Volume 26, Issue 16 December 6-10, 2012 Georgia (+8) over Alabama: Perfect System GOY Wins! COMBINATION FOOTBALL & BASKETBALL ISSUE! NFL GAME OF THE MONTH GOES SUNDAY! • Analysis on Every Lined Game • Incredible Stat of the Week • Best Bets and Key Plays • Full Schedule with Opening Lines • Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends • Wise Guys Contest GET SMART GET PLAYBOOK GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLE COPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein. www.PLAYBOOK.com 1. 800. PLAYBOOK FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME 2-MINUTE ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up NFL Games SMART (All results are preseason ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private BOX property of PLAYBOOK™ and the PLAYBOOK™ Database and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher. Coaching Down the Stretch TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS he fi nal four weeks of the NFL season are tantamount to the Tstretch run of a Graded Stakes race. It’s where big races are Thursday, December 6 won and lost. It’s been said that if you don’t have the horse, you Denver 2-12 div favs > 6 pts (1-2 this year)… 2-11 vs .250 < opp won’t win the race. For the most part this adage is right on the OAKLAND 7-0 div dogs > 3 pts off SU loss… 13-2 div dogs L15 money. There are times, though, when the ride the horse gets by the jockey can put the team together in the winner’s circle. It’s why Sunday, December 9 good jockeys are almost always atop quality horses in big races. Baltimore 2-9 off DD ATS loss vs opp w/ rev Games Thirteen-Sixteen The same holds true for head coaches in the NFL. They too are the WASHINGTON SERIES: 1-3 L4… 0-7 H vs opp off SU fav loss pilots, guiding their team to the wire, with game plans designed Kansas City 6-2 vs AFC North… 1-4 vs opp w/ rev off BB SU wins for success or failure… whichever the case may be. CLEVELAND 4-1 vs non div opp off SU dog win Games Thirteen-Sixteen From a profi t and loss standpoint, listed below are the BEST and San Diego SERIES: 2-7 L9 / 1-5 L6 H… 6-0 Game Thirteen WORST current head coaches and their NFL career ATS records during Games 13-16 – minimum four occurrences (current team in PITTSBURGH 7-0 favs < 10 pts off BB RG’s vs < .500 opp (1-0 this year) parenthesis). All results are ATS (Against The Spread). Tennessee 4-1 bef Monday game… 8-2 O/U Game Thirteen BEST: WORST: INDIANAPOLIS 0-11 favs aft scoring 35 > pts Games Thirteen-Sixteen HOME: KUBIAK (Houston) 10-4 HOME: GARRETT (Dallas) 1-3 Ny Jets 12-2 off SU win but ATS loss… 5-1 A vs AFC South AWAY: SMITH (Atlanta) 6-2 MULARKEY (Jax) 1-3 JACKSONVILLE SERIES: 6-1 L7… Henne: 5-11 H (1-7 vs non div) FAV: KUBIAK (Houston) 5-1 AWAY: WHISENHUNT (Ariz) 0-8 Chicago 6-1 div favs < 5 pts… 3-20 SU Game Thirteen DOG: MCCARTHY (G Bay) 7-0 FAV: CARROLL (Seattle) 1-6 MINNESOTA 2-9 vs div Games 9 >… 2-8 HD’s < 10 pts w/ rev DOG: WHISENHUNT (Ariz) 3-6 Atlanta SERIES: 4-1 L5… 5-1 div RF’s 2 > pts (0-1 this year) For a comprehensive listing of every coach in every role – including CAROLINA 6-1 H off SU fav loss vs div… 2-5 vs .600 > div opp their ABSOLUTE BEST and WORST roles – be sure to check out Marc’s ‘Coaching Down The Stretch’ article inside the BETTING Philadelphia 1-5 vs non div opp off BB SU losses Games Thirteen-Sixteen TOOLS LIBRARY section at PLAYBOOK.COM this week. TAMPA BAY 0-5 Game Thirteen… 1-6 off non conf RG (1-0 this year) St. Louis 1-9 aft 49ers (0-1 this year)… 1-7 Game Thirteen $99 WEEKEND OF WINNERS! BUFFALO SERIES: 4-1 L5 H… 11-2 HF’s < 6 pts vs < .500 opp Dallas 1-7 off div HG… GARRETT: 5-1 non div dog (1-1 this year) Includes Marc’s Red-Hot NFL Game CINCINNATI SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 4-0 L4 H… 0-5 Game Thirteen of the Month! Documented 33-14 Miami 13-2 non div dogs 7 > pts… 1-10 O/U Game