MOL Scientific Magazine | 2011/3 ‘Freshhh’ on-line recruitment competition program of MOL Group Enterprise-wide risk management at MOL Group The role of microbiology in oil industry Downstream renewable energy projects – In harmony with sustainable development Examination of the relationship between ESCR and the molecular structure of HDPE blow molding grades MOL Scientific Magazine 2011/3 2011/3 MOL Scientific Magazine Contents MOL SM 2011/3 Challenges Ádám Balogh – Róbert Fehér – Balázs Tatár: 4 Global and regional impacts of the Fukushima nuclear disaster Ferenc Torma – Artur Thernesz – László Rácz: 14 Downstream renewable energy projects – In harmony with sustainable development Focus Sándor Galambos – Andrea Kóródi: 26 ‘Freshhh’ on-line recruitment competition program of MOL Group Máté Gerebenics – Éva Bocsárdiné Geréb – Bálint Kelen – Zsolt Nándori – Attila Szűcs: 34 Enterprise-wide risk management at MOL Group Edit Keöves: 44 Efficiency improvement (‘Eiffel’) programme at MOL Refining Gábor Farkas: 50 The changing customer loyalty Development Hajnalka Füzesi – Ákos Koós – Péter Kesserű, PhD – Ágnes Dergez 58 – Margit Balázs – István Kiss, PhD – Imre Mécs†, DSc – Sándor Puskás, Dr.: The role of microbiology in oil industry, from the laboratory research to the pilot MEOR test Tamás Krasznavölgyi: 68 Upstream Information Systems developments from the perspective of integration in the last 5 years László Győry – János Geiger, Dr. – Gergely Kristóf, Dr. – Judit Tóth, Dr.: 78 iCore – Development results and prospects Zsolt Dudás: 92 Examination of the relationship between ESCR and the molecular structure of HDPE blow molding grades Imre Balogh: 98 Examination of the effects of different internal electron donors of Ziegler-Natta catalysts on propylene polymerization Workshop Géza Császár, DSc – Lilit Cota – Zsolt Horváth – Gyula Konrád, CSc 106 – Kresimir Krizmanić – András Nusszer – Davor Pavelić, DSc On the front page: Finalists of the 2011 MOL 'Freshhh' competition – Balázs Szinger – Andrea Szuromi-Korecz, PhD: New results in the Mesozoic stratigraphy of the East Drava Basin László Pollner, PhD – Marianna Vincze: 120 Editorial Board: ‘Killing two birds with one stone’ – Barlahida 3D second stage: Attila Baráth; Zsolt Csattos; Péter Dudás, Dr.; Gábor Farkas; István Guba; Jenô Hancsók, Dr. Prof.; successful geological and geophysical interpretation Pál Kapusy; Gábor Kis, Dr.; Lajos Kisdeák; Márta Krámer, Dr.; László Lázár; Zsolt Molnár; Andrea Pánczél, Dr.; László Rácz, Dr.; László Rácz, Jr.; Gabriella Szalmás, Dr.; Artur Thernesz Obituary 128 Chairman of the Editorial Board: György Mosonyi Mr. Gábor József (1937-2011) Managing editor: Virág Simon Anniversary 130 Editor-in-chief: László Rácz, Dr. Ernő Rátosi, Dr. is 80 years old ISSN 2060-338X 2 3 1MOL GROUP 1MOL GROUP Challenges 2011/3 2011/3 Challenges of the nuclear power generation has to be incident may affect the competitiveness of analyzed and described. NPPs due to increased security expenditures. Global and regional impacts The competitiveness of different power plants Analyzing the cost breakdown of different source can be evaluated by the price of the generated of energies, it can be concluded that NPPs are electricity, as the most important factor. As one of the most CAPEX-intensive production of the Fukushima nuclear Figure 1 shows the LCOE (levelized cost of capacities. Compared to other technologies, electricity [1,2])2, which represents basically operational expenditures represent a the cost of the generated electricity3, differs significantly lower proportion in nuclear energy disaster technology by technology. Currently producing generation. Figure 2 shows this phenomenon in one unit of electricity with a nuclear power case of the different technologies. plant (NPP) is one of the most competitive technologies, in terms of LCOE. Numerous studies and analysis of different companies and institutions are trying to measure and model the cost of electricity generation which Ádám Balogh (25) ösztönöztek. Még bizonytalan, hogy a generally concentrate on the examined country Business development expert MOL Group, FGSZ-Natural Gas Transmission Ltd., fukushimai baleset trendfordító hatású or region with its own specifications. We have Business Development lesz-e az iparág történetében. Globálisan chosen an IEA-OECD study [1] because it [email protected] tekintve az emelkedő biztonsági költségektől collects data from different countries around Róbert Fehér (25) eltekintve kisebb hatással lehet, ugyanakkor the world. Furthermore the data used for the Former business development expert Európában, különösen Németországban analysis is provided by the responsible bodies MOL Group, FGSZ-Natural Gas Transmission Ltd., Business Development erre az eseményre