Document of The World Bank Public Disclosure Authorized Report No: ICR2139 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IBRD-47730) ON A Public Disclosure Authorized LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF USD100 MILLION TO THE PEOPLE‘S REPUBLIC OF CHINA FOR THE AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER PROJECT Public Disclosure Authorized May 10, 2012 China and Mongolia Sustainable Development Unit Sustainable Development Department East Asia and Pacific Region Public Disclosure Authorized CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective December 31, 2011) Currency Unit = Chinese Yuan (CNY) Chinese Yuan (CNY) 1 = USD 0.158 US$ 1.0 = Y 6.319 FISCAL YEAR July 1 – June 30 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS CAS Country Assistance Strategy CPS Country Partnership Strategy FA Farmer Association FBPF Farmer Beneficiaries Participation Framework GMO Genetically Modified Organism ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report IPM Integrated Pest Management IRR Internal Rate of Return M&E Monitoring and Evaluation NGO Non-Government Organization NPV Net Present Value PAD Project Appraisal Document PDO Project Development Objective PMO Project Management Office POCAD Provincial Office for Comprehensive Agricultural Development SOCAD State Office for Comprehensive Agricultural Development WTO World Trade Organization Vice President: Pamela Cox, EAPVP Country Director: Klaus Rohland, EACCF Sector Manager: Mark Lundell, EASCS Project Team Leader: Ulrich Schmitt, EASCS ICR Team Leader: Ulrich Schmitt, EASCS/Josef Ernstberger, FAO CHINA Agricultural Technology Transfer Project CONTENTS Data Sheet A. Basic Information B. Key Dates C. Ratings Summary D. Sector and Theme Codes E. Bank Staff F. Results Framework Analysis G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs H. Restructuring I. Disbursement Graph 1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design ................................................... 1 2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes .................................................. 4 3. Assessment of Outcomes .............................................................................................. 11 4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome ............................................................. 17 5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance ......................................................... 18 6. Lessons Learned............................................................................................................ 21 7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners............... 23 Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing .............................................................................. 24 Annex 2. Outputs by Component...................................................................................... 25 Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis ..................................................................... 44 Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ................. 52 Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results ............................................................................... 54 Annex 6. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR ......................... 55 Annex 7. List of Supporting Documents .......................................................................... 59 MAP (IBRD 33846) .......................................................................................................... 60 A. Basic Information Agricultural Country: China Project Name: Technology Transfer Project Project ID: P069862 L/C/TF Number(s): IBRD-47730 ICR Date: 05/10/2012 ICR Type: Core ICR GOVERNMENT OF Lending Instrument: SIL Borrower: CHINA Original Total USD 100.00M Disbursed Amount: USD 100.00M Commitment: Revised Amount: USD 100.00M Environmental Category: B Implementing Agencies: State Office for Comprehensive Agriculture Development (SOCAD) Cofinanciers and Other External Partners: B. Key Dates Revised / Actual Process Date Process Original Date Date(s) Concept Review: 11/05/2003 Effectiveness: 09/01/2005 09/01/2005 Appraisal: 09/20/2004 Restructuring(s): Approval: 04/28/2005 Mid-term Review: 04/21/2008 Closing: 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 C. Ratings Summary C.1 Performance Rating by ICR Outcomes: Satisfactory Risk to Development Outcome: Low or Negligible Bank Performance: Satisfactory Borrower Performance: Satisfactory C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR) Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings Quality at Entry: Satisfactory Government: Not Applicable Implementing Quality of Supervision: Satisfactory Not Applicable Agency/Agencies: Overall Bank Overall Borrower Satisfactory Satisfactory Performance: Performance: C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators Implementation QAG