Thirteen On This Big Play (3-0 This Season)! S FRANCISCO SERIES: 6-1 L7… 13-1 off SU fav loss (1-1 this year) Get on board today for Marc Lawrence’s huge $99 WEEKEND OF New Orleans 6-2 non-div dogs 6 > pts (1-1 this year)… 2-5 bef Bucs WINNERS this Saturday, Sunday and Monday. You get every NFL, NBA and College Hoops play Marc makes, including his red-hot NY GIANTS SERIES: 0-3 L3 / 3-1 L4 H… 13-2 aft Redskins NFL GAME OF THE MONTH. Don’t delay, sign up today – all major Arizona SERIES: 1-4 off BB losses… 2-13 A Game Thirteen > off loss credit cards accepted – by calling 1.800.321.7777 or going online SEATTLE 7-0 L7 H vs div… 6-0 favs vs div opp off BB SU losses at www.PLAYBOOK.com. You’ll be glad you did! Detroit SERIES: 0-3 L3… 1-10 A off non conf (0-1 this year) GREEN BAY 1-7 HF’s 13 < pts vs opp w/ rev off BB SU losses AWESOME ANGLE Monday, December 10 OF THE WEEK Houston 5-0 vs .500 > opp w/ rev Games Thirteen-Sixteen NEW ENGLAND 11-1 SU Game Thirteen… 6-1 1st BB HG’s vs non div PLAY ON any NFL dog from UPSIDE Game Thirteen out off a spread DOWN loss of more than 6 points as a favorite of -7 or more points if ATS W-L Record they are seeking revenge. Since 1985: TRIVIATRIVIA TEASERTEASER Play On: 22-4-1 THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY This neophyte coach hasn’t been in the league very long DETROIT LIONS (85%) but he’s been ultra responsive in games off back-to-back losses, going 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS – including 3-0 SUATS as a dog. View Marc’s Awesome Angle Of The Week Who is this week’s top tenderfoot? at the PLAYBOOK.com website! For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 4. page 2 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL – DECEMBER 6-10 Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 7 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line NCAA FOOTBALL Saturday, December 8 UUPSETPSET GAME OF THE WEEK UUPSETPSET Army over Navy by 1 If you’re a hardcore fan of option-offense football, you’ll be in hog heaven here with CBS’s telecast of the 113th Army-Navy game, a contest that is curiously being promoted this year as ‘America’s Game.’ But if you’re like most of us who fi nd this matchup to be barely relevant and downright boring, you’ll be going AWOL to track down a decent college basketball game to watch. Regardless of your viewing preferences, you should know the main motivation for today’s skirmish is possession of the Commander-In-Chief Trophy, something Army has failed to accomplish since 1996. Students of military history will be quick to point out that the drought will probably continue as Navy has won 10 straight series clashes on the fi eld. But we think the ATS outcome – and even the SU result – is clearly in doubt. Though the Middies stand 13-3 ATS versus the foot soldiers when they own the better seasonal win percentage, the seagoers have sprung a leak of late versus the Vegas line. They’re a poor 2-11 ATS against sub .400 foes over the last three campaigns (0-5 ATS this year) and an even worse 1-9 ATS their last 10 tries as pick or favorite, including 0-4 ATS in 2012. Shiver me timbers! Despite its feeble 2-9 SU effort this year, Army leads the land in rushing with 370 YPG, a times after rumbling with the Giants. The Skins have also faced three consecutive meaningful stat because the Midshipmen are 0-5 ATS as chalk in games NFC East foes since their Bye Week and our database informs us that teams in this where they allow 125 or more rushing yards. These two teams played one role who pull off upsets wins in their last two games (as Washington has done) common opponent this season – Air Force – and both emerged victorious are just 7-15 SUATS since 1980, including 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS when facing a to set up today’s CIC title game. However, a big edge goes to Army: the .600 or greater foe.