hivatkozva gyorsították of the different countries, thus presumed as the [email protected] fel a nukleáris technológia kivezetését. most reliable source. Költségalapú számításaink szerint egyedül Balázs Tatár (26) Business development expert ennek 34-49% LCOE (baseload áram termelői According to the already announced and Fig. 2. Cost breakdown of different power sources. MOL Group, FGSZ-Natural Gas Transmission Ltd., ár) felhajtó hatása lehet 2020-ig, amely planned safety measures, the Fukushima Source: Parsons Brinckerhoff [3] - http://www.pbworld.com/pdfs/ Business Development Magyarországot is érintheti a nukleáris regional/uk_europe/pb_ptn_update2010.pdf [email protected] (OCGT – open cycle gas turbine, IGCC – integrated gasification biztonsági költségek emelkedésén túl. combined cycle, CCS – carbon capture and storage, CCGT – combined cycle gas turbine) Abstract Introduction According to Parsons and Brinckerhoff’s World nuclear industry developed at After the Fukushima nuclear incident, several methodology [3], the CAPEX ratio for a unit a rapid pace until notable disasters countries have expressed their concerns of nuclear capacity is ca. 70%, whereas for a compelled authorities to rethink nuclear about the further use of nuclear energy and CCGT plant it is only ca. 17%. This means that policies. It is uncertain whether the most have envisaged the re-evaluation and also the the competitiveness of the nuclear generation recent Fukushima disaster can be another reverse of their nuclear policies. Most countries, can be hindered if CAPEX costs increase turning point in the industry’s history. which have decided to phase-out their nuclear dramatically with new security measures. In Worldwide, besides stricter standards capacities or abandon their expansion plans, Fig. 1. Levelized cost of different power sources. Source: OECD case of new and unprecedented safety rules – hence increasing costs – it may have are in Europe.1 This means that the Fukushima 2011 (PV - photovoltaic) a slighter impact. In Europe, notably in incident will cause the biggest market turmoil 1Yoshihiko Noda, Japan’s new prime minister has slightly shifted away from his predecessor’s statement to phase out nuclear technology Germany, however, it is a point of reference on the European electricity, gas and energy in Japan, claiming that nuclear energy is indispensible in Japan’s future economic growth. for accelerated technology abandonment. markets. The purpose of this paper is to 2 Based on our cost-based calculations, analyze the potential impacts of the Fukushima we consider that this alone can bear a 34- nuclear incident on the nuclear industry and on 49% upward LCOE (~baseload electricity the global and regional energy markets. production price) risk by 2020 that might affect Hungary as well, along with rising safety design costs. Competitiveness Összefoglalás of the nuclear A fukushimai nukleáris katasztrófa globális industry és regionális hatásai In the following, we are examining how the nuclear industry might react on the Fukushima A világ atomipara jelentős ütemben catastrophe from a purely economic point of 3LCOE is treated as a fundament of the base-load price. It can not be used to predict final consumers’ electricity price because that is mostly fejlődött, amíg egyes jelentős katasztrófák view. In order to assess the effects and possible determined by marginal cost factors on the electricity market and also country regulation, but as a cost side estimation of the base-load price it well serves our aims to examine and anticipate certain underlying phenomenon on the electricity production market. a nukleáris politikák újragondolására reactions, the situation and the competitiveness 4 5 1MOL GROUP 1MOL GROUP Challenges 2011/3 2011/3 Challenges the CAPEX of NPPs can increase to an coal, natural gas or offshore wind, etc. can and as it can be seen on Figure 4, almost Japan and France, which represent more than unexpectedly great extent. Currently, the be more competitive than nuclear power. This 75% of the total built in generation capacities half of the world’s nuclear capacity. Although global average LCOE of coal-fired power implies that factors from capital costs through are concentrated in the 6 largest producer France is the 2nd largest generator in the world, plants is approx. 30% higher and the LCOE O&M cost (which might be different due to countries. The 5 largest, namely the USA, its role is special, as the share of nuclear power of gas-fired power plants is approx. 50% labour cost or taxation, etc.) or cost of the fuel France, Japan, Russia and South Korea are in the country is outstandingly high being more higher, than that of the nuclear ones.4 To cycle, etc. significantly vary. Nuclear power is also present in the value