South-western Multi-modal Airport Rapid Transit Auckland Transport Draft Indicative Business Case Document No. | Draft 30 June 2016 Client Reference Draft Indicati ve Busi ness C ase Auckland Transport ` South-western Multi-modal Airport Rapid Transit Auckland Transport DRAFT Indicative Business Case Document No. | Draft 30 June 2016 Client Reference Document history and status Revision Date Description By Review Approved Interim IBC - LRT 30 June 2015 Rev E JD JPH AWB Interim IBC – 18 December Rev G Final Draft SE/CA JPH JPH LRT and HR 2015 Indicative Not approved for Business Case 24 June 2016 Working Draft – internal issue KK, GD, SE JPH issue Working draft Draft Rev A 30 June 2016 Draft for Client comment and review KK, GD, SE JPH, SC, DF JPH Distribution of copies Revision Issue Date issued Issued to Comments approved Working 24/06/2016 Auckland Transport Working progress draft draft Draft Rev A 30/06/2016 Auckland Transport Draft for Client review DRAFT Indicative Business Case South-western Multi-modal Airport Rapid Transit (SMART) – Draft Indicative Business Case Project No: IZ032300.1 Document Title: DRAFT Indicative Business Case Revision: Draft Date: 30 June 2016 Client Name: Auckland Transport Client No: Client Reference Project Manager: Jeremy Hosking Author: Kerry King, Scott Elaurant and Graham Davidson Jacobs New Zealand Limited Carlaw Park 12-16 Nicholls Lane, Parnell Auckland 1010 PO Box 9806, Newmarket 1149 Auckland New Zealand T +64 9 928 5500 F +64 9 928 5501 www.jacobs.com © Copyright 2016 Jacobs New Zealand Limited. The concepts and information contained in this document are the property of Jacobs. Use or copying of this document in whole or in part without the written permission of Jacobs constitutes an infringement of copyright. Limitation: This report has been prepared on behalf of, and for the exclusive use of Jacobs’ Client, and is subject to, and issued in accordance with, the provisions of the contract between Jacobs and the Client. Jacobs accepts no liability or responsibility whatsoever for, or in respect of, any use of, or reliance upon, this report by any third party. Document No. i DRAFT Indicative Business Case Contents Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................................... 5 1. Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 12 1.1 Rapid Transit Network ............................................................................................................................... 12 1.2 Central Access Strategy ............................................................................................................................ 13 1.3 City Access Program ................................................................................................................................. 14 1.4 Auckland Airport Development .................................................................................................................. 15 1.5 Related Technical Documents and Studies .............................................................................................. 15 1.5.1 Memorandum of Understanding ................................................................................................................ 17 1.5.2 South Western Airport Multi-Modal Corridor Project – Phase 1 Summary Report ................................... 18 1.5.3 South-western Multi-modal Airport Rapid Transit – Interim Scheme Assessment Report ....................... 18 1.5.4 Interim Business Case............................................................................................................................... 19 1.6 Changes to Strategic Context ................................................................................................................... 20 1.7 Purpose of the Indicative Business Case .................................................................................................. 20 2. Project Background ................................................................................................................................ 22 2.1 Area Context .............................................................................................................................................. 22 2.2 Stakeholder Engagement .......................................................................................................................... 22 2.3 Project Objectives ...................................................................................................................................... 23 3. Strategic Case .......................................................................................................................................... 24 3.1 Strategic Alignment ................................................................................................................................... 24 3.1.1 Auckland Plan ............................................................................................................................................ 24 3.1.2 Proposed Auckland Unitary Plan ............................................................................................................... 26 3.1.3 Local Board Plans ..................................................................................................................................... 26 3.1.4 Integrated Transport Programme .............................................................................................................. 26 3.1.5 Regional Land Transport Plan ................................................................................................................... 27 3.1.6 Statement of Intent .................................................................................................................................... 27 3.1.7 Government Policy Statement on Land Transport Funding 2015/16 – 2024/25 ....................................... 28 3.1.8 Auckland Regional Public Transport Plan ................................................................................................. 28 3.1.9 Auckland International Airport Limited Master Plan .................................................................................. 30 3.1.10 Auckland Housing Accord ......................................................................................................................... 31 4. Problem Definition ................................................................................................................................... 33 4.1 Revised Investment Logic Mapping .......................................................................................................... 33 4.2 Problem Evidence Base ............................................................................................................................ 34 4.3 Benefits of Investment ............................................................................................................................... 46 5. Do Minimum Scenario ............................................................................................................................. 47 5.1 Do Minimum Assumptions ......................................................................................................................... 47 5.2 Implications of the Do Minimum ................................................................................................................ 48 6. Long List Option Identification and Evaluation ................................................................................... 49 6.1 Assumptions .............................................................................................................................................. 49 6.2 Heavy Rail ................................................................................................................................................. 49 6.3 Light Rail .................................................................................................................................................... 54 Document No. ii DRAFT Indicative Business Case 6.4 Bus Rapid Transit ...................................................................................................................................... 59 6.5 Hybrid BRT / Heavy Rail............................................................................................................................ 64 7. Short List Options and Development .................................................................................................... 66 7.1 Heavy Rail Option ...................................................................................................................................... 66 7.1.1 Onehunga Branch Line.............................................................................................................................. 66 7.1.2 Airport ........................................................................................................................................................ 67 7.2 Light Rail .................................................................................................................................................... 72 7.3 Bus Rapid Transit .....................................................................................................................................