NASA/CR—2011–000000 Disaster Response Effectiveness of a Fleet of Civil Tiltrotor Aircraft Operating in the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) Terry L. Gibson Bell Helicopter Textron Inc., Hurst, Texas Michael J. Jagielski Bell Helicopter Textron Inc., Hurst, Texas John R. Barber Bell Helicopter Textron Inc., Hurst, Texas December 2011 Unlimited Rights Notice These data are furnished with unlimited data rights to the U.S. Government in accordance with the provisions of Government Prime Contract NNA09DA06T. This page is required and contains approved text that cannot be changed. NASA STI Program ... in Profile Since its founding, NASA has been dedicated • CONFERENCE PUBLICATION. to the advancement of aeronautics and space Collected papers from scientific and science. 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Scientific and NASA Center for AeroSpace Information technical findings by NASA-sponsored 7115 Standard Drive contractors and grantees. Hanover, MD 21076-1320 NASA/CR—2011–000000 Modeling High-Speed Civil Tiltrotor Transports in the Next Generation Airspace Task 7 - Disaster Response Effectiveness Analysis Terry L. Gibson Bell Helicopter Textron Inc., Hurst, Texas Michael J. Jagielski Bell Helicopter Textron Inc., Hurst, Texas John R. Barber Bell Helicopter Textron Inc., Hurst, Texas National Aeronautics and Space Administration Ames Research Center Moffett Field, CA 94035-1000 December 2011 Acknowledgments The authors would like to acknowledge that this research and development was accomplished with the support and guidance of Mr. Larry Young of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Ames Research Center and Mr. William Chung of the Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC). Available from: NASA Center for AeroSpace Information 7115 Standard Drive Hanover, MD 21076-1320 443-757 -5802 Table of Contents Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 1 Analysis Details .......................................................................................................................... 1 Disaster Scenario ................................................................................................................... 1 Operational Strategy ............................................................................................................... 3 Evacuation .......................................................................................................................... 3 Medical Evacuation ............................................................................................................. 4 Search and Rescue ............................................................................................................ 5 Cargo Transport .................................................................................................................. 6 Modeling ................................................................................................................................. 6 Analysis Software ............................................................................................................... 7 Simulation Probability Distributions ..................................................................................... 8 Aircraft ................................................................................................................................ 9 Event Creation and Mission Requirements ......................................................................... 9 Asset Mission Assignment .................................................................................................12 Mission Priority...................................................................................................................15 Verification .........................................................................................................................15 Assumptions ..........................................................................................................................15 Analysis Results and Observations ...........................................................................................16 Analysis Run Cases ..............................................................................................................16 Run ID 0 (Baseline) ............................................................................................................16 Run IDs 1-6 (CRC Replacement & Reduction) ...................................................................16 Run IDs 7-12 (Fleet Augmentation) ....................................................................................16 Run IDs 13-15 (25% Demand Increase) ............................................................................16 Run IDs 16-18 (50% Demand Increase) ............................................................................17 Run IDs 19-21 (75% Demand Increase) ............................................................................17 Run IDs 22-24 (100% Demand Increase)...........................................................................17 Measures of Effectiveness .....................................................................................................18 Fleet Build-Up ....................................................................................................................19 Average Response Time for Evacuation ............................................................................20 Average Response Time for Cargo Transport ....................................................................25 Evacuation Productivity ......................................................................................................28 Cargo Delivery Productivity ................................................................................................31 Parameter Sensitivity Analysis ..............................................................................................33 Evacuation, SAR, and MedEvac Response Time Parameter Sensitivity ............................37 Cargo Transport Response Time Sensitivity ......................................................................39 Event Type .........................................................................................................................39 Fleet Type ..........................................................................................................................40 Cargo Payload and Fleet Configuration Sensitivity ................................................................40 Conclusions and Recommendations .........................................................................................42 References ...............................................................................................................................44 Acronyms ..................................................................................................................................45 1 iii List of Figures Figure 1. Evacuation Strategy ................................................................................................... 4 Figure