Assessments Indicators Rating Performance (if any) Potential Problem Project Quality at Entry No None at any time (Yes/No): (QEA): Problem Project at any Quality of No None time (Yes/No): Supervision (QSA): DO rating before Satisfactory Closing/Inactive status: D. Sector and Theme Codes Original Actual Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing) Agricultural extension and research 45 45 Agro-industry 20 20 Agro-industry, marketing, and trade 25 25 Information technology 5 5 Other social services 5 5 Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing) Export development and competitiveness 17 17 Other rural development 17 17 Rural policies and institutions 33 33 Rural services and infrastructure 33 33 E. Bank Staff Positions At ICR At Approval Vice President: Pamela Cox Jemal-ud-din Kassum Country Director: Klaus Rohland David R. Dollar Sector Manager: Mark R. Lundell Mark D. Wilson Project Team Leader: Ulrich K. H. M. Schmitt Iain G. Shuker ICR Team Leader: Ulrich K. H. M. Schmitt ICR Primary Author: Josef Ernstberger Ulrich K. H. M. Schmitt F. Results Framework Analysis Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document) The development objective of the project is to develop and test innovative models for agricultural technology transfer and application aimed to generate additional farm income in high value markets with a potential for scaling up. By this way the Project aims to give poor farmers a chance to participate in high value agricultural markets domestically and internationally. Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority) Not applicable. (a) PDO Indicator(s) Original Target Formally Actual Value Values (from Revised Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value approval Target Completion or documents) Values Target Years Percent increase in farmer income of targeted farmers, particularly of resource Indicator 1 : poor farmers. Total discounted Net Value Added by stakeholder group (in CNY Baseline of farmer Value million and % income provided in No target set at Not quantitative or share): Farm individual sub-project appraisal. applicable. Qualitative) Households (478, proposals at appraisal. 55%); Farmer Cooperatives (196, 18%); Companies (130, 27%). Date achieved 06/09/2005 06/09/2005 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 Based on data on economic performance of 91 sub-projects at completion, the Comments accumulated NPV generated by the project was computed as a practical indicator (incl. % to measure income increase and PDO achievement. The corresponding IRR is 26 achievement) percent. SOCAD/POCAD investment in company-farmer partnership models in non Indicator 2 : project sites in the province. More than 140 project-related provincial government policy documents indicate Value No target set at Not project-supported quantitative or No baseline established. appraisal. applicable. innovations have Qualitative) been mainstreamed in agriculture development programs outside the project areas. Date achieved 06/09/2005 06/09/2005 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 Comments (incl. % achievement) Indicator 3 : Percent of successful components/sub-projects as assessed by the Expert Team. Value 0 70% Not 76% quantitative or applicable. Qualitative) Date achieved 06/09/2005 06/09/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 Comments The Expert Team evaluated 108 out of a total of 113 implemented sub-projects. (incl. % 49 were rated highly satisfactory, 50 satisfactory, 6 marginally satisfactory, and 3 achievement) unsatisfactory, which represents an overall success rate of 95 %. (b) Intermediate Outcome Indicator(s) Original Target Actual Value Formally Values (from Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value Revised approval Completion or Target Values documents) Target Years Component 1: Adoption rate of technologies displayed in exhibition centers and Indicator 1 : fairs by farm size. Value Not (quantitative 0 30% 75% applicable. or Qualitative) Date achieved 09/08/2006 06/09/2005 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 Comments The adoption rate measured includes only farmers, which have received training (incl. % at the demonstration facilities. The adoption rate of visitors is unknown but likely achievement) much lower. Component 2: Percentage of successful farmer associations in service provision Indicator 2 : to members as measured by member satisfaction rating. Value Not (quantitative 0 60% 62% applicable. or Qualitative) Date achieved 06/09/2005 06/09/2005 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 Comments The indicator was measured as part of the satisfaction survey at project (incl. % completion. The benchmark for a satisfactory score was set at 4.0 on a scale from achievement) 0 to 5.0 and thus relatively high. Indicator 3 : Percentage of successful sub-projects as assessed by the Expert team. Value Not (quantitative 0 70% 88% applicable. or Qualitative) Date achieved 06/09/2005