparisons, although useful to see, are unreliable. Figures from post Niche should be used for reliability purposes. The table shows that the most common way for a crime to be reported in by victims & witnesses calling either ‘999’ or ’101’. This is followed by ‘online crime report’ and ‘discovered by police’. There is a large increase experienced for online crime report and discovered by police but it is unclear if this is a genuine increase or due to the higher number of ‘blanks’ recorded in previous years 5 | Page CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 Ambulance service orginated 7 23 Disclosed as part of an ongoing investigation 43 Discovered by Police 712 447 117 852 Email to the police 35 Emergency telephone call e.g. (999) 2 1052 Fire service originated 1 Hist - 999 call 846 1027 939 235 Hist - ANPR 14 7 Hist - Central alarm 9 4 Hist - Computer Generated (Ext System) 965 994 575 Hist - Desk-crime 241 171 6 7 Hist - Desk-front 243 152 Hist - Desk-intervention 1 Hist - Email 61 32 22 3 Hist - Local authority CCTV 2 1 Hist - Message 2 Hist - Other 55 339 18 Hist - Partner-agency initiated 43 32 5 4 Hist - Police initiated 1 68 68 Hist - Reported to Police patrol 131 219 409 18 Hist - Telephone - non 999 call 1279 1364 1715 356 Non-emergency telephone call e.g. (101) 1 2 2195 Online crime report 305 417 726 1391 Other 3rd party reporting 38 Parent, professional, carer 3rd party report 14 Police on-line reporting 4 Reported in person - Inside police station 2 571 Reported in person - Outside police station 2 85 Social media message to the police 3 Text message to the police 4 644 689 655 26 . 6 | Page CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION The table below demonstrates the types of crime that are being identified and discovered by police. The crime types that have the highest number of ‘discovered by police’ as the route in are possession and trafficking, shoplifting, violence with and violence without injury. 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 ALL OTHER THEFT OFFENCES 22 20 37 44 ARSON 1 BICYCLE THEFT 8 12 8 10 BURGLARY - BUSINESS/COMMUNITY 9 23 21 20 BURGLARY - RESIDENTIAL 1 CRIMINAL DAMAGE 38 26 25 25 DEATH OR SERIOUS INJURY UNLAWFUL DRIVING 1 DRUG POSSESSION 252 184 147 345 DRUG TRAFFICKING 97 73 43 95 MISCELLANEOUS CRIMES AGAINST SOCIETY 108 84 44 60 OTHER SEXUAL OFFENCES 4 1 7 6 POSSESSION OF WEAPONS OFFENCES 15 22 18 30 PUBLIC DISORDER 50 28 20 59 RAPE 3 10 ROBBERY OF PERSONAL PROPERTY 2 3 4 SHOPLIFTING 105 73 72 111 STALKING AND HARASSMENT 9 7 10 11 THEFT FROM MOTOR VEHICLE 2 8 8 10 THEFT FROM THE PERSON 12 18 23 19 THEFT OF MOTOR VEHICLE 4 9 8 7 VEHICLE INTERFERENCE 1 4 VIOLENCE WITH INJURY 53 31 50 68 VIOLENCE WITHOUT INJURY 49 44 54 84 7 | Page CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION Measure 2 Counter Terrorism Assessment SATISFACTORY The aim is to provide the Force with an overview of activity undertaken to combat the terrorist threat facing the City and ensure the Force is providing an AIM/RATIONALE adequate response to mitigate this threat. Reason for The Force activity and capability is in place to mitigate threat as assessed with Tactical Tasking & Coordination Group submission. Assessment ACT & ARGUS DATA Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Number Act 162 368 225 81 72 419 536 216 111 168 253 137 Awareness Percentage consider Force 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% capable Number Argus 61 110 50 62 48 106 85 50 20 28 170 0 Attendees Percentage consider Force 100% 97.5% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% - capable COUNTER TERRORISM INVESTIGATION DEMAND Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Number of Investigations 10 9 8 10 11 14 5 9 11 12 11 4 processed by CT FMIU Trend Year to Date 10 19 27 37 48 62 67 76 87 99 110 114 Rolling Total OP LIGHTNING REPORTS (Hostile Reconnaissance) Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Op Lightning 11 7 13 10 10 7 19 30 17 9 8 15 Reports 2015-16 Op Lightning 20 6 12 20 17 14 21 9 12 18 11 22 Reports 2016-17 Op Lightning 18 22 35 17 7 20 20 19 11 11 5 3 Reports 2017-18 Op Lightning 11 8 11 11 18 8 7 10 17 6 9 11 Reports 2018-19 Trend 8 | Page CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION CITY OF LONDON POLICE: SUITABLE FOR PUBLICATION ANALYSIS The key issues continue to be threats relating to international terrorism and domestic extremism.