TRANSPORT ASSESSMENT Bristol Arena Island Proposals, Temple Quarter, Bristol Prepared for Bristol City Council November 2015 1, The Square Temple Quay Bristol BS1 6DG Contents Section Page Acronyms and Abbreviations ................................................................................................................ vii Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 1-1 1.1 Background ................................................................................................................. 1-1 1.2 Report Purpose ........................................................................................................... 1-1 1.3 BCC Scoping Discussions .............................................................................................. 1-1 1.4 Arena Operator Discussions ......................................................................................... 1-2 1.5 Report Structure.......................................................................................................... 1-2 Transport Policy Review...................................................................................................................... 2-1 2.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 2-1 2.2 Local Policy .................................................................................................................. 2-1 2.2.1 The Development Plan .................................................................................... 2-1 2.2.2 Bristol Core Strategy ....................................................................................... 2-1 2.2.3 Site Allocations & Development Management Policies (SADMP) ..................... 2-3 2.2.4 Central Area Plan (CAP) ................................................................................... 2-4 2.3 National Policy ............................................................................................................ 2-5 2.3.1 National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) .................................................... 2-5 2.4 Other Plans and Documents ........................................................................................ 2-6 2.4.1 Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) ............................................................... 2-6 2.4.2 Joint Local Transport Plan 3 (JLTP3) ................................................................. 2-7 2.5 Policy Fit ...................................................................................................................... 2-7 Existing Situation ................................................................................................................................ 3-1 3.1 Site Location ................................................................................................................ 3-1 3.2 Site Accessibility .......................................................................................................... 3-1 3.2.1 Highway Access............................................................................................... 3-1 3.2.2 Pedestrians and Cyclists .................................................................................. 3-3 3.2.3 Bus Services .................................................................................................... 3-7 3.2.4 Park and Ride Services .................................................................................. 3-11 3.2.5 Rail Services .................................................................................................. 3-12 3.3 Parking Supply ........................................................................................................... 3-14 3.3.1 Off-Street Car Parking ................................................................................... 3-14 3.3.2 On-Street Parking ......................................................................................... 3-18 3.4 Highway Safety .......................................................................................................... 3-22 Baseline Highway Operation and Modelling ....................................................................................... 4-1 4.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 4-1 4.2 S-Paramics Model Development .................................................................................. 4-1 4.2.1 Model Network Extents and Specification ....................................................... 4-1 4.2.2 Model Time Periods ........................................................................................ 4-2 4.2.3 Development of Trip Matrices ......................................................................... 4-2 4.2.4 Model Calibration and Validation .................................................................... 4-3 Committed Transport Improvements ................................................................................................. 5-1 5.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 5-1 5.2 Temple Gate Scheme................................................................................................... 5-1 5.3 Temple Greenways Projects ........................................................................................ 5-1 CONTENTS Section Page 5.4 MetroWest .................................................................................................................. 5-2 5.5 MetroBus .................................................................................................................... 5-3 5.6 Other Pedestrian and Cycle Route Enhancements ....................................................... 5-5 Highway Modelling: Reference Case ................................................................................................... 6-1 6.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 6-1 6.2 GBATS/S-Paramics Forecasting .................................................................................... 6-1 6.3 2021 Reference Case Results ....................................................................................... 6-3 Masterplan Proposals ......................................................................................................................... 7-1 7.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 7-1 7.2 Development Proposals ............................................................................................... 7-1 7.3 Site Access................................................................................................................... 7-1 7.3.1 Primary Access - HCA Bridge ........................................................................... 7-1 7.3.2 St Phillips Pedestrian/Cycle Bridge .................................................................. 7-2 7.3.3 A4 Bath Road Pedestrian/Cycle Link ................................................................ 7-2 7.4 Service Access and Servicing Regime ........................................................................... 7-2 7.4.1 Service Yard and Access .................................................................................. 7-2 7.4.2 Servicing Regime ............................................................................................. 7-2 7.4.3 Tour Buses ...................................................................................................... 7-3 7.5 Emergency Access ....................................................................................................... 7-4 7.6 Parking ........................................................................................................................ 7-4 7.6.1 Vehicle Parking ............................................................................................... 7-4 7.6.2 Cycle Parking .................................................................................................. 7-4 Trip Generation and Distribution ........................................................................................................ 8-1 8.1 General ....................................................................................................................... 8-1 8.2 Arena Visitors .............................................................................................................. 8-1 8.2.1 Catchment Area .............................................................................................. 8-1 8.2.2 Gravity Model Distribution .............................................................................. 8-2 8.2.3 Vehicle Trip Assignment .................................................................................. 8-2 8.2.4 Mode Split ...................................................................................................... 8-4 8.2.5 Vehicle Occupancy .......................................................................................... 8-8 8.2.6 Linked trips ..................................................................................................... 8-8 8.2.7 Events Type and Scale ....................................................................................