SCHHS Population and Health Status Current and Future Population The proportion of people over 65 is expected to increase from 17% in 2011 to Socioeconomic Indices for Areas (SEIFA) 23% by 2031, with the proportion of people over 85 increasing from 2.2% to The estimated resident population in 2011 for the SCHHS was 387,713, 8.4% 3.9%. SEIFA is an indicator of socioeconomic advantage or disadvantage. of the total for Queensland. The population is expected to reach over 500,000 The greatest growth in people over 65 will occur in the hinterland and Noosa. Socioeconomic disadvantage is a general indicator of higher health need. by 2026. Source: OESR Projected Population – Medium Series, 2011 edition SEIFA less than 1000 indicates relative disadvantage. 15.8% of the SCHHS population is in the most disadvantaged quintile. SCHHS Population Projections (Medium Series) by Statistical Area Population change – age groups and SLA Change % Change Average 1100 from 2011 from 2011 Annual % of total % of total ASGS SA3 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 to 2031 to 2031 Growth 2011 2031 Buderim 49,879 59,088 64,466 68,937 72,387 22,508 45% 2.0% 13% 13% 1050 Caloundra 77,204 83,932 102,087 130,211 161,171 83,967 109% 3.9% 20% 28% Gympie ‐ Cooloola 49,286 53,217 57,668 62,443 67,372 18,086 37% 1.7% 13% 12% 1000 Maroochy 60,359 66,723 73,158 76,190 79,203 18,844 31% 1.4% 16% 14% Nambour ‐ Pomona 53,949 61,291 68,634 74,130 77,456 23,507 44% 1.9% 14% 13% Noosa 34,207 36,844 37,366 37,486 37,820 3,613 11% 0.5% 9% 7% 950 Sunshine Coast Hinterland 62,829 68,856 74,728 77,598 80,138 17,309 28% 1.3% 16% 14% TOTAL 387,713 429,951 478,107 526,995 575,547 187,834 48% 2.1% 100% 100% 900 The greatest growth is expected to be in Caloundra, with Noosa having the lowest growth. 850 800 Source: Queensland Government Population Projections, 2011 edition 750 700 Kilkivan Gympie Cooloola Nambour Tewantin Maroochydore Caloundra Rail Caloundra Sth Noosa (S) Bal Caloundra Nth Caloundra Hinterland Paynter-Petrie Creek Kawana MaroochyBal (S) North Coastal Mooloolaba Sunshine-Peregian Noosa-Noosaville Buderim Corridor Source: Queensland Government Population Projections, 2011 edition Compared to Qld the SCHHS population: Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Socio-economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) • is growing faster (48.4% to 2031 compared to 43%) • has a higher % aged >65 years The SLAs with the lowest SEIFA are Kilkivan, Gympie, Cooloola and Nambour. • has a lower % aged 15-24 years SLAs with the highest SEIFA are Buderim, Noosa and Sunshine-Perigian. • has a higher % born is Australia (76% compared to 73%) • has a lower % Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people (1.5% compared to 3.6%) Mortality Rates (indirect age standardised) Hospitalisation Rates (indirect age standardised) Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Population SCHHS has a higher mortality rate for mental and behavioural disorders. SCHHS has higher hospitalisation rates for coronary heart disease and The HHS has a relatively low Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population. intentional self harm. The reported Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander persons in 2009 were 1.5% of the total District population and this is less than half the state’s proportion of 3.6%. % change 2,001 2,006 2,011 from 2001 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander 3,942 4,853 5,873 49% Non- Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander 280,098 334,123 381,840 36% % Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% Source: 2001,2006 from Office of Economic and Statistical Research (March 2008) 2011 data ABS The Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population is expected to be close to 9,000 by 2031, noting that the full (tertiary) catchment is expected to have a population of around 18,000. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people generally have lower health status with: A gap in life expectancy of approximately 10 years Age adjusted death rates 3 times greater than that for Qld Infant mortality rates two and half times greater than Qld The main causes of high mortality rates are heart disease, diabetes, chronic respiratory disease, pneumonia and accidents. Tourism Approximately 2.5 to 3 million tourists visit the Sunshine Coast and Gympie areas each year. 6 .