Opinion Research Sample: N=2,463 U.S. Registered Voters Interviewing Period: 18–28 September 2018 Mode: Online (English and Spanish) 95% Credibility Interval of +/- 2.13 percentage points 1. Gender Male ............................................................................ 52% Female ........................................................................ 48% 2. In which state do you live? [See Region recode on last page] 3. Age 18-34 ........................................................................... 27% 35-44 ........................................................................... 15% 45-54 ........................................................................... 16% 55-64 ........................................................................... 16% 65+ .............................................................................. 26% 4. Which of the following best describes your race and ethnicity? White ........................................................................... 68% Black ........................................................................... 12% Hispanic ...................................................................... 13% Asian ............................................................................. 5% Other, Non-Hispanic ..................................................... 1% Two or more races, Non-Hispanic ................................ 1% Two or more races, Hispanic ............................................ * [If 18-24, ask] 5. With regard to school, are you currently enrolled at any of the following? (n=263) High school ................................................................ 16% Trade/Vocational school .............................................. 5% 2-year or junior college or community college ............ 19% 4-year college or university ......................................... 33% Graduate school ......................................................... 11% Business school or professional school ........................ 5% Not enrolled in college/university, but taking at least one course ....................................... 1% Not currently enrolled in any of these ......................... 20% RealClear Opinion Research || U.S. Registered Voters || N=2,463 2 [If 25+, ask] 6. What is the highest level of education you've completed? (n=2,160) Net: College ............................................................... 36% Net: Less than College ............................................. 64% Some high school or less .............................................. 2% High school or equivalent ............................................ 19% Some college, but no degree ...................................... 22% Associate's degree / Trade school degree .................. 20% Bachelor's degree ....................................................... 21% Graduate degree ......................................................... 12% Doctorate degree .......................................................... 4% 7. We understand that plenty of people are not registered to vote, but we are wondering if you are registered to vote? Yes ............................................................................ 100% 8. When it comes to politics, with which party do you consider yourself to be affiliated? Democratic party ......................................................... 40% Republican party ......................................................... 33% Independent/Unaffiliated with a major party ................ 27% 9. When it comes to most political issues, do you think of yourself as a...? Net: Liberal ................................................................ 34% Net: Moderate ............................................................ 34% Net: Conservative ..................................................... 32% Liberal ......................................................................... 18% Moderate, leaning Liberal ........................................... 16% Moderate ..................................................................... 34% Moderate, leaning Conservative ................................. 13% Conservative ............................................................... 19% 10. How likely is it that you will vote in the November midterm elections for Congress? Definitely will be voting ............................................ 64% Net: All Others ........................................................... 36% Probably will be voting ................................................ 16% 50-50 ........................................................................... 15% Probably won’t be voting ............................................... 3% Definitely won’t be voting .............................................. 2% [If eligible to vote in 2014, ask] 11. Did you vote in the 2014 midterm elections? (n=2,291) Yes .............................................................................. 64% No ............................................................................... 25% I don't remember ......................................................... 11% RealClear Opinion Research || U.S. Registered Voters || N=2,463 3 [If eligible to vote in 2016, ask] 12. Did you vote in the 2016 general election for president? (n=2,376) Yes .............................................................................. 88% No ............................................................................... 11% I don't remember ........................................................... 1% [If “Yes” in Q12, ask] 13. For whom did you vote? (n=2,221) Hillary Clinton .............................................................. 46% Donald Trump ............................................................. 43% Someone else ............................................................... 9% I do not remember ......................................................... 2% 14. Do you consider yourself to be politically engaged or politically active? Yes ............................................................................ 52% No .............................................................................. 48% 15. All in all, do you think that things in the nation are … Generally headed in the right direction ....................... 38% Off on the wrong track ................................................. 45% Not sure what direction the country is headed in ........ 17% 16. What is your preference for the outcome of the 2018 Congressional elections, a Congress controlled by Democrats, or a Congress controlled by Republicans? All Registered Voters Democrats control ....................................................... 46% Republicans control .................................................... 40% Don’t care either way .................................................. 14% “Definitely Will Be Voting” in Q10 (n=1,660) Democrats control ....................................................... 52% Republicans control .................................................... 42% Don’t care either way .................................................... 6% 17. Which of the following comes closest to your view regarding re-electing President Trump in 2020? Net: Sure/Good Chance ............................................ 38% Net: Unlikely/Never ................................................... 51% I am sure to vote for him in 2020 ................................ 24% There is a good chance I will vote for him ................... 14% It is possible I will vote for him .................................... 11% It is unlikely I will vote for him ...................................... 12% I will never vote for him ............................................... 39% RealClear Opinion Research || U.S. Registered Voters || N=2,463 4 [If “Democrat” in Q8 (n=786), ask Q18-Q29] [Randomized Q18-Q29, each respondent is shown 5 potential candidates] 18. Which of the following comes closest to your view regarding Joe Biden (former Vice President) as a potential candidate for the 2020 Democratic nomination for President? (n=432) Net: Sure/Good Chance ............................................ 58% Net: Unlikely/Never ................................................... 14% I am sure to vote for him in 2020 ................................ 31% There is a good chance I will vote for him ................... 27% It is possible I will vote for him .................................... 29% It is unlikely I will vote for him ...................................... 11% I will never vote for him ................................................. 3% 19. Which of the following comes closest to your view regarding Bernie Sanders (Independent U.S. Senator from Vermont) as a potential candidate for the 2020 Democratic nomination for President? (n=399) Net: Sure/Good Chance ............................................ 44% Net: Unlikely/Never ................................................... 27% I am sure to vote for him in 2020 ................................ 21% There is a good chance I will vote for him ................... 23% It is possible I will vote for him .................................... 29% It is unlikely I will vote for him ...................................... 20% I will never vote for him ................................................. 8% 20. Which of the following comes closest to your view regarding Deval Patrick (former Governor of Massachusetts) as a potential candidate for the 2020 Democratic nomination for President? (n=427) Net: