Canadian National Luanne Patterson Sr System Manager - EA Environment Canadian National Box 8100 Montreal, Quebec Canada H3C 3N4 June 14, 2018 Lesley Griffiths Panel Chair c/o Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency 160 Elgin Street Ottawa ON, K1A 0H3 By email Dear Ms. Griffiths: The Canadian National Railway Company (CN) is pleased to provide our response which completes our submission to Information Request Package 4.1 – Milton Logistics Hub Project Review Panel (Doc # 600) received on Oct 11, 2017 as supplemental information for your review and consideration in support of the Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) under the Canadian Environmental Assessment Act, 2012 (CEAA 2012). We trust this additional information will sufficiently clarify the questions posed by the Review Panel in the review of our proposed Milton Logistics Hub project. Should you have any questions regarding the above, please do not hesitate to contact me. Sincerely, <Original signed by> Luanne Patterson Senior System Manager – Environmental Assessment cc: Dr. Isobel Heathcote, Review Panel Member Mr. William McMurray, Review Panel Member Joseph Ronzio, CEAA Darren Reynolds, CN June 13, 2018 CN Milton Logistics Hub (“Project”) CEAR File No. 80100 CN Response to the Review Panel’s Information Request 4.1 Received October 11, 2017 Contents SOCIO-ECONOMIC ..................................................................................................................1 IR4.6 Summary of Strategic Projections Report (2013) ............................................ 1 IR4.7 Summary of Cushman and Wakefield Report (2014) .................................... 8 IR4.8 Organization of Appendix D ........................................................................... 16 PROVINCIAL AND MUNICIPAL PLANNING ............................................................................... 22 IR4.9 Summary of Transportation Master Plan (2011) ............................................ 22 IR4.10 Clarification of Town of Milton Official Plan and status of amendments ..................................................................................................... 35 IR4.11 Quantification of effects on designated land use areas ............................ 37 IR4.12 Greenfield density targets ............................................................................... 42 IR4.13 Economic costs for community services and infrastructure ....................... 43 EMPLOYMENT .............................................................................................................................. 47 IR4.14 Direct employment ........................................................................................... 47 IR4.15 Indirect employment ........................................................................................ 50 PROPERTY VALUE ........................................................................................................................ 52 IR4.16 Effects of the Project on property value ........................................................ 52 OTHER RAIL SERVICES ................................................................................................................. 53 IR4.17 Effects on passenger, commuter and freight rail services .......................... 53 IR4.18 Brampton-Milton freight corridor .................................................................... 57 AGRICULTURE .............................................................................................................................. 59 IR4.19 Identification of designated agricultural lands ............................................ 59 IR4.20 Project-induced changes on designated agricultural lands ..................... 62 IR4.21 Project-induced changes on agricultural activities ..................................... 63 IR4.22 Mitigation options for effects on agriculture ................................................. 67 REFERENCES .............................................................................................................................70 LIST OF FIGURES Figure IR4.6-1 Growth in Canadian Trade 1988 to 2012 (Indexed to 1988 = 100) .......... 3 Figure IR4.6-2 Growth in Real GDP of Goods Distribution Compared to Goods Production and Services ................................................................................ 4 Figure IR4.6-3 Growth in Intermodal Transportation Compared to Non- Intermodal Transportation ............................................................................. 5 i June 13, 2018 LIST OF TABLES Table IR4.7-1 Assessment Value, Property Tax and Employment Associated with Existing IOD at Five Canadian Intermodal Terminals ............................... 12 Table IR4.7-2 Assessment Value, Property Tax and Employment Associated with Future IOD at Five Canadian Intermodal Terminals ................................ 13 Table IR4.7-3 Assessment Value, Property Tax and Employment Associated with Existing and Future IOD at Five Canadian Intermodal Terminals .......... 13 Table IR4.7-4 Comparison of Industrial Land Inventory and IOD Activity at Canadian Intermodal Terminals ................................................................. 15 Table IR4.7-5 Summary of Potential Development Charges Associated with Future IOD in Milton and Halton Region .................................................... 16 Table IR4.9-1 Summary of TMP Information Used in the Assessment ............................ 24 Table IR4.11-1 Areas and Percentages of Designated Land Use within CN-Owned Lands .............................................................................................................. 38 Table IR4.11-2 Areas and Percentages of Designated Land Use within the PDA ........ 40 Table IR4.14-1 Anticipated Positions Required for the Operation Phase ....................... 47 Table IR4.14-2 Anticipated Positions Required for the Construction Phase ................... 48 Table IR4.15-1 Summary of Potential Jobs Supported by IOD ......................................... 51 Table IR4.18-1 High Level Timelines for the Freight Bypass Project .................................. 58 Table IR4.19-1 Agricultural Areas ......................................................................................... 61 LIST OF ATTACHMENTS ATTACHMENT IR4.8-1 CONSIDERATION RESPONSE TABLE ATTACHMENT IR4.11-1 FIGURES ATTACHMENT IR4.12-1 EXCERPT FROM HEMSON REPORT, DATED APRIL 2009 ATTACHMENT IR4.12-2 EXCERPT FROM SUSTAINABLE HALTON WORKING PAPER #2, DATED APRIL 2009 ATTACHMENT IR4.12-3 PROJECT LOCATION ATTACHMENT IR4.17-1 MILTON BRAMPTON INTERMODAL LINKAGE ATTACHMENT IR4.18-1 FREIGHT BYPASS PROJECT ATTACHMENT IR4.19-1 AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM AND SETTLEMENT AREAS, MAP 1E ATTACHMENT IR4.19-2 CURRENT AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES WITHIN THE PDA ATTACHMENT IR4.20-1 DESIGNATED PRIME AGRICULTURAL AREAS IN THE PDA ATTACHMENT IR4.20-2 AGRICULTURAL LANDS ON DESIGNATED PRIME AGRICULTURAL AREAS IN THE PDA AND LAA ATTACHMENT IR4.21-1 AGRICULTURAL LAND USE TYPES ii June 13, 2018 The following information is provided in partial response to Information Request 4.1 received from the Review Panel on October 11, 2017 to address IR4.6 to IR4.22. Additional information pertaining to IR4.1 and IR4.23 to IR4.58 was provided under separate cover to the Panel dated March 21, 2018 (CEAR #632). Additional information pertaining to IR4.2 to IR4.5 was provided under separate cover to the Panel dated May 18, 2018 (CEAR #646). SOCIO-ECONOMIC IR4.6 Summary of Strategic Projections Report (2013) Rationale: In the EIS, CN referenced the report: Strategic Projections Inc. 2013: The Need for an Intermodal Facility on CN’s Lands in Milton to support the described purpose of the Project. Referenced statements include the following: • The Project positions CN to serve the growing demand for logistics support in the Greater Toronto Hamilton Area and western Ontario markets. • Intermodal is […] the fastest growing mode of transportation in North America. • CN has determined that a satellite intermodal terminal is required to accommodate western Greater Toronto Hamilton Area intermodal market growth. • Intermodal transport is less vulnerable to variances in individual industries. • [The west Greater Toronto Hamilton Area] population and employment growth will double demand for goods and intermodal activities. • It is estimated that the Brampton Intermodal Terminal, which services the region, will reach capacity by 2018. A high level summary of this report was provided by CN in Section 2.1 of Appendix E.11 of the EIS (Planning Justification Report). However, more specific information on container volume traffic is required to substantiate the statements drawn from the Strategic Projections report. Information Request: a) Provide a detailed summary of information from the report Strategic Projections Inc. 2013: The Need for an Intermodal Facility on CN’s Lands in Milton prepared for CN, September 2013. Include sources, and a description of the current and future estimates of container volume traffic in the Greater Toronto Hamilton Area. Qualify the current and expected future demand for intermodal services. CN Response: Clarification In its 2013 report, entitled The Need for an Intermodal Facility on CN’s Lands in Milton, Strategic Projections Inc. (SPI) analyzed data available from Statistics Canada, as well as information from the Intermodal Association of North America (IANA) and other sources as noted below to identify trends in trade, production, goods movement, intermodal rail