European Space Agency Earth Observation Program 18 June 2019 MARIE-JOSÉE BOURASSA ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 1 Europe’s EO leadership “We have the best Earth observation system in the World.” 11th Annual Conference on European Space Policy - opening speech 2019 15 satellites in operations 25 satellites in CO2M development EE-9 PICE LSTM 12 in ROSE-L EE-10 CHIME PMIM preparation Science Copernicus Meteorology ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 2 Future EO – Earth Explorers as S&T Flagships Flying Missions Science & GOCE SMOS Cryosat Swarm Aeolus Innovation 2009-2013 2009 2010 2013 2018 H O 2 NaCl 4.700+ Reg. Users Future Missions 300+ Publ. EarthCare Biomass FLEX EE-9 EE-10 per Year 2022 2022 2023 2025 2027 2 3 High Risks for Cand. Cand. Great Rewards ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 3 Copernicus – continue global leadership in EO > 225.000 6 operational services registered users = tip of the iceberg Land Atmosphere Ocean Climate Disaster Security 7 satellites flying 250 TB satellite data S1 S2 S3 S4 S5P S5 S6 distributed per day full, free & open ●● ●● ●● ● data policy preparing Copernicus 4.0 ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 4 Top 12 reasons to invest in ESA EO Program #1 Enable and support Earth Science Scientific publications 2002 - 2018 SCOPUS database 1750 1500 Swarm 1250 CryoSat SMOS 1000 GOCE 750 Sentinel 500 Envisat 250 ERS 0 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Grand Science Challenges will advance Earth system science #2 Support climate change action and prevent biodiversity collapse Out of the 50 essential climate variables (ECVs) defined by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS), 26 can only be measured from space. “We have 12 years to limit climate change catastrophe.” IPCC report 2017 Citizen climate protests around the World #3 Provide undeniable facts CryoSat and heritage missions Antarctic ice loss over 25 years 24% of the glacier ice in West Antarctica is now affected Provide key information on climate change and avoid blindspots in key climate data records. Copyright: CPOM A. Shepherd et al., Trends in Antarctic Ice Sheet Elevation and Mass, Geophysical Research Letters, 16 May 2019, doi: 10.1029/2019GL082182 #4 Work together with all relevant EO partners Scientific community •Earth Explorer missions (e.g. EE9) Industry •Commercially-led contributing missions International community •Bilateral & multilateral cooperation (e.g. NGGM) European Union Biomass sub-systems provenance •Early phases of Copernicus Sentinel missions in Europe shows the importance EUMETSAT of international cooperation •Early phases of meteorological missions ESA Member States •Earth Watch missions + link with new communities (such as CLAIRE for Artificial Intelligence) EOEP/FutureEO is the unique EO programme having cooperation with all international actors of the sector. #5 Position in the EO NewSpace era Artificial Intelligence, Big Data, Blockchain Scout Smallsats Φ-Sat 1/Brainsat will use an AI low-power chip HAPS & drones ©Earthi #6 Develop tomorrow’s EO systems FutureEO The trunk of the tree • Preparation of future EO mission concepts and technologies • Instrument pre-developments • Call for Innovative Early Mission Concepts • Development of Earth Explorer missions (e.g. EE9, EE10, EE11) • Early phases of EUMETSAT future missions and Copernicus Next Generation • Identify future EO mission concepts (Aeolus FO) • Pioneer innovative EO applications (e.g. Essential Climate Variables) EOEP technology development examples EOEP-developed accelerometers for Short-wave infrared detector, developed in gravity gradiometry, enabled CHAMP frame of LSPIM / SPECTRA, enabled APEX and GRACE missions, before GOCE (airborne), Sentinel-2, PRISMA, Sentinel- 5p, HYPER-X,.. #7 Contribute to legacy for future generations because they need it #8 Foster Canadian EO Market Growth The global EO market is the fastest Billion $ growing application sector, driven by Downstream market 9 public sales EO data and services 8 Now 7 6 5 4 3 2 Upstream market Satellite value at launch date 1 > 50 kg, excl. defence but incl. dual-use 0 © Euroconsult, 2019 #9 Create socio-economic return on investment Copernicus 1:10 return ratio For every € 93-191 billion (2017-2035) Meteorology invested € 16 – 63 billion (2020-2040) + Enabling benefits in operational EO €3.8 return in FutureEO #10 Enable applications to answer citizen concerns Address social and economic resilience Address (critical infrastructure operations protection, monitoring changes in environmental disease propagation pathways) threats (climate change, natural disasters, droughts, forest fires) Ensure equitable access to water, Regional energy and initiatives (natural materials resources and ecosystem management, sustainable economic growth) Facilitate EO use in Africa #11 Improve Canadian industry’s competitiveness 30.22% ESA EOEP/FutureEO benefits cascade Industrial on the European economy into a large fields impacted (2013 – 2030) number of space and non-space industrial sectors 69.78% Non-Space Space 78% of organisations believe that EOEP helps boost European participation to global or foreign initiatives. EOEP/FutureEO socio-economic impact (2013-2030), PWC, 2019 #12 Maintain Canada’s EO leadership 15 satellites in operations 25 satellites in development …let’s not miss the train! 200,000 users registered on the Copernicus data platform FutureEO-1 Capacity building “We have the best Earth observation system in the World.” 11th Annual Conference on European Space Policy - opening speech 2019 For now, but… HOW ? New programme mapping New approaches New tools ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 18 EO in Support of Society Air Quality from space European mean SCIAMACHY January 03–June 04 tropospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO2) density Spatial resolution nadir Envisat 7x3.560x30 km km Sentinel-5P © University of Heidelberg's Institute for © KNMI - ESA Environmental Physics ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 19 EO architecture – system of systems Earth Explorers Meteo Sat. Sentinels Constellations Smallsats Drones HAPS IoT The NewSpace paradigm shift New entrants in the sector Private and public Innovative investment in space NEW industrial start-ups SPACE approaches Integration of IT technologies 21 Artificial Intelligence & Big Data for EO How to navigate these oceans of data? A full optical Earth coverage of the Three new analytical techniques are Earth at 3m GSD represents about increasingly being offered within 57 Terapixels. solutions utilizing satellite imagery: Machine learning Predictive analytics Automatic change detection. The Big data Analytics market was estimated in 2016 at the value of €5.1B. ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 22 Toward Space 19+: Earth Observation proposal Use photo for CM16 with overlaid space19+ logo WHAT ? ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 23 ESA EO Programme Cornerstones “Different parts of one single Tree” Operational EO Customised EO Copernicus 4.0 InCubed+, GDA, Altius, TRUTHS Future EO FutureEO-1 Basic Activities Earthnet, Heritage Data Programme, DPTD ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 24 FutureEO-1 Segment 1 (2020-2022) Strong winds over Western Europe (10 March 2019) ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 25 Future EO – New Approach Building on Success • Improving the well-established EOEP Programme • Continuity of limited adaptation of Declaration, IR, … Elements of Change • 3-year segments linked to the “CM cycle” • Each segment covers in priority the entire development of a new Explorer mission – this offers a long-tern vision for the coming suite of Explorers • The schedule for new Calls must be synchronised (in order to start phB2 after the coming CMs) • New Future-EO-1 period would cover 3 segments (with segment-1 being tabled for subscription at Space19+) • Limited overlap with EOEP-5 in order to initiate “New Space” approaches without delay ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 26 FutureEO phasing with CMs 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2029 CM16 EOEP-5 CM19/Space19+ CM22 CM25 FUTURE EO 1 FUTURE EO 1 FUTURE EO 1 Segment 1 Segment 2 Segment 3 EE-9 implementation EE-10 implementation EE-11 implementation EE-10 preparation EE-11 preparation EE-12 preparation Synchronisation of EO programmes with the Ministerial Council cycle: 3-year segments FutureEO-1 ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use ESA LPS 2019 Milano | Agora - EO Space19+ , Wednesday 15 May 2019 | Slide 27 Future EO – 21st Century Innovation Hardware & Operations Software & Technology Increased Data Applications Diversity & Volumes EO Machine AFRICA Learning Big & Safety & Security Artificial Intelligence Small EO contribution to Data Analytics ESA-wide pillar Internet of Things st 21 Cloud HAPS Century Computing